Marlon Vera is a solid favorite against Guido Cannetti at UFC Fight Night 140 on Saturday night in Buenos Aires, Argentina. This event is one of six fights on the main card on FS1. Cannetti is 8-3 in his career, while Vera is 11-5-1 in his career. There are a total of six fights on the main card on FS1, with the headliner a bout between Neil Magny and Santiago Ponzinibbio. There are also a total of six fights on the preliminary card with four on FS1and two on UFC Fight Pass. Let’s look at the bout between Cannetti and Vera and UFC predictions.
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Guido Cannetti (8-3, 2-2 UFC)
Cannetti came into the UFC with a record of 6-1 and he has two wins and two losses in the UFC. He defeated Hugo Viana by unanimous decision and Diego Rivas by unanimous decision; while losing to Henry Briones by submission and Kyung Ho Kang by submission. Cannetti has been a pro since 2007 and has three wins by TKO/KO and three by submission. He has six first round finishes.
Marlon Vera (11-5-1, 5-4 UFC)
Vera came into the UFC with a record of 6-1-1 and he has five wins and four losses in the UFC. He defeated Roman Salazar by submission, Ning Guangyou by unanimous decision, Brad Pickett by TKO, Brian Kelleher by submission, and Wuliji Buren by TKO; while losing to Marco Beltrán by unanimous decision, Davey Grant by unanimous decision, John Lineker by unanimous decision, and Douglas Silva de Andrade by unanimous decision. Vera has been a pro since 2012 and has three wins by TKO/KO and five by submission. He has five first round finishes.
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Cannetti 2.67/ Vera 3.21
Accuracy: Cannetti 51% / Vera 43%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Cannetti 1.68 Vera 3.94
Defense: Cannetti 55% / Vera 52%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Cannetti 2.52/ Vera 0.55
Accuracy: Cannetti 50% / Vera 28%
Takedowns defended: Cannetti 81% / Vera 70%
Submission average: Cannetti 0.4 / Vera 1.1
UFC Predictions
Cannetti lost his UFC debut in 2014 but he came back and got a huge upset win against Hugo Viana. Things didn’t go that well for Cannetti after that win as he had to deal with injuries and a drug suspension. He was off for over two years and his results since are mixed, as he lost to Kyung Ho Kang while beating Diego Rivas. On the other side, Vera has never really lived up to expectations. He can be really good with a highlight-reel submission or he can just as easily get knocked out. Cannetti may be a bit underrated, but Vera has most of the advantages in this fight. The edge for Cannetti would be in striking, while Vera has the edge on the round. I think Vera has the edge, but I don’t know that it is a 3-1 edge, which is where the odds are. I’ll just take the fight to go under the rounds total.
UFC Fight Night 140 takes place at Estadio Mary Teran de Weiss in Buenos Aires, Argentina on Saturday night, November 17 with six fights on the main card on FS1, headlined by Neil Magny vs. Santiago Ponzinibbio and six preliminary bouts, with four on FS1 and two on UFC Fight Pass.
Main Card (FS1)
Welterweight - Santiago Ponzinibbio -303 vs. Neil Magny
Featherweight - Ricardo Lamas -210 vs. Darren Elkins
Light Heavyweight - Khalil Rountree -230 vs. Johnny Walker
Middleweight - Cezar Ferreira -185 vs. Ian Heinisch
Bantamweight - Marlon Vera -310 vs. Guido Cannetti
Women's Strawweight - Poliana Botelho -155 vs. Cynthia Calvillo
Preliminary Card (FS1)
Welterweight - Michel Prazeres -188 vs. Bartosz Fabinski
Flyweight - Alexandre Pantoja -365 vs. Ulka Sasaki
Featherweight - Humberto Bandenay -260 vs. Austin Arnett
Welterweight - Laureano Staropoli -115 vs. Hector Aldana
Preliminary Card (UFC Fight Pass)
Lightweight - Jesus Pinedo-200 vs.Devin Powell
Featherweight - Nad Narimani -320 vs. Anderson dos Santos
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