Dustin Poirier is slightly favored against Justin Gaethje at UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 on Saturday, July 29 in Salt Lake City, Utah. This event is one of five fights on the main pay-per-view card. Poirier is 29-7 in his career, while Gaethje is 24-4 in his career. There are a total of 12 fights, with five on Pay-Per-View, four on ABC/ESPN/ ESPN+, and three on ESPN+/UFC Fight Pass at UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2. Let’s look at the bout between Poirier and Gaethje and UFC predictions.
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 takes place at the Delta Center in Salt Lake City, Utah on Saturday, July 29 with 12 fights, with five on Pay-Per-View, four on ABC/ESPN/ ESPN+, and three on ESPN+/UFC Fight Pass.
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje II Betting
Dustin Poirier (29-7, 21-6 UFC)
Poirier came into the UFC with a record of 8-1 and he has 21 wins and six losses in the UFC. In his last six fights, he has four wins and two losses. He defeated Dan Hooker by unanimous decision, Michael Chandler by rear-naked choke submission, and Conor McGregor twice both by TKO; while losing to Khabib Nurmagomedov by rear-naked choke submission and Charles Oliveira by rear-naked choke submission. Poirier has been a pro since 2009 and he has 14 wins by TKO/KO and eight by submission. He has 13 first round finishes.
Poirier said this to mmanews.com about his upcoming fight against Gaethje,"I mean, if it's a slower fight and a more technical fight, I think I win smoother there. I think his chance of beating me is the dogfight. If he tries to go technique for technique with me in the middle of the Octagon, I think that's where I'm goanna really shine."
Justin Gaethje (24-4, 7-4 UFC)
Gaethje came into the UFC with a record of 17-0 and he has seven wins and four losses in the UFC. He defeated Michael Johnson by TKO, James Vick by KO, Edson Barboza by KO, Donald Cerrone by TKO, Tony Ferguson by TKO, Michael Chandler by unanimous decision, and Rafael Fiziev by majority decision; while losing to Eddie Alvarez by KO, Dustin Poirier by TKO, Khabib Nurmagomedov by technical submission, and Charles Oliveira by rear-naked choke submission. Gaethje has been a pro since 2011 and he has 19 wins by TKO/KO and one by submission. He has nine first round finishes.
Gaethje said this to middleeasy.com about his upcoming fight against Poirier, “There’s a lot of ways I see my hand being raised. I mean, being a better fighter, being the more athletic fighter, and a lot of preparation goes into this stuff but there’s always a little bit of luck and a little bit of chance, so you got to hope you’re on the right end of the stick on that one. I have no hard feelings going in there this is just two of the best guys in the world fighting each other for a chance to fight for the belt. It’s what we both signed up for, it’s what we do it’s who we are and so yeah he’s a formidable opponent and I can’t wait to get in there with him. I’m not too worried about that right now. (Poirier is) the number two-ranked guy in the world. I’m the number three-ranked guy in the world. And if one of us is able to go in there and get a quick knockout and take no damage, then there’s a slight possibility that maybe we’ll be ready for October but we’ll see.”
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Poirier 5.51 / Gaethje 7.38
Striking Accuracy: Poirier 50% / Gaethje 60%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Poirier 4.25 / Gaethje 7.66
Defense: Poirier 54% / Gaethje 53%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Poirier 1.39 / Gaethje 0.13
Takedown Accuracy: Poirier 36% / Gaethje 25%
Takedowns defended: Poirier 63% / Gaethje 75%
Submission average: Poirier 1.2/ Gaethje 0.0
UFC Picks
We should be in store for an exciting main event, as Poirier and Gaethje are very evenly matched. They fought in 2018 and it was Poirier winning by 4th round TKO. This fight on Saturday is a main event fight so it is scheduled for five rounds. The rounds option is listed at 2.5 and I am a little surprised the rounds option is listed so low. I think this fight has a chance to go the distance. I know both of these two fighters have finishing power, but I expect this to be a war that goes over the rounds total of 2.5.
| DATE |
FIGHTERS |
MONEY LINE |
| 7/29 |
Justin Gaethje |
+121 |
| Dustin Poirier |
-152 |
| 7/29 |
Alex Pereira |
-105 |
| Jan Blachowicz |
-125 |
| 7/29 |
Tony Ferguson |
+322 |
| Bobby Green |
-450 |
| 7/29 |
Michael Chiesa |
+120 |
| Kevin Holland |
-150 |
| 7/29 |
Michel Pereira |
+135 |
| Stephen Thompson |
-170 |
| 7/29 |
Marcos Rogerio de Lima |
-210 |
| Derrick Lewis |
+165 |
| 7/29 |
Trevin Giles |
+280 |
| Gabriel Bonfim |
-380 |
| 7/29 |
Claudio Ribeiro |
+186 |
| Roman Kopylov |
-240 |
| 7/29 |
Vinicius Salvador |
+127 |
| CJ Vergara |
-160 |
| 7/29 |
Uros Medic |
+165 |
| Matthew Semelsberger |
-210 |
| 7/29 |
Priscila Cachoeira |
+258 |
| Miranda Maverick |
-345 |
| 7/29 |
Darrius Flowers |
+215 |
| Jake Matthews |
-281 |
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