UFC Fight Night - Alexander Volkov vs. Tom Aspinall Odds

Tom Aspinall is slightly favored against Alexander Volkov at UFC Fight Night 204 on Saturday, March 19 in London, England. This event is one of 13 fights on ESPN+. Volkov is 34-9 in his career, while Aspinall is 11-2 in his career. There are a total of 13 fights, all on ESPN+ at UFC Fight Night 204. Let’s look at the bout between Volkov and Aspinall and UFC predictions.

UFC Fight Night 204 takes place at The O2 Arena in London, England on Saturday, March 19 with 13 fights, all on ESPN+.

UFC Fight Night 204: Volkov vs. Aspinall Betting

Alexander Volkov (34-9, 8-3 UFC)

Volkov came into the UFC with a record of 26-6 and he has eight wins and three losses in the UFC. He defeated Timothy Johnson by split decision, Roy Nelson by unanimous decision, Stefan Struve by KO, Fabricio Werdum by KO, Greg Hardy by unanimous decision, Walt Harris by TKO, Alistair Overeem by TKO, and Marcin Tybura by unanimous decision; while losing to Derrick Lewis by KO, Curtis Blaydes by unanimous decision, and Ciryl Gane by unanimous decision. Volkov has been a pro since 2009 and he has 22 wins by TKO/KO and three by submission. He has 15 first round finishes.

Tom Aspinall (11-2, 4-0 UFC)

Aspinall came into the UFC with a record of 7-2 and he has four wins and no losses in the UFC. He defeated Jake Collier by TKO, Alan Baudot by TKO, Andrei Arlovski by rear-naked choke submission, and Sergey Spivak by TKO. Aspinall’s last loss in his career was against Lukasz Parobiec by disqualification in May of 2016. Aspinall has been a pro since 2014 and he has nine wins by TKO/KO and two by submission. He has 10 first round finishes.

Aspinall said this to dailymail.co.uk about his upcoming fight against Volkov, “I'm aware of how good this guy is and how big an event this is. My goal is just that, I'm not thinking about anything else. He's 6ft 8, rangy Russian, great kicks, great takedown defense, really underrated on the ground as well, done five rounds 70,000 times, I've never done it so he has all kinds of advantages on me. But I'm dangerous man, I need to hit you once and that's it. I don't just need to punch you; I can do a whole load of things to finish the fight that nobody has ever seen before. That's a massive advantage.”

Striking Stats

Strikes landed per minute: Volkov 4.86 / Aspinall 7.19

Striking Accuracy: Volkov 57% / Aspinall 65%

Strikes absorbed per minute: Volkov 2.95 / Aspinall 2.37

Defense: Volkov 54% / Aspinall 70%

Grappling Stats

Takedown average: Volkov 0.53 / Aspinall 2.73

Takedown Accuracy: Volkov 70% / Aspinall 100%

Takedowns defended: Volkov 73% / Aspinall 100%

Submission average: Volkov 0.1 / Aspinall 1.4

UFC Picks

Aspinall is listed as a slight favorite in this fight in terms of UFC betting odds. There is a lot to like about Aspinall, as he is unbeaten in the UFC. There is no question that Aspinall has big time power, as he has nine wins by KO or TKO. In his 11 fights, none have gone to decision. Volkov is a very experienced fighter and he also has good power, as he has 22 wins by KO or TKO.

I think there are two things worth playing in this fight. I think Aspinall is for real and while Volkov has a gaudy record, I don’t see a ton of wins against really good opponents and I think Aspinall is really good. I will take Aspinall to win this fight. I also think the rounds are worth playing. Both of these fighters have a lot of finishing power so it is hard to see this fight going the distance. I will take the fight to go under the rounds total and if a prop comes out on this fight not going the distance, I also think that is worth playing.

UFC Fight Night 204: Volkov vs. Aspinall Card & Odds

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