
Charles Oliveira is heavily favored against Nik Lentz at UFC Fight Night 152 on Saturday, May 18 in Rochester, New York. This event is one of six fights on the main card on ESPN+. Oliveira is 26-8 in his career, while Lentz is 30-9-2 in his career. There are a total of six fights on the main card on ESPN+ at UFC Fight Night 152, with the headliner a bout between Rafael dos Anjos and Kevin Lee. There are also a total of seven fights on the preliminary card all on ESPN+. Let’s look at the bout between Oliveira and Lentz and UFC picks.
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Charles Oliveira (26-8, 14-8 UFC)
Oliveira came into the UFC with a record of 12-0 and he has 14 wins and eight losses in the UFC. In his last five fights, he has four wins and one loss. He defeated Clay Guida by submission, Christos Giagos by submission, Jim Miller by submission, and David Teymur by submission; while losing to Paul Felder by TKO. Oliveira has been a pro since 2008 and he has six wins by TKO/KO and 18 by submission. He has 14 first round finishes.
Nik Lentz (30-9-2, 14-6-1 UFC)
Lentz came into the UFC with a record of 16-3-1 and he has 14 wins, six losses, and one draw in the UFC. In his last five fights, he has three wins and two losses. He defeated Will Brooks by submission, Gray Maynard by TKO, and Scott Holtzman by unanimous decision; while losing to Islam Makhachev by unanimous decision and David Teymur by unanimous decision. Lentz has been a pro since 2005 and he has eight wins by TKO/KO and 11 by submission. He has 13 first round finishes.
Lentz said this to ufc.com about his upcoming fight against Oliveira, “I feel very ready, I’m very confident and although anybody can lose to Charles Oliveira, if he beats me that night, he would have to beat a miraculous human because I’m ready. I think the holes that I had when we fought last time aren’t there anymore because I have the best striking coaches and the best wrestling coaches in the game. I’ve never been better than I am right now, in every way.”
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Oliveira 3.08/ Lentz 3.49
Accuracy: Oliveira 49% / Lentz 50%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Oliveira 3.03/ Lentz 3.03
Defense: Oliveira 53% / Lentz 50%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Oliveira 2.93/ Lentz 3.58
Accuracy: Oliveira 43% / Lentz 34%
Takedowns defended: Oliveira 60% / Lentz 44%
Submission average: Oliveira 2.8/ Lentz 1.3

UFC Picks
This will be the third time that Oliveira and Lentz will be facing each with the other two ending in a no contest and a submission win for Oliveira. There is no question that Oliveira is very experienced and a submission expert, but Lentz is a fighter who causes problems for his opponents with his style and he definitely seems confident. I think the odds are too high on this bout and I give Lentz a chance to win. I will take the big underdog Lentz to get the win on Saturday.
UFC Fight Night 152 takes place Blue Cross Arena in Rochester, New Yorkon Saturday, May 18, with six fights on the main card on ESPN+, headlined by Rafael dos Anjos vs. Kevin Lee and seven preliminary bouts on ESPN+.
Main Card (ESPN+)
Welterweight - Rafael dos Anjos -125 vs. Kevin Lee
Welterweight - TBD vs. TBD
Middleweight - Antônio Carlos Júnior -210 vs. Ian Heinisch
Women's Featherweight - Megan Anderson -155 vs. Felicia Spencer
Lightweight Charles Oliveira – 365 vs. Nik Lentz
Lightweight - Davi Ramos -425 vs. Austin Hubbard
Preliminary Card (ESPN+)
Women's Bantamweight - Aspen Ladd -300 vs. Sijara Eubanks
Lightweight - Desmond Green -600 vs. Charles Jourdain
Welterweight - Danny Roberts -250 vs. Michel Pereira
Featherweight - Michael Trizano -150 vs. Grant Dawson
Light Heavyweight - Patrick Cummins -235 vs. Ed Herman
Middleweight - Trevin Giles -150 vs. Zak Cummings
Featherweight - Julio Arce -525 vs. Julian Erosa
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