Virna Jandiroba is slightly favored against Amanda Lemos at UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba on Saturday, July 20 in Las Vegas, Nevada. This event is one of 12 fights on ESPN+. Lemos is 14-3-1 in her career, including 8-3 in the UFC, while Jandiroba is 20-3 in her career, including 6-3 in the UFC. There are a total of 12 fights, all on ESPN+ at UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba. Let’s look at the bout between Lemos and Jandiroba and UFC predictions.
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba takes place at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada on Saturday, July 20 with 12 fights, all on ESPN+.
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba Betting
Amanda Lemos (14-3-1, 8-3 UFC)
Lemos came into the UFC with a record of 6-0-1 and she has eight wins and three losses in the UFC. She defeated Miranda Granger by technical submission, Mizuki Inoue by unanimous decision, Lívia Renata Souza by TKO, Montserrat Ruiz by TKO, Angela Hill by split decision, Michelle Waterson by guillotine choke submission, Marina Rodriguez by TKO, and Mackenzie Dern by unanimous decision; while losing to Leslie Smith by TKO, Jessica Andrade by arm-triangle choke submission, and Zhang Weili by unanimous decision. Lemos has been a pro since 2014 and she has eight wins by TKO/KO and three by submission. She has eight first round finishes.
Virna Jandiroba (20-3, 6-3 UFC)
Jandiroba came into the UFC with a record of 14-0 and she has six wins and three losses in the UFC. She defeated Mallory Martin by rear-naked choke submission, Felice Herrig by armbar submission, Kanako Murata by TKO, Angela Hill by unanimous decision, Marina Rodriguez by unanimous decision, and Loopy Godinez by unanimous decision; while losing to Carla Esparza by unanimous decision, Mackenzie Dern by unanimous decision, and Amanda Ribas by unanimous decision. Jandiroba has been a pro since 2013 and she has one win by TKO/KO and 13 by submission. She has eight first round finishes.
Jandiroba said this to blackbeltmag.com about her upcoming fight against Lemos, “Amanda is a formidable competitor, and I look forward to facing her in the cage. It’s a significant phase in my career, fighting another top Brazilian contender. It underlines the strength of Brazilian women in MMA. A victory here should ideally place me as a top contender for the title, ready to challenge champions like Zhang Weili. While I always look for submissions, I’m prepared for striking to surprise my opponent.”
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Lemos 3.43 /Jandiroba 2.30
Striking Accuracy: Lemos 54% /Jandiroba 38%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Lemos 4.21/Jandiroba 2.96
Defense: Lemos 44% /Jandiroba 57%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Lemos 0.98/Jandiroba 2.36
Takedown Accuracy: Lemos 63%/Jandiroba 36%
Takedowns defended: Lemos 57%/Jandiroba 73%
Submission average: Lemos 0.7/Jandiroba 1.2
UFC Picks
Lemos looked really good in beating Mackenzie Dern at UFC 298 and she is now No. 3 in the strawweight rankings. She will face a tough fighter in Jandiroba who is ranked No. 5. Jandiroba has been excellent in her last three fights, beating Angela Hill, Marina Rodriguez, and Loopy Godinez. Lemos and Jandiroba would each like to get a title shot against current champion Zhang Weili and the winner may be in line for a title shot.
Jandiroba is listed as a slight favorite in UFC betting odds in this fight even though she is ranked lower than Lemos. The two fighters have similar records but they go about their business differently. Lemos would much prefer this fight to stay standing, while Jandiroba wants to get the fight to the mat. This fight simply comes down to Lemos and her takedown defense. The numbers suggest that Lemos could be in trouble in this fight, as she only has a 57% takedown defense number. I don’t think that is good enough against a fighter like Jandiroba. Oddsmakers usually know what they are doing and if they are listing a fighter as a favorite who is actually ranked lower than their opponent, that fighter usually has a good chance to win. I’ll lay the small number and take Jandiroba to get the win.
| DATE | FIGHTERS | MONEY LINE |
| 07/20 | Virna Jandiroba | -145 |
| Amanda Lemos | +115 |
| 07/20 | Jun Yong Park | -176 |
| Brad Tavares | +140 |
| 07/20 | Seungwoo Choi | +120 |
| Steve Garcia | -150 |
| 07/20 | Bill Algeo | -170 |
| Doo Ho Choi | +135 |
| 07/20 | Kaynan Kruschewsky | -140 |
| Kurt Holobaugh | +110 |
| 07/20 | Bruno Silva | -115 |
| Cody Durden | -115 |
| 07/20 | Hyder Amil | +154 |
| Jeong Yeong Lee | -195 |
| 07/20 | Cody Gibson | -205 |
| Brian Kelleher | +161 |
| 07/20 | Dione Barbosa | +179 |
| Miranda Maverick | -230 |
| 07/20 | Trey Ogden | -118 |
| Loik Radzhabov | -112 |
| 07/20 | Lucie Pudilova | -115 |
| Luana Carolina | -115 |
| 07/20 | Thomas Petersen | +105 |
| Mohammed Usman | -135 |
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