Valentina Shevchenko is heavily favored against Alexa Grasso at UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane on Saturday, March 4 in Las Vegas, Nevada. This event is one of five fights on the main pay-per-view card. Shevchenko is 23-3 in her career, while Grasso is 15-3 in her career. There are a total of 14 fights with five on Pay-Per-View, four on ESPNews/ ESPN+, and five on ESPN+/UFC Fight Pass at UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane. Let’s look at the bout between Shevchenko and Grasso and UFC predictions.
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane takes place at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada on Saturday, March 4 with 14 fights with five on Pay-Per-View, four on ESPNews/ ESPN+, and five on ESPN+/UFC Fight Pass.
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane Betting
Valentina Shevchenko (23-3, 12-2 UFC)
Shevchenko came into the UFC with a record of 11-1 and she has 12 wins and two losses in the UFC. In her last six fights, she has six wins and no losses. She defeated Liz Carmouche by unanimous decision, Katlyn Chookagian by TKO, Jennifer Maia by unanimous decision, Jessica Andrade by TKO, Lauren Murphy by TKO, and Taila Santos by split decision. Shevchenko’s last loss in her career was against Amanda Nunes by split decision in September of 2017. Shevchenko has been a pro since 2003 and she has eight wins by TKO/KO and seven by submission. She has seven first round finishes.
Alexa Grasso (15-3, 7-3 UFC)
Grasso came into the UFC with a record of 8-0 and she has seven wins and three losses in the UFC. She defeated Heather Jo Clark by unanimous decision, Randa Markos by split decision, Karolina Kowalkiewicz by unanimous decision, Ji Yeon Kim by unanimous decision, Maycee Barber by unanimous decision, Joanne Wood by rear-naked choke submission, and Viviane Araújo by unanimous decision; while losing to Felice Herrig by unanimous decision, Tatiana Suarez by rear-naked choke submission, and Carla Esparza by majority decision. Grasso has been a pro since 2012 and she has four wins by TKO/KO and one by submission. She has five first round finishes.
Grasso said this to mmamania.com about her upcoming fight against Shevchenko, “Come on, it’s impossible (to discredit her). She’s been so dominant, she’s great. I can’t say any bad thing about her, honestly. She’s great. I can’t say anything wrong about her, but I’m always thankful with tough opponents because every single time that I have a tough opponent I’m better. So, this time, I’m a lot better than the fight camp before and the year before, and three years before. I’m super happy with my evolution, with everything I’m doing in my gym with everything I’m doing in my life. This is the hugest — most important fight in my life. I’m ready to give everything I have to win that belt.”
Women’s flyweight contender Erin Blanchfield said this to mmanews.com about the upcoming fight between Shevchenko and Grasso, “For Grasso to win, she would have to stay long. Try not to eat too many leg kicks; I know Valentina is going to try to chop her up with those. And she’d have to beat her at the hands and not get taken down. But over five rounds, that’s going to be a tall ask.”
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Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Shevchenko 3.19 / Grasso 5.14
Striking Accuracy: Shevchenko 52% / Grasso 44%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Shevchenko 1.90 / Grasso 4.02
Defense: Shevchenko 63% / Grasso 61%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Shevchenko 2.53 / Grasso 0.44
Takedown Accuracy: Shevchenko 64% / Grasso 57%
Takedowns defended: Shevchenko 70% / Grasso 64%
Submission average: Shevchenko 0.4 / Grasso 0.6
UFC Picks
The price on Shevchenko is really high, but I can’t make any case for Grasso to win this fight. Shevchenko is simply too good in all areas of this fight. I don’t want to lay the big price so taking the rounds is probably the way to go. I lean toward the under, as if Grasso is to have any shot, she will have to take some chances.
DATE
FIGHTERS
MONEY LINE
3/04
Ciryl Gane
+132
Jon Jones
-167
3/04
Alexa Grasso
+438
Valentina Shevchenko
-665
3/04
Geoff Neal
+351
Shavkat Rakhmonov
-500
3/04
Jalin Turner
+168
Mateusz Gamrot
-215
3/04
Jamie Pickett
+841
Bo Nickal
-1850
3/04
Trevin Jones
+146
Cody Garbrandt
-185
3/04
Derek Brunson
+176
Dricus Du Plessis
-225
3/04
Amanda Ribas
-120
Viviane Araujo
-110
3/04
Marc-Andre Barriault
-150
Julian Marquez
+120
3/04
Kenan Song
+431
Ian Machado Garry
-650
3/04
Mana Martinez
+228
Cameron Saaiman
-300
3/04
Jessica Penne
+211
Tabatha Ricci
-275
3/04
DaMon Blackshear
+351
Farid Basharat
-500
3/04
Esteban Ribovics
+204
Loik Radzhabov
-265
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