Welterweight action fighter Donald “Cowboy” Cerrone (33-11, 9 KOs, 16 SUBs) will meet knockout artist Mike Perry (12-3, 11 KOs) at UFC Fight Night 139 on Saturday, November 10, 2018 at the Pepsi Center in Denver, Colorado. The card airs live on FS1.
It’s sad to say, but we could be seeing the end of Donald Cerrone as a top fighter. The popular “Cowboy” was a former featherweight title contender, a lightweight title challenger and until recently a legitimate welterweight contender. But the longtime vet has lost four of his past five - by far the worst stretch for a guy that had never lost more than two in a row for a decade.
You can justify part of this slump because of the competition Cowboy’s been facing: he’s only lost to the cream of the welterweight crop. But the beatings he took against guys like Jorge Masvidal, Darren Till and Robbie Lawler implies that he’s just not on that top tier anymore. A loss to up-and-comer Leon Edwards in his last outing only reiterates the implication.
This Saturday, he meets “Platinum” Mike Perry, a serious killshot puncher with a lack of technical skill that caps his ceiling. For a hot minute, Perry looked like a rising star, sleeping dudes left and right with his explosive punching power. After consecutive losses to Santiago Ponzinibbio and Max Griffin, he’s just another guy trying to break into the top 15 of a loaded division.
Let’s take a look at the UFC odds at BookMaker.eu and break down your best betting options for this matchup. Remember, even if you look like you’re gonna lose your original bet, live UFC betting at BookMaker.eu gives you the opportunity to hedge your play.
UFC Odds at BookMaker.eu
Donald Cerrone +180
Mike Perry -225
Fight goes/doesn’t go to decision: +175 / -245
Striking Stats
Significant strikes landed per minute: Cerrone 4.12 / Perry 4.12
Accuracy: Cerrone 47.95% / Perry 45.08%
Significant strikes absorbed per minute: Cerrone 4.04 / Perry 4.59
Defense: Cerrone 54.24% / Perry 58.32%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Cerrone 1.3 / Perry 0.7
Takedown accuracy: Cerrone 35.16% / Perry 50%
Takedowns defended: Cerrone 72.22% / Perry 66.67%
Submission average: Cerrone 1.42 / Perry 0
Betting Analysis
Here’s an interesting backstory: Cerrone left his longtime training camp in Jackson-Wink in a messy divorce that spilled out into public. Cowboy took it public, blasting former coach Mike Winkeljohn and leaving the gym where he’s trained for 10 years.
What’s all the drama about? Mike Perry recently started training at Jackson-Wink, which was a good move considering that his ex-girlfriend (a former tennis coach) cornered his last fight and offered in-fight coaching gems such as “kick the knee!” and “break that leg!”. Cowboy claimed that he approached the gym about Perry training elsewhere for their upcoming fight, but Winkeljohn said he’d be sticking with Perry. That didn’t sit well with Cowboy, who blasted Wink and held camp at his ranch.
So...where does that leave us? We don’t know how that’ll factor into the fight, but Perry has to be improving at one of the best camps in the business, while Cerrone contentious split can’t be really considered a positive for the guy.
Oddsmakers seem to think so too, making Perry a big favorite despite having a resume that doesn’t even compare to Cerrone’s.
UFC Odds Pick: Cerrone to win at +180
This is a price that we just have to take. We’re sure that Winkeljohn and the remaining camp members are telling Perry everything they know about Cowboy. But how much can Perry improve in one camp? This is a guy that’s been exposed by far more technical strikers before, and Cerrone - a former pro kickboxer - is just that.
Bet on UFC odds at BookMaker.eu
Access live betting lines from your mobile device at BookMaker sportsbook! Real-time spreads, totals, props and money line are all available so start betting with BookMaker today. UFC Fight Night 139 takes place on Saturday, November 10, 2018 at the Pepsi Center in Denver, Colorado. The card airs live on FS1.
