Alexa Grasso is favored against Viviane Araujo at UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo on Saturday, October 15 in Las Vegas Nevada. This event is one of 12 fights on ESPN+. Grasso is 14-3 in her career, while Araujo is 11-3 in her career. There are a total of 12 fights, all on ESPN+ at UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo. Let’s look at the bout between Grasso and Araujo and UFC predictions.
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo takes place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada on Saturday, October 15 with 12 fights, all on ESPN+.
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo Betting
Alexa Grasso (14-3, 6-3 UFC)
Grasso came into the UFC with a record of 8-0 and she has six wins and three losses in the UFC. She defeated Heather Jo Clark by unanimous decision, Randa Markos by split decision, Karolina Kowalkiewicz by unanimous decision, Ji Yeon Kim by unanimous decision, Maycee Barber by unanimous decision, and Joanne Wood by rear-naked choke submission; while losing to Felice Herrig by unanimous decision, Tatiana Suarez by rear-naked choke submission, and Carla Esparza by majority decision. Grasso has been a pro since 2012 and she has four wins by TKO/KO and one by submission. She has five first round finishes.
Viviane Araujo (11-3, 5-2 UFC)
Araujo came into the UFC with a record of 6-1 and she has five wins and two losses in the UFC. She defeated Talita Bernardo by KO, Alexis Davis by unanimous decision, Montana De La Rosa by unanimous decision, Roxanne Modafferi by unanimous decision, and Andrea Lee by unanimous decision; while losing to Jessica Eye by unanimous decision and Katlyn Chookagian by unanimous decision. Araujo has been a pro since 2015 and she has three wins by TKO/KO and four by submission. She has four first round finishes.
Araujo said this to mmafighting.com about her upcoming fight against Grasso, “This is our goal. I already dreamed of fighting for the UFC belt, becoming champion and making history even before I entered the UFC, so I think I’ll be even closer to a title fight after this win over Alexa Grasso. The top of the division is a bit packed, but I’m on my way up and it will change things up. I think two more wins leave me really close to a shot at the belt.”
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Grasso 4.92 / Araujo 4.76
Striking Accuracy: Grasso 43% / Araujo 48%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Grasso 3.79 / Araujo 5.13
Defense: Grasso 63% / Araujo 58%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Grasso 0.54 / Araujo 2.23
Takedown Accuracy: Grasso 57% / Araujo 60%
Takedowns defended: Grasso 60% / Araujo 90%
Submission average: Grasso 0.7 / Araujo 0.6
UFC Picks
This should be an interesting matchup between two contenders in the flyweight division. It could be that the winner of this fight is in line for a title shot. The current champion is Valentina Shevchenko and she has already beaten the fighters ranked ahead of Grasso and Arajuo.
Grasso has done really well in the division with three wins and no losses. She is now 14-3 overall in her career. Her last win over Joanne Wood in March was an impressive first round submission. This may be a tough fight for Grasso because Arajuo is underrated. She has fought some tough competition, including Katlyn Chookagian two fights back. Arajuo looked really good last time out with a unanimous decision victory over Andrea Lee.
I think the price on Grasso is simply too high, as Arajuo is very capable of winning this fight. I think there are two plays worth making, as there is definite value in taking Arajuo at a price of nearly 2-1. I also think the rounds are worth considering. I know the price is high at -200 but neither of these two fighters is a great finisher and there is a good chance the rounds go over the total.
| DATE |
FIGHTERS |
MONEY LINE |
| 10/15 |
Viviane Araujo |
+172 |
| Alexa Grasso |
-220 |
| 10/15 |
Brandon Royval |
+201 |
| Askar Askarov |
-206 |
| 10/15 |
Cub Swanson |
+179 |
| Jonathan Martinez |
-230 |
| 10/15 |
Raphael Assuncao |
+254 |
| Victor Henry |
-340 |
| 10/15 |
Misha Cirkunov |
+168 |
| Alonzo Menifield |
-215 |
| 10/15 |
Jacob Malkoun |
+115 |
| Nick Maximov |
-145 |
| 10/15 |
Brandon Davis |
+115 |
| Mana Martinez |
-145 |
| 10/15 |
Jordan Wright |
+165 |
| Dusko Todorovic |
-210 |
| 10/15 |
C.J. Vergara |
+192 |
| Tatsuro Taira |
-248 |
| 10/15 |
Sam Hughes |
+135 |
| Piera Rodriguez |
-170 |
| 10/15 |
Mike Jackson |
+456 |
| Pete Rodriguez |
-700 |
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