Tanner Boser is heavily favored against Andrei Arlovski at UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira on Saturday, November 7 in Las Vegas Nevada. This event is one of five fights on the preliminary card on ESPN2/ ESPN+. Arlovski is 29-19 in his career, while Boser is 19-6-1 in his career. There are a total of five fights on the main card on UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira, with the headliner a bout between Thiago Santos and Glover Teixeira. There are also a total of six fights on the preliminary card on ESPN+. Let’s look at the bout between Arlovski and Boser and UFC picks.
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Andrei Arlovski (29-19, 18-13 UFC)
Arlovski came into the UFC with a record of 3-1 and he has 18 wins and 13 losses in the UFC. In his last six fights, he has two wins and four losses. He defeated Ben Rothwell by unanimous decision and Philipe Lins by unanimous decision; while losing to Tai Tuivasa by unanimous decision, Shamil Abdurakhimov by unanimous decision, Augusto Sakai by split decision, and Jairzinho Rozenstruik by KO. Arlovski has been a pro since 1999 and he has 17 wins by TKO/KO and three by submission. He has 13 first round finishes.
Tanner Boser (19-6-1, 3-1 UFC)
Boser came into the UFC with a record of 16-5-1 and he has three wins and one loss in the UFC. He defeated Daniel Spitz by unanimous decision, Philipe Lins by KO, and Raphael Pessoa by TKO; while losing to Ciryl Gane by unanimous decision. Boser has been a pro since 2012 and he has 10 wins by TKO/KO and two by submission. He has four first round finishes.
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Arlovski 3.54/ Boser 4.54
Striking Accuracy: Arlovski 44% / Boser 54%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Arlovski 2.69/ Boser 2.85
Defense: Arlovski 59% / Boser 64%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Arlovski 0.50/ Boser 0.00
Takedown Accuracy: Arlovski 36% / Boser 0%
Takedowns defended: Arlovski 79% / Boser 100%
Submission average: Arlovski 0.3/ Boser 0.0
UFC Picks
Boser is heavily favored in this fight at nearly 3-1, but he is really good enough to warrant that type of respect? Arlovski is a veteran who still knows how to win as he proved last time out with a victory against Philipe Lins. Boser has won three of his four UFC fights and he also defeated Lins. I would give a slight edge to Boser simply because he is the much younger fighter, but I don’t think he should be nearly a 3-1 favorite. I think this is a fight that could go either way and simply on value alone, Arlovski is the play. I know that both of these two have knockout power, but almost all of Arlovski’s fights lately have been going to decision. I will also play the rounds to go over the total.
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira Card & Odds
Light Heavyweight - Glover Teixeira +191 vs. Thiago Santos -235
Middleweight - Ian Heinsich -112 vs. Brendan Allen -112
Women’s Strawweight - Claudia Gadelha +113 vs. Yan Xiaonan -137
Heavyweight - Andrei Arlovski +232 vs. Tanner Boser -289
Featherweight - Jeremy Stephens +154 vs. Arnold Allen -186
Middleweight - Trevin Giles -107 vs. Bevon Lewis -117
Welterweight - Ramiz Rahimaj +115 vs. Max Griffin -139
Featherweight - Eduardo Garagorri +200 vs. Darren Elkins -245
Heavyweight - Marcos Rogerio de Lima +303 vs. Alexander Romanov -390
Bantamweight - Khalid Taha +277 vs. Raoni Barcelos -352
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