Ben Rothwell is going up against Philipe Lins at UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad on Saturday, March 13 in Las Vegas, Nevada. This event is one of seven fights on the main card on ESPN+. Rothwell is 38-13 in his career, while Lins is 14-5 in his career. There are a total of seven fights on the main card on UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad, with the headliner a bout between Leon Edwards and Belal Muhammad. There are also a total of six fights on the preliminary card on ESPN+. Let's look at the bout between Rothwell and Lins and UFC predictions.
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Ben Rothwell (38-13, 8-7 UFC)
Rothwell came into the UFC with a record of 30-6 and he has eight wins and seven losses in the UFC. In his last six fights, he has two wins and four losses. He defeated Stefan Struve by TKO and Ovince Saint Preux by split decision; while losing to Junior dos Santos by unanimous decision, Blagoy Ivanov by unanimous decision, Andrei Arlovski by unanimous decision, and Marcin Tybura by unanimous decision. Rothwell has been a pro since 2001 and he has 28 wins by TKO/KO and six by submission. He has 28 first round finishes.
Philipe Lins (14-5, 0-2 UFC)
Lins came into the UFC with a record of 14-3 and he has no wins and two losses in the UFC. He was defeated by Andrei Arlovski by unanimous decision and Tanner Boser by TKO. Lins's last win in his career was against Josh Copeland by TKO on December 31, 2018. Lins has been a pro since 2005 and he has eight wins by TKO/KO and four by submission. He has five first round finishes.
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Rothwell 3.55/ Lins 2.66
Striking Accuracy: Rothwell 41% / Lins 40%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Rothwell 4.57/ Lins 3.68
Defense: Rothwell 46% / Lins 49%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Rothwell 0.63/ Lins 0.00
Takedown Accuracy: Rothwell 33% / Lins 0%
Takedowns defended: Rothwell 69% / Lins 0%
Submission average: Rothwell 0.3/ Lins 0.0
UFC Picks
The odds on this fight are a pick and that tells me that oddsmakers don't have much confidence in Rothwell. Lins has done nothing in the UFC to impress, as he has lost both of his fights and yet this fight is still a pick. Rothwell has lost four of his last six fights, so it is hard to have any confidence in him. I lean a little bit toward Lins, but I think the better option is to play the rounds. Rothwell has 38 wins and 28 of those came by first round finish. Lins has 14 wins and 12 of those wins were by finish. I will go under the rounds total of 2.5 at plus money.
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad Card & Odds
Welterweight: Belal Muhammad +213 vs. Leon Edwards -264
Middleweight: Eryk Anders +150 vs. Darren Stewart -181
Heavyweight: Philipe Lins -107 vs. Ben Rothwell -117
Light Heavyweight: Ryan Spann -102 vs. Misha Cirkunov -122
Bantamweight: Davey Grant +246 vs. Jonathan Martinez -308
Welterweight: Matthew Semelsberger -127 vs. Jason Witt +103
Women's Strawweight: Jinh Yu Frey +150 vs. Gloria de Paula -181
Bantamweight: Ray Rodriguez +235 vs. Rani Yahya -293
Featherweight: Dan Ige -127 vs. Gavin Tucker +103
Women's Flyweight: Cortney Casey +121 vs. JJ Aldrich -145
Featherweight: Marcelo Rojo +203 vs. Charles Jourdain -250
Women's Strawweight: Ashley Yoder +290 vs. Angela Hill -371
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