Caio Borralho is favored against Michal Oleksiejczuk at UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon on Saturday, April 29 in Las Vegas, Nevada. This event is one of 13 fights on ESPN2 and ESPN+. Borralho is 13-1 in his career, including 3-0 in the UFC, while Oleksiejczuk is 18-5 in his career, including 6-3 in the UFC. There are a total of 13 fights, all on ESPN2 and ESPN+ at UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon. Let’s look at the bout between Borralho and Oleksiejczuk and UFC predictions.
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon takes place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada on Saturday, April 29 with 13 fights, all on ESPN2 and ESPN+.
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon Betting
Caio Borralho (13-1, 3-0 UFC)
Borralho came into the UFC with a record of 10-1 and he has three wins and no losses in the UFC. He defeated Gadzhi Omargadzhiev by technical decision, Armen Petrosyan by unanimous decision, and Makhmud Muradov by unanimous decision. Borralho’s only loss in his career was against Joao Carvalho by unanimous decision in July of 2015. Borralho has been a pro since 2014 and he has four wins by TKO/KO and three by submission. He has six first round finishes.
Michal Oleksiejczuk (18-5, 6-3 UFC)
Oleksiejczuk came into the UFC with a record of 12-2 and he has six wins and three losses in the UFC. He defeated Gian Villante by TKO, Gadzhimurad Antigulov by KO, Modestas Bukauskas by split decision, Shamil Gamzatov by TKO, Sam Alvey by TKO, and Cody Brundage by KO; while losing to Ovince Saint Preux by von flue choke submission, Jimmy Crute by kimura submission, and Dustin Jacoby by unanimous decision. Oleksiejczuk has been a pro since 2014 and he has 13 wins by TKO/KO and one by submission. He has 10 first round finishes.
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Borralho 2.36 / Oleksiejczuk 4.94
Striking Accuracy: Borralho 61% /Oleksiejczuk 50%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Borralho 1.60/Oleksiejczuk 3.98
Defense: Borralho 60% /Oleksiejczuk 64%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Borralho 2.23 /Oleksiejczuk 0.67
Takedown Accuracy: Borralho 75% /Oleksiejczuk 42%
Takedowns defended: Borralho 50% /Oleksiejczuk 43%
Submission average: Borralho 0.5 /Oleksiejczuk 0.0
UFC Picks
Borralho has looked good in the UFC and he is coming off a unanimous decision win over Makhmud Muradov. Oleksiejczuk is coming off quick KO victories against Sam Alvey and Cody Brundage. Borralho is definitely a talented fighter and oddsmakers are giving him a lot of respect, as he is listed as more than a 3-1 favorite in UFC betting odds. Borralho does his damage on the ground and he averages 2.23 takedowns per 15 minutes in UFC action.
Oleksiejczuk has plenty of power, as he has five first round finishes in the UFC. He wants to finish fights quickly and he averages almost 5 strikes per minute. The concern for Oleksiejczuk is his takedown defense which is just 43%. For him to win this fight he will need to avoid getting into trouble on the mat.
There is not much question that Borralho is the better fighter and he should be favored, but is he good enough to be more than a 3-1 favorite in UFC odds? We really don’t know yet, as he has fought only three times in the UFC. What we do know is that the price is high, too high for me.
The total rounds option is listed at 2.5 with the under at -160. It is hard to see anything other than a finish in this one, as Borralho will be looking to win by submission, while Oleksiejczuk goes for the knockout. Oleksiejczuk has 18 wins and 14 of those have been finishes and he has 10 first round finishes. Borralho has 13 wins and seven of those have been finishes, six coming in the first round. This has all the looks of a fight that shouldn’t last long, so I will take the rounds to go under the total.
| DATE | FIGHTERS | MONEY LINE |
| 4/29 | Ricky Simon | -120 |
| Yadong Song | -110 |
| 4/29 | Michal Oleksiejczuk | +261 |
| Caio Borralho | -350 |
| 4/29 | Cody Brundage | +179 |
| Rodolfo Vieira | -230 |
| 4/29 | Marcos Rogerio de Lima | -174 |
| Waldo Cortes Acosta | +138 |
| 4/29 | Jake Collier | -120 |
| Martin Buday | -110 |
| 4/29 | Fernando Padilla | +124 |
| Julian Erosa | -155 |
| 4/29 | Cody Durden | +120 |
| Charles Johnson | -150 |
| 4/29 | Irina Alekseeva | +228 |
| Stephanie Egger | -300 |
| 4/29 | Journey Newson | +110 |
| Brian Kelleher | -140 |
| 4/29 | Hailey Cowan | +105 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth Wessels | -135 |
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