UFC Fight Night 145 Picks - Stefan Struve vs. Marcos Rogerio de Lima

UFC Fight Night 145 Picks

Bet on UFC Fight Night 145 and Stefan Struve vs. Marcos Rogerio de Lima right now at BookMaker. De Lima is slightly favored against Stefan Struve at UFC Fight Night 145 at O2 Arena in Prague, Czech Republic on Saturday night. This event is one of six fights on the main card on ESPN+. Struve is 28-11 in his career, while Rogerio de Lima is 16-5-1 in his career. There are a total of six fights on the main card on ESPN+, with the headliner a bout between Jan Blachowicz and Thiago Santos. There are also a total of seven fights on the preliminary card, all on ESPN2. Let’s look at the bout between Struve and Rogerio de Lima and UFC picks.

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Stefan Struve (28-11, 12-9 UFC)

Struve came into the UFC with a record of 16-2 and he has 12 wins and nine losses in the UFC. In his last five fights, he has two wins and three losses. He defeated Antônio Silva by KO and Daniel Omielanczuk by submission; while losing to Alexander Volkov by TKO, Andrei Arlovski by unanimous decision, and Marcin Tybura by unanimous decision. Struve has been a pro since 2005 and has eight wins by TKO/KO and 17 by submission. He has 16 first round finishes.

Marcos Rogerio de Lima (12-9, 5-3 UFC)

Rogerio de Lima came into the UFC with a record of 11-2-1 and he has five wins and three losses in the UFC. He defeated Richardson Moreira by KO, Igor Pokrajac by TKO, Clint Hester by submission, Jeremy Kimball by TKO, and Adam Wieczorek by unanimous decision; while losing to Nikita Krylov by submission, Gadzhimurad Antigulov by submission, and Ovince Saint Preux by submission. Rogerio de Lima has been a pro since 2009 and has 11 wins by TKO/KO and three by submission. He has 11 first round finishes.

Striking Stats

Strikes landed per minute: Struve 3.14/ Rogerio de Lima 3.57
Accuracy: Struve 45% / Rogerio de Lima 51%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Struve 3.92/ Rogerio de Lima 2.99
Defense: Struve 47% / Rogerio de Lima 53%

Grappling Stats

Takedown average: Struve 0.54/ Rogerio de Lima 0.90
Accuracy: Struve 50% / Rogerio de Lima 60%
Takedowns defended: Struve 54% / Rogerio de Lima 40%
Submission average: Struve 1.8 / Rogerio de Lima 0.9

UFC Picks

Rogerio de Lima is a -130 favorite in this fight only because Struve is on a three-fight losing streak. Rogerio de Lima in his career is excellent at getting knockouts and has great combinations, but he wears out easily and his ground game is weak. De Lima must get a fast knockout or he will be in trouble, as Struve has an excellent ground game. This is a huge fight for Struve to show he still has what it takes to stay in the UFC. Even though the odds have De Lima as the favorite, I am going to go with the underdog price and take Struve to get the win via submission.

UFC Fight Night 145 takes place at O2 Arena in Prague, Czech Republic on Saturday night. There are six fights on the main card on ESPN+ headlined by Jan Blachowicz and Thiago Santos and seven preliminary bouts all on ESPN2.

Main Card (ESPN+)

Light Heavyweight - Thiago Santos -145 vs. Jan Blachowicz
Heavyweight - Marcos Rogério de Lima -130 vs. Stefan Struve
Light Heavyweight - Michal Oleksiejczuk -205 vs. Gian Villante
Women's Flyweight - Liz Carmouche -130 vs. Lucie Pudilová
Bantamweight - Petr Yan -270 vs. John Dodson
Light Heavyweight - Magomed Ankalaev -240 vs. Klidson Abreu

Preliminary Card (ESPN2)

Welterweight - Carlo Pedersoli Jr. -130 vs. Dwight Grant
Featherweight - Chris Fishgold -260 vs. Daniel Teymur
Women's Flyweight - Gillian Robertson -150 vs. Veronica Macedo
Lightweight - Marco Polo Reyes -150 vs. Damir Hadžovic
Welterweight - Michel Prazeres -410 vs. Ismail Naurdiev
Lightweight - Rustam Khabilov -140 vs. Carlos Diego Ferreira
Lightweight - Damir Ismagulov -260 vs. Joel Alvarez

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