Alex Oliveira is favored against Peter Sobotta at UFC on ESPN: Whittaker vs. Till on Sunday, July 26 in Yas Island, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates but because of the time difference, it will start on Saturday, July 25 Eastern Time. This event is one of seven fights on the main card on ESPN/ESPN+. Oliveira is 20-8-1 in his career, while Sobotta is 17-6-1 in his career. There are a total of seven fights on the main card on UFC on ESPN: Whittaker vs. Till, with the headliner a bout between Robert Whittaker and Darren Till. There are also a total of eight fights on the preliminary card on ESPN/ESPN+. Let’s look at the bout between Oliveira and Sobotta and UFC picks.
Bet on UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till
Alex Oliveira (20-8-1, 10-6 UFC)
Oliveira came into the UFC with a record of 10-2-1 and he has 10 wins and six losses in the UFC. In his last five fights, he has two wins and three losses. He defeated Carlo Pedersoli Jr. by TKO and Max Griffin by split decision; while losing to Gunnar Nelson by rear-naked choke submission, Mike Perry by unanimous decision, and Nicolas Dalby by unanimous decision. Oliveira has been a pro since 2011 and he has 12 wins by TKO/KO and four by submission. He has 10 first round finishes.
Peter Sobotta (17-6-1, 4-5 UFC)
Sobotta came into the UFC with a record of 8-1 and he has four wins and five losses in the UFC. He defeated Pawel Pawlak by unanimous decision, Steve Kennedy by rear-naked choke submission, Nicolas Dalby by unanimous decision, and Ben Saunders by TKO; while losing to Paul Taylor by unanimous decision, James Wilks by unanimous decision, Amir Sadollah by unanimous decision, Kyle Noke by TKO, and Leon Edwards by TKO. Sobotta has been a pro since 2004 and he has five wins by TKO/KO and 10 by submission. He has 13 first round finishes.
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Oliveira 2.88/ Sobotta 2.17
Striking Accuracy: Oliveira 50% / Sobotta 39%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Oliveira 2.18/ Sobotta 2.89
Defense: Oliveira 47% / Sobotta 59%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Oliveira 2.69/ Sobotta 1.76
Takedown Accuracy: Oliveira 37% / Sobotta 35%
Takedowns defended: Oliveira 58% / Sobotta 77%
Submission average: Oliveira 0.6/ Sobotta 0.6
UFC Picks
Oliveira has been struggling lately in the UFC but how can you take a fighter in Sobotta who has not fought in over two years? And it is not like Sobotta has been that special in the UFC anyway. I am going take the favored Oliveira to get the win by knockout and have the rounds go under the total.
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till Card & Odds
Middleweight - Darren Till -108 vs. Robert Whittaker -123
Women's Bantamweight - Bethe Correia +118 vs. Pannie Kianzad -151
Heavyweight - Fabricio Werdum +263 vs. Alexander Gustafsson -354
Light Heavyweight - Antonio Rogerio Nogueira +149 vs. Mauricio Rua -190
Featherweight - Mike Grundy +158 vs. Movsar Evloev -200
Welterweight - Peter Sobotta +138 vs. Alex Oliveira -174
Heavyweight - Jake Collier +161 vs. Tom Aspinall -205
Welterweight - Jesse Ronson +214 vs. Nicolas Dalby -280
Light Heavyweight - Paul Craig -129 vs. Gadzhimurad Antigulov -103
Women's Strawweight - Carla Esparza +145 vs. Marina Rodriguez -183
Lightweight - Jai Herbert +131 vs. Francisco Trinaldo -165
Welterweight - Niklas Stolze +289 vs. Ramazan Emeev -395
Heavyweight - Raphael Pessoa +195 vs. Tanner Boser -252
Bantamweight - John Castaneda +368 vs. Nathaniel Wood -533
Welterweight - Rhys McKee +669 vs. Khamzat Chimaev -1231
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