UFC 299: Sean O'Malley vs. Marlon Vera Odds

Sean O'Malley is favored against Marlon Vera at UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 on Saturday, March 9 in Miami, Florida. This event is one of five fights on the main pay-per-view card. O'Malley is 17-1 in his career, while Vera is 23-8-1 in his career. There are a total of 14 fights, with five on Pay-Per-View and nine on ESPN/ESPN+ at UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2. Let’s look at the bout between O'Malley and Vera and UFC predictions.

UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 takes place at the Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida on Saturday, March 9 with 14 fights, with five on Pay-Per-View and nine on ESPN/ESPN+.

UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera II Betting

Sean O'Malley (17-1, 9-1 UFC)

O'Malley came into the UFC with a record of 8-0 and he has nine wins and one loss in the UFC. He defeated Terrion Ware by unanimous decision, Andre Soukhamthath by unanimous decision, José Alberto Quiñónez by TKO, Eddie Wineland by KO, Thomas Almeida by KO, Kris Moutinho by TKO, Raulian Paiva by TKO, Petr Yan by split decision, and Aljamain Sterling by TKO; while losing to Marlon Vera by TKO in August of 2020. O'Malley has been a pro since 2015 and he has 12 wins by TKO/KO and one by submission. He has nine first round finishes.

O'Malley said this to mmafighting.com about his upcoming fight against Vera, “I think ‘Chito’s’ a cold-blooded killer. I don’t think it’s going to faze him that he’s being gifted this title shot. Do I think he knows that? Yeah. He knows he didn’t go out there — he didn’t even finish Pedro. I beat Pedro in two rounds. So, there’s no way he’s coming off this like, ‘I earned this title fight.’ He knows he’s getting this title fight because I’m champ. As far as it affecting him, dude’s a killer. I don’t think that will mentally play any problems for him.”

Marlon Vera (23-8-1, 15-7 UFC)

Vera came into the UFC with a record of 8-1-1 and he has 15 wins and seven losses in the UFC. In his last six fights, he has five wins and one loss. He defeated Davey Grant by unanimous decision, Frankie Edgar by KO, Rob Font by unanimous decision, Dominick Cruz by KO, and Pedro Munhoz by unanimous decision; while losing to Cory Sandhagen by split decision. Vera has been a pro since 2010 and he has eight wins by TKO/KO and 10 by submission. He has eight first round finishes.

Fellow MMA and UFC fighter Alexander Volkanovski said this to mmaweekly.com about the upcoming fight between O'Malley and Vera, Who do I lean towards? I lean towards Sean O'Malley. I'm going to say pretty comfortably I say that. They've already fought, right? So you've got to give that respect where Chito's already beat him. Do I feel like he can do the same things to Sean? I think that's going to be hard. I know he's already beat Sean but I think Sean's striking is high-level. I think that it's pretty underrated. I'm going to have to lean towards Sean O'Malley. I think his striking is going to be too much. I know that Chito is going to want to keep it standing. I think Chito has to keep it standing. Sean O'Malley is even dangerous on the ground. I think he's going to hard to take down. I think Sean can give him problems even there. He can throw some nice submissions off his back and he's pretty creative there. I think it's going to be a standup fight, which is exciting. You know Chito is going to bring it. I just think the movement and that will be too much and I think knowing Sean O'Malley is going to look for the finish - He's creative and has a good eye - I think it's going to be a finish for Sean O'Malley.”

Striking Stats

Strikes landed per minute: O'Malley 7.25 / Vera 4.37

Striking Accuracy: O'Malley 61% / Vera 50%

Strikes absorbed per minute: O'Malley 3.51 / Vera 5.16

Defense: O'Malley 61% / Vera 51%

Grappling Stats

Takedown average: O'Malley 0.43/ Vera 0.58

Takedown Accuracy: O'Malley 42% / Vera 39%

Takedowns defended: O'Malley 62% / Vera 70%

Submission average: O'Malley 0.4/ Vera 0.9

Get the latest MMA betting odds and UFC betting odds and bet on UFC 299 O'Malley vs. Vera II and Dustin Poirier vs Benoît Saint Denis at https://t.co/BMNy9B13HD. Check out the rest of the UFC and MMA betting odds and many other betting options available pic.twitter.com/AvxOaT2LaH

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UFC Picks

This is a revenge fight for O'Malley, as he was beaten by Vera in 2020. I think O'Malley will get revenge and win this fight, but I don’t want to lay the nearly 3-1 price in UFC odds. I am a little surprised at the number on the rounds. The total is listed at 4.5 with the over at -160. Both of these fighters are known as finishers and I think there is a good chance we get a finish in this fight and we get +127 on under 4.5 rounds. I’ll go under the rounds total.

UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera II Card & Odds

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