UFC 274: Charles Oliveira vs. Justin Gaethje Odds

Charles Oliveira is favored against Justin Gaethje at UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje on Saturday, May 7 in Phoenix, Arizona. This event is one of five fights on the main pay-per-view card. Oliveira is 32-8 in his career, while Gaethje is 23-3 in his career. There are a total of 15 fights with five on Pay-Per-View, four on ESPN/ESPN+ and six on ESPN+/UFC Fight Pass at UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje. Let’s look at the bout between Oliveira and Gaethje and UFC predictions.

UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje takes place at Footprint Center in Phoenix, Arizona on Saturday, May 7 with 15 fights with five on Pay-Per-View, four on ESPN/ESPN+ and six on ESPN+/UFC Fight Pass.

UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje Betting

Charles Oliveira (32-8, 20-8 UFC)

Oliveira came into the UFC with a record of 12-0 and he has 20 wins and eight losses in the UFC. In his last six fights, he has six wins and no losses. He defeated Nik Lentz by TKO, Jared Gordon by KO, Kevin Lee by guillotine choke submission, Tony Ferguson by unanimous decision, Michael Chandler by TKO, and Dustin Poirier by rear-naked choke submission. Oliveira’s last loss in his career was against Paul Felder by TKO in December of 2017. Oliveira has been a pro since 2008 and he has nine wins by TKO/KO and 20 by submission. He has 14 first round finishes.

Justin Gaethje (23-3, 6-3 UFC)

Gaethje came into the UFC with a record of 17-0 and he has six wins and three losses in the UFC. He defeated Michael Johnson by TKO, James Vick by KO, Edson Barboza by KO, Donald Cerrone by TKO, Tony Ferguson by TKO, and Michael Chandler by unanimous decision; while losing to Eddie Alvarez by KO, Dustin Poirier by TKO, and Khabib Nurmagomedov by technical submission. Gaethje has been a pro since 2011 and he has 19 wins by TKO/KO and one by submission. He has nine first round finishes.

Gaethje said this to mmafighting.com about his upcoming fight against Oliveira, “I wasn’t being overly critical, I wasn’t saying he was a bad champion, I was saying that in the times that he’s lost, he didn’t even get knocked out, he quit sometimes. The choice to quit is something one makes, and once you make it, you can make it again, because you know that it’s there. I don’t believe I’ve ever made that choice. Some people haven’t and I believe some people have... I believe that he has, and that’s all I was saying. I believe, deep down, he knows his way out, and that’s to quit whenever he gets hit too many times too hard. All those assessments were of a younger man. He’s (32) years old, he’s a man now, with confidence. A man with confidence is a dangerous man and he’s not the same man that I was referencing. But, again, deep down, once it happened once it will happen again, and I’m the perfect guy to show it to him. And I will show it to him May 7. I’ve got to stay out of grappling positions, obviously, but I’m going to put a hole right in his face and it’s going to be glorious. I’m going to be perfect, and I’m going to be perfect for 25 minutes. If he can beat me, then kudos to him, but he’s going to have to walk through hell, like Khabib did. But he’s not as powerful, he doesn’t have the structure, he doesn’t have the frame, and he doesn’t have explosive takedowns. He’s going to have to find me making a mistake, overreaching, and try to get into a grappling situation.

Striking Stats

Strikes landed per minute: Oliveira 3.44 / Gaethje 7.50

Striking Accuracy: Oliveira 53% / Gaethje 60%

Strikes absorbed per minute: Oliveira 3.13 / Gaethje 7.81

Defense: Oliveira 52% / Gaethje 55%

Grappling Stats

Takedown average: Oliveira 2.50 / Gaethje 0.00

Takedown Accuracy: Oliveira 41% / Gaethje 0%

Takedowns defended: Oliveira 57% / Gaethje 73%

Submission average: Oliveira 2.8 / Gaethje 0.0

UFC Picks

Oliveira is listed as almost a 2-1 favorite in UFC betting odds. What Gaethje said is definitely true, as this fight is a contrast with Oliveira looking to get the fight to the mat, while Gaethje wants to keep it standing. It is hard to know who will impose their will, but I do think it will take some time to figure out. I am surprised the rounds option is listed at just 1.5 rounds, as I think this fight will take some time to get going. I’ll lay the price and take the rounds to go over the total.

UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje Card & Odds

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