UFC Fight Night - Arman Tsarukyan vs. Joaquim Silva Odds

Arman Tsarukyan is heavily favored against Joaquim Silva at UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier on Saturday, June 17 in Las Vegas, Nevada. This event is one of 14 fights on ESPN/ESPN+. Tsarukyan is 19-3 in his career, including 6-2 in the UFC, while Silva is 12-3 in his career, including 5-3 in the UFC. There are a total of 14 fights, all on ESPN/ESPN+ at UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier. Let’s look at the bout between Tsarukyan and Silva and UFC predictions.

UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier takes place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada on Saturday, June 17 with 14 fights, all on ESPN/ESPN+.

UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier Betting

Arman Tsarukyan (19-3, 6-2 UFC)

Tsarukyan came into the UFC with a record of 13-1 and he has six wins and two losses in the UFC. He defeated Olivier Aubin-Mercier by unanimous decision, Davi Ramos by unanimous decision, Matt Frevola by unanimous decision, Christos Giagos by TKO, Joel Álvarez by TKO, and Damir Ismagulov by unanimous decision; while losing to Islam Makhachev by unanimous decision and Mateusz Gamrot by unanimous decision. Tsarukyan has been a pro since 2015 and he has seven wins by TKO/KO and five by submission. He has eight first round finishes.

Joaquim Silva (12-3, 5-3 UFC)

Silva came into the UFC with a record of 7-0 and he has five wins and three losses in the UFC. He defeated Nazareno Malegarie by split decision, Andrew Holbrook by KO, Reza Madadi by split decision, Jared Gordon by KO, and Jesse Ronson by TKO; while losing to Vinc Pichel by unanimous decision, Nasrat Haqparast by KO, and Ricky Glenn by KO. Silva has been a pro since 2010 and he has seven wins by TKO/KO and three by submission. He has eight first round finishes.

Striking Stats

Strikes landed per minute: Tsarukyan 3.56 /Silva 4.08

Striking Accuracy: Tsarukyan 45% /Silva 39%

Strikes absorbed per minute: Tsarukyan 1.93/Silva 4.58

Defense: Tsarukyan 54% /Silva 55%

Grappling Stats

Takedown average: Tsarukyan 3.30 /Silva 0.21

Takedown Accuracy: Tsarukyan 33% /Silva 50%

Takedowns defended: Tsarukyan 75% /Silva 65%

Submission average: Tsarukyan 0.0 /Silva 0.6

UFC Picks

It has been a while since the UFC had a top fight that was this much of a mismatch. Tsarukyan has been a top 10 fighter in the lightweight division for many years, but he simply hasn’t gotten many great matchups. It is not going to happen this time around either.

Silva is 5-3 in the UFC and we know what he is going to do, as he is simply a brawler. Tsarukyan has the better cardio and if he stays away from the big blitzes of Silva this fight is going to be extremely one-sided. The most likely scenario is that Silva comes hard and fast at Tsarukyan and gets caught, resulting in a Tsarukyan finish.

The problem we have with a fight like this is the odds. Tsarukyan is listed as about a 10-1 favorite in UFC odds for this fight. Is he going to win? Almost assuredly. Am I laying that type of number? No way. I will lay 2-1 once in a while, but anything can happen in the UFC and I am not laying 10-1 on anyone. Since we can’t lay the big price, and we want no part of the underdog, we have two choices. We can bet on how Tsarukyan wins this fight or we can bet the rounds. Oddsmakers have listed the rounds at 1.5, so it seems likely that Tsarukyan will win this fight by finish. We could choose to take the rounds to go under but at 1.5 there is not much margin for error. I think the better option is to wait for the props to come out and bet on Tsarukyan to win by finish. The last four fights of Silva’s have ended by knockout, with Silva winning two and losing two. It should be a Tsarukyan finish on Saturday night, likely by knockout.

UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier Card & Odds

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