UFC 279: Khamzat Chimaev vs. Nate Diaz Odds

Khamzat Chimaev is heavily favored against Nate Diaz at UFC 279: Chimaev vs. Diaz on Saturday, September 10 in Las Vegas, Nevada. This event is one of five fights on the main pay-per-view card. Chimaev is 11-0 in his career, while Diaz is 20-13 in his career. There are a total of 13 fights, with five on Pay-Per-View, four on ESPN/ESPN+ and four on ESPN/ESPN+/UFC Fight Pass at UFC 279: Chimaev vs. Diaz. Let’s look at the bout between Chimaev and Diaz and UFC predictions.

UFC 279: Chimaev vs. Diaz takes place at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada on Saturday, September 10 with 13 fights with five on Pay-Per-View, four on ESPN/ ESPN+ and four on ESPN/ESPN+/UFC Fight Pass.

UFC 279: Chimaev vs. Diaz Betting

Khamzat Chimaev (11-0, 5-0 UFC)

Chimaev came into the UFC with a record of 6-0 and he has five wins and no losses in the UFC. He defeated John Phillips by D’Arce choke submission, Rhys McKee by TKO, Gerald Meerschaert by KO, Li Jingliang by technical submission, and Gilbert Burns by unanimous decision. Chimaev has been a pro since 2018 and he has six wins by TKO/KO and four by submission. He has seven first round finishes.

Chimaev said this to mmajunkie.usatoday.com about his upcoming fight against Diaz, “Yeah, of course (I’m surprised), because he himself tells the interviews (this is) a bad matchup for him. Like, I can smash that guy easy. The guy is getting older. He’s not that guy that beat McGregor. He’s not that young guy. This is his last fight. He’s going to lose this fight and go do some boxing show. He’s a warrior. Nobody can take that away from him. He comes to fight until the last second. Like he said always, kill or be killed. He’s doing all the time. Respect for him to take the fight. It’s a bad fight for him.”

Nate Diaz (20-13, 15-11 UFC)

Diaz came into the UFC with a record of 5-2 and he has 15 wins and 11 losses in the UFC. In his last six fights, he has three wins and three losses. He defeated Michael Johnson by unanimous decision, Conor McGregor by rear-naked choke submission, and Anthony Pettis by unanimous decision; while losing to Conor McGregor by majority decision, Jorge Masvidal by TKO, and Leon Edwards by unanimous decision. Diaz has been a pro since 2004 and he has five wins by TKO/KO and 11 by submission. He has eight first round finishes.

Diaz said this to mmamania.com about his upcoming fight against Chimaev, “It’s a fight as far as I’m concerned. Him being a favorite and everybody thinking he’s going to win by — on what ground? You better take me clean out the way the odds are, right? Pressure’s on.”

Striking Stats

Strikes landed per minute: Chimaev 7.89 / Diaz 4.51

Striking Accuracy: Chimaev 59% / Diaz 45%

Strikes absorbed per minute: Chimaev 4.30 / Diaz 3.73

Defense: Chimaev 41% / Diaz 52%

Grappling Stats

Takedown average: Chimaev 3.23 / Diaz 1.10

Takedown Accuracy: Chimaev 66% / Diaz 30%

Takedowns defended: Chimaev 100% / Diaz 41%

Submission average: Chimaev 2.7 / Diaz 1.3

UFC Picks

Can you remember the last time a fighter was this big of a favorite in a UFC main event? It has happened, but not in some time. You might not think that a favorite this big could lose, but again, it has happened. The one you might remember was in 2015 when Holly Holm shocked Ronda Rousey at UFC 193. The odds on Rousey were about -1400 and that is similar to what we see on Chimaev in this fight. Do I think Diaz has a chance? No. I can’t see any path of victory for Diaz, as Chimaev is simply the superior fighter. I am definitely not laying this type of price though. Diaz is a tough fighter and he will at least want to put out a good effort. The rounds on this fight are listed at 1.5 so I’ll lay the -160 and go over 1.5 rounds.

UFC 279: Chimaev vs. Diaz Card & Odds

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