UFC 299: Dustin Poirier vs. Benoit Saint Denis Odds

Benoit Saint Denis is favored against Dustin Poirier at UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 on Saturday, March 9 in Miami, Florida. This event is one of five fights on the main pay-per-view card. Poirier is 29-8 in his career, while Saint Denis is 13-1 in his career. There are a total of 14 fights, with five on Pay-Per-View and nine on ESPN/ESPN+ at UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2. Let’s look at the bout between Poirier and Saint Denis and UFC predictions.

UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 takes place at the Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida on Saturday, March 9 with 14 fights, with five on Pay-Per-View and nine on ESPN/ESPN+.

UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera II Betting

Dustin Poirier (29-8, 21-7 UFC)

Poirier came into the UFC with a record of 8-1 and he has 21 wins and seven losses in the UFC. In his last six fights, he has four wins and two losses. He defeated Dan Hooker by unanimous decision, Michael Chandler by rear-naked choke submission, and against Conor McGregor twice with both by TKO; while losing to Charles Oliveira by rear-naked choke submission and Justin Gaethje by KO. Poirier has been a pro since 2009 and he has 14 wins by TKO/KO and eight by submission. He has 13 first round finishes.

Poirier said this mmajunkie.usatoday.com about his upcoming fight against Saint Denis, “(I’m fighting him) to test myself really – to see if I’ve still got it. This guy is young, hungry, on a streak, finished his last five opponents – that makes me nervous, so I want to toss myself in the fire. That’s where I feel like I do my best work, and those are the kinds of fighters I want to fight – guys who are leaving it all out there, showing grit … they fight for finishes. That’s the kind of fight I want to be involved in.”

Benoit Saint Denis (13-1, 5-1 UFC)

Saint Denis came into the UFC with a record of 8-0 and he has five wins and one loss in the UFC. He defeated Niklas Stolze by rear-naked choke submission, Gabriel Miranda by TKO, Ismael Bonfim by face crank submission, Thiago Moisés by TKO, and Matt Frevola by KO; while losing to Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos by unanimous decision in October of 2021. Saint Denis has been a pro since 2019 and he has four wins by TKO/KO and nine by submission. He has seven first round finishes.

Saint Denis said this to independent.co.uk about his upcoming fight against Poirier, “I believe fights of this level are always a matter of style, and who is going to impose his style on the other. If we have a Dustin Poirier kind of fight, it’s going to be a difficult battle, but if you have a Benoit Saint-Denis kind of fight, it will be Poirier who will be in a bad position.”

Striking Stats

Strikes landed per minute: Poirier 5.49 / Saint Denis 5.53

Striking Accuracy: Poirier 50% / Saint Denis 52%

Strikes absorbed per minute: Poirier 4.30 / Saint Denis 5.20

Defense: Poirier 53% / Saint Denis 44%

Grappling Stats

Takedown average: Poirier 1.36/ Saint Denis 4.55

Takedown Accuracy: Poirier 36% / Saint Denis 36%

Takedowns defended: Poirier 63% / Saint Denis 66%

Submission average: Poirier 1.2/ Saint Denis 1.4

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UFC Picks

Saint Denis is listed as more than a 2-1 UFC betting favorite in this fight. I am definitely not laying the price on Saint Denis against a fighter in Poirier who has shown in the past he can finish fights quickly. This is scheduled as a five-round fight and billed as the co-main event, but I don’t think we have to worry about the fight going five rounds, as both of these fighters have finishing ability. Oddsmakers agree, as the rounds are listed at either 1.5 or 2.5. It is a nice plus money price on the rounds to go under 1.5 and I think there is a decent chance we get a quick finish one way or the other.

UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera II Card & Odds

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