Alex Pereira is heavily favored against Khalil Rountree Jr. at UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. on Saturday, October 5 in Salt Lake City, Utah. This event is one of five fights on the main pay-per-view card. Pereira is 11-2 in his career, including 8-1 in the UFC, while Rountree Jr. is 13-5 in his career, including 9-5 in the UFC. There are a total of 12 fights, with five on Pay-Per-View, a total of four on ESPNews/ESPN+, and three on ESPN+/UFC Fight Pass at UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. Let’s look at the bout between Pereira and Rountree Jr. and UFC predictions.
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. takes place at the Delta Center in Salt Lake City, Utah on Saturday, October 5 with 12 fights, with five on Pay-Per-View, four on ESPNews/ESPN+, and three on ESPN+/UFC Fight Pass.
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. Betting
Alex Pereira (11-2, 8-1 UFC)
Pereira came into the UFC with a record of 3-1 and he has eight wins and one loss in the UFC. He defeated Andreas Michailidis by TKO, Bruno Silva by unanimous decision, Sean Strickland by KO, Israel Adesanya by TKO, Jan Blachowicz by split decision, Jirí Procházka by TKO, Jamahal Hill by KO, and Jirí Procházka by TKO; while losing to Israel Adesanya by KO. Pereira came into the UFC with a record of 2015 and he has nine wins by TKO/KO and two by decision. He has four first round finishes.
Khalil Rountree Jr. (13-5, 9-5 UFC)
Rountree Jr. came into the UFC with a record of 4-0 and he has nine wins and five losses in the UFC. In his last six fights, he has five wins and one loss. He defeated Modestas Bukauskas by TKO, Karl Roberson by TKO, Dustin Jacoby by split decision, Chris Daukaus by TKO, and Anthony Smith by TKO; while losing to Marcin Prachnio by unanimous decision. Rountree Jr. has been a pro since 2014 and he has nine wins by TKO/KO and four by decision. He has six first round finishes.
Sean Strickland said this to sherdog.com about the upcoming fight between Pereira and Rountree Jr., “I just can’t see Khalil [Rountree] pulling it off… I remember watching him fight Anthony Smith, like I just can’t see it happening (with Pereira). I don’t think (Rountree) has the tools in the toolbox to beat Alex. He’s not knocking him out, he’s not out striking him, and he’s not outwrestling him. I think Alex is going to make easy work of this fight.”
Kamaru Usman said this to mmajunkie.usatoday.com about the upcoming fight between Pereira and Rountree Jr., “I’m going to shock everybody here. I think you are wrong why you are saying that everyone stands and strikes with (Pereira) and they lose? I think Khalil Rountree shocks the world – shocks the world. Crazy things happen in Utah, and look at our champions right now. Khalil Rountree is extremely explosive, extremely powerful, his muay Thai is incredible. When he’s launching them, he’s going to find your face. The problem is his pace. When Khalil lets go, he lets everything go. And how is he going to do in Rounds 3, 4 and 5 if the fight somehow gets there? That’s my only concern. But in those first two rounds, I’m telling you right now that Khalil Rountree is as dangerous as anyone Alex Pereira has fought. I’m telling you right now. With his story, with everything that he’s been through, man, what a way to cap that off by letting the world and future generations know that you can start here, completely change your life, and end here.”
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Pereira 5.23 / Rountree Jr. 3.84
Striking Accuracy: Pereira 63% / Rountree Jr. 39%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Pereira 3.51 / Rountree Jr. 4.18
Defense: Pereira 51% / Rountree Jr. 50%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Pereira 0.17/ Rountree Jr. 0.00
Takedown Accuracy: Pereira 100% / Rountree Jr. 0%
Takedowns defended: Pereira 70% / Rountree Jr. 58%
Submission average: Pereira 0.3/ Rountree Jr. 0.1
UFC Picks
Pereira is listed as almost a 5-1 favorite in UFC betting odds to win this fight. I simply don’t lay prices that big so I am not taking Pereira, plus I don’t think Rountree Jr. is without a chance, as he has the power to get a knockout win. Oddsmakers think a finish one way or the other is likely as they set the rounds at 1.5. I agree and will take the rounds to go under the total.
| DATE | FIGHTERS | MONEY LINE |
| 10/05 | Khalil Rountree | +347 |
| Alex Pereira | -475 |
| 10/05 | Julianna Pena | +138 |
| Raquel Pennington | -170 |
| 10/05 | Joaquin Buckley | -205 |
| Stephen Thompson | +165 |
| 10/05 | Mario Bautista | -144 |
| Jose Aldo | +117 |
| 10/05 | Kevin Holland | -158 |
| Roman Dolidze | +129 |
| 10/05 | Kayla Harrison | -900 |
| Ketlen Vieira | +567 |
| 10/05 | Iasmin Lucindo | -170 |
| Marina Rodriguez | +138 |
| 10/05 | Ihor Potieria | +300 |
| Cesar Almeida | -400 |
| 10/05 | Tecia Pennington | -175 |
| Carla Esparza | +142 |
| 10/05 | Ovince St. Preux | +226 |
| Ryan Spann | -290 |
| 10/05 | Court McGee | +165 |
| Tim Means | -205 |
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