Alex Caceres is favored against Daniel Pineda at UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi on Saturday, June 3 in Las Vegas, Nevada. This event is one of 13 fights on ESPN/ESPN+. Caceres is 20-13 in his career, including 15-11 in the UFC, while Pineda is 28-14 in his career, including 5-5 in the UFC. There are a total of 13 fights, all on ESPN/ESPN+ at UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi. Let’s look at the bout between Caceres and Pineda and UFC predictions. UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi takes place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada on Saturday, June 3 with 13 fights, all on ESPN/ESPN+.
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi Betting
Alex Caceres (20-13, 15-11 UFC)
Caceres came into the UFC with a record of 5-2 and he has 15 wins and 11 losses in the UFC. In his last six fights, he has five wins and one loss. He defeated Chase Hooper by unanimous decision, Austin Springer by rear-naked choke submission, Kevin Croom by unanimous decision, Seung Woo Choi by rear-naked choke submission, and Julian Erosa by TKO; while losing to Sodiq Yusuff by unanimous decision. Caceres has been a pro since 2008 and he has four wins by TKO/KO and seven by submission. He has a total of four first round finishes.
Daniel Pineda (28-14, 5-5 UFC)
Pineda came into the UFC with a record of 15-7 and he has five wins and five losses in the UFC. He defeated Pat Schilling by rear-naked choke submission, Mackens Semerzier by triangle armbar submission, Justin Lawrence by kimura submission, Herbert Burns by TKO, and Tucker Lutz by guillotine choke submission; while losing to Mike Brown by unanimous decision, Antonio Carvalho by KO, Diego Brandão by unanimous decision, Robert Whiteford by unanimous decision, and Cub Swanson by KO. Pineda has been a pro since 2007 and he has nine wins by TKO/KO and 19 by submission. He has a total of 17 first round finishes.
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Caceres 4.16 /Pineda 3.32
Striking Accuracy: Caceres 51% /Pineda 49%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Caceres 2.92/Pineda 3.03
Defense: Caceres 64% /Pineda 48%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Caceres 0.57 /Pineda 1.47
Takedown Accuracy: Caceres 70% /Pineda 24%
Takedowns defended: Caceres 64% /Pineda 48%
Submission average: Caceres 0.8 /Pineda 1.8
UFC Picks
We should get an entertaining co-main event between featherweights Caceres and Pineda. You can make a case that Caceres is fighting as well as he ever has, as he has won six of his last seven fights, including a first-round stoppage win over Julian Erosa. He could move up in the Top 15 in the featherweight rankings with a win in this bout.
Pineda has 28 wins in his career and all 28 were finishes. He is coming off a second-round submission win over Tucker Lutz. This figures to be a tough fight for Pineda, as he will be facing a fighter in Caceres who is a very well-rounded fighter.
Caceres has the advantage in almost all areas in this fight. He lands more strikes, is more accurate, has better defense and he is solid in defending takedowns. We know that Pineda is going to try to get this fight to the mat, but that may not be easy against Caceres.
Caceres is listed as the favorite in this fight, but the odds are at least reasonable, as he is not quite a 2-1 favorite. I think Caceres has the advantage in this fight and that he will get the win. I was tempted to take the rounds option as well since this fight would seem to be one that ends in a finish, but I noticed that the majority of the wins by Caceres in the UFC have come by decision and three of the five losses for Pineda in the UFC have come by decision. I’ll just stick to one play here and take Caceres to get the win.
| DATE | FIGHTERS | MONEY LINE |
| 6/03 | Amir Albazi | -115 |
| Kai Kara France | -115 |
| 6/03 | Daniel Pineda | +143 |
| Alex Caceres | -180 |
| 6/03 | Victor Altamirano | +154 |
| Tim Elliott | -195 |
| 6/03 | Andrei Arlovski | +114 |
| Don Tale Mayes | -144 |
| 6/03 | Elizeu Zaleski | -115 |
| Abubakar Nurmagomedov | -115 |
| 6/03 | Luan Lacerda | -150 |
| DaMon Blackshear | +120 |
| 6/03 | Elise Reed | -140 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | +110 |
| 6/03 | Philipe Lins | +105 |
| Maxim Grishin | -135 |
| 6/03 | Karine Silva | -235 |
| Ketlen Souza | +183 |
| 6/03 | Daniel Santos | -215 |
| Johnny Munoz Jr. | +168 |
| 6/03 | Jim Miller | +135 |
| Jared Gordon | -170 |
| 6/03 | Muin Gafurov | +115 |
| John Castaneda | -145 |
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