Zhang Weili is favored against Amanda Lemos at UFC 292: Sterling vs. O’Malley on Saturday, August 19 in Boston, Massachusetts. This event is one of four fights on the main pay-per-view card. Weili is 23-3 in her career, while Lemos is 13-2-1 in her career. There are a total of 11 fights, with four on Pay-Per-View, four on ESPN2/ ESPN+, and three on ESPN+/UFC Fight Pass at UFC 292: Sterling vs. O’Malley. Let’s look at the bout between Weili and Lemos and UFC predictions.
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O’Malley takes place at the TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts on Saturday, August 19 with 11 fights, with four on Pay-Per-View, four on ESPN2/ ESPN+, and three on ESPN+/UFC Fight Pass.
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley Betting
Zhang Weili (23-3, 7-2 UFC)
Weili came into the UFC with a record of 16-1 and she has seven wins and two losses in the UFC. She defeated Danielle Taylor by unanimous decision, Jessica Aguilar by armbar submission, Tecia Torres by unanimous decision, Jessica Andrade by TKO, Joanna Jedrzejczyk twice with once by split decision and once by KO, and Carla Esparza by rear-naked choke submission; while losing to Rose Namajunas twice with once by KO and once by split decision. Weili has been a pro since 2013 and she has 11 wins by TKO/KO and eight by submission. She has 11 first round finishes.
Amanda Lemos (13-2-1, 7-2 UFC)
Lemos came into the UFC with a record of 6-0-1 and she has seven wins and two losses in the UFC. She defeated Miranda Granger by technical submission, Mizuki Inoue by unanimous decision, Lívia Renata Souza by TKO, Montserrat Ruiz by TKO, Angela Hill by split decision, Michelle Waterson by guillotine choke submission, and Marina Rodriguez by TKO; while losing to Leslie Smith by TKO and Jessica Andrade by arm-triangle choke submission. Lemos has been a pro since 2014 and she has eight win by TKO/KO and three by submission. She has eight first round finishes.
Jessica Andrade said this to mmafighting.com about the upcoming matchup between Weili and Lemos, “Amanda Lemos is very tough. Her striking is very, very hard. If Weili doesn’t be careful, doesn’t take her down, or doesn’t work well with her jiu-jitsu, I believe Lemos becomes the new champion because of the power she has. She’s very, very strong. I’ve fought both, I got hit hard by both, and I’ll tell you this: Lemos hits harder than Weili. If Weili doesn’t use the right strategy and work on the ground, finds the timing to shoot for takedowns, it will end badly for her. This is my pick – I think Lemos wins. If it goes past the second or third rounds, Lemos wins. I don’t know if Lemos can do five rounds with Weili, she’s been doing this for a few years now, but in terms of power, if Weili doesn’t work against the fence and gets Lemos tired, it will definitely be a knockout in the second or third round.”
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Weili 5.79 / Lemos 4.51
Striking Accuracy: Weili 47% / Lemos 57%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Weili 4.06 / Lemos 3.97
Defense: Weili 53% / Lemos 50%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Weili 1.97 / Lemos 1.12
Takedown Accuracy: Weili 34% / Lemos 55%
Takedowns defended: Weili 66% / Lemos 81%
Submission average: Weili 0.5/ Lemos 0.7
UFC Picks
Weili is listed as nearly a 3-1 favorite in UFC odds in this fight. I don’t think there is much doubt that Weili is the better fighter, but I don’t know about this price. Lemos is definitely not without a chance and we get more than 2-1. There was an interesting thing said by Andrade about this fight and that is that if it goes the distance, Lemos doesn’t have much of a shot. If that is true then this fight should go under the rounds total, as a finish seems likely. Since I see some value on Lemos overall, I think there is definite value on Lemos to win by finish, as we get +400 on that prop.
| DATE | FIGHTERS | MONEY LINE |
| 8/19 | Sean O'malley | +207 |
| Aljamain Sterling | -270 |
| 8/19 | Amanda Lemos | +218 |
| Weili Zhang | -285 |
| 8/19 | Pedro Munhoz | +150 |
| Marlon Vera | -190 |
| 8/19 | Chris Weidman | +204 |
| Brad Tavares | -265 |
| 8/19 | Denis Tiuliulin | +264 |
| Gregory Rodrigues | -355 |
| 8/19 | Gerald Meerschaert | +186 |
| Andre Petroski | -240 |
| 8/19 | Andrea Lee | +277 |
| Natalia Silva | -375 |
| 8/19 | Karine Silva | -155 |
| Maryna Moroz | +124 |
| 8/19 | Neil Magny | +328 |
| Ian Garry | -460 |
| 8/19 | Kurt Holobaugh | +160 |
| Austin Hubbard | -203 |
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