Court McGee is slightly favored against Carlos Condit at UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana on Saturday, October 3 in Yas Island, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. This event is one of six fights on the preliminary card on ESPN+. Condit is 30-13 in his career, while McGee is 19-9 in his career. There are a total of five fights on the main card on UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana, with the headliner a bout between Holly Holm and Irene Aldana. There are also a total of six fights on the preliminary card on ESPN+. Let’s look at the bout between Condit and McGee and UFC picks.
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Carlos Condit (30-13, 7-9 UFC)
Condit came into the UFC with a record of 23-4 and he has seven wins and nine losses in the UFC. In his last seven fights, he has one win and six losses. He defeated Thiago Alves by TKO; while losing to Tyron Woodley by TKO, Robbie Lawler by split decision, Demian Maia by rear-naked choke submission, Neil Magny by unanimous decision, Alex Oliveira by guillotine choke submission, and Michael Chiesa by kimura submission. Condit has been a pro since 2002 and he has 15 wins by TKO/KO and 13 by submission. He has 21 first round finishes.
Court McGee (19-9, 8-8 UFC)
McGee came into the UFC with a record of 11-1 and he has eight wins and eight losses in the UFC. In his last seven fights, he has two wins and five losses. He defeated Dominique Steele by unanimous decision and Alex Garcia by unanimous decision; while losing to Santiago Ponzinibbio by TKO, Ben Saunders by unanimous decision, Sean Strickland by unanimous decision, Dhiego Lima by split decision, and Sean Brady by unanimous decision. McGee has been a pro since 2007 and he has five wins by TKO/KO and five by submission. He has five first round finishes.
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Condit 3.56/ McGee 4.86
Striking Accuracy: Condit 39% / McGee 35%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Condit 2.34/ McGee 3.80
Defense: Condit 57% / McGee 61%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Condit 0.58/ McGee 1.71
Takedown Accuracy: Condit 55% / McGee 21%
Takedowns defended: Condit 36% / McGee 63%
Submission average: Condit 1.2/ McGee 0.4
UFC Picks
Condit has not fought in almost in two years while McGee has not fought in almost in a year, so which fighter will be able to shake off the rust first? I despise taking fighters coming off a layoff because we never really know what we are going to get. What we do know is that it is extremely rare for a Condit fight to go to a decision, as 28 of his 30 wins have been finishes. I think the best choice in this fight is to play the rounds to go under the total.
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana Card & Odds
Women’s Bantamweight - Irene Aldana -107 vs. Holly Holm -117
Women’s Bantamweight - Germaine de Randamie -137 vs. Julianna Pena +113
Welterweight - Court McGee -132 vs. Carlos Condit +108
Women’s Strawweight - Jinh Yu Frey +114 vs. Loma Lookboonmee -138
Heavyweight - Carlos Felipe +209 vs. Yorgan de Castro -256
Bantamweight - Heili Alateng +246 vs. Casey Kenney -308
Featherweight - Josh Culibao +335 vs. Charles Jourdain -439
Lightweight - Jessin Ayari -117 vs. Luigi Vendramini -107
Middleweight - Nassourdine Imavov +123 vs. Jordan Williams -147
Middleweight - Dequan Townsend +243 vs. Dusko Todorovic -303
Middleweight - KB Bhullar +225 vs. Tom Breese -279
Bantamweight - Cameron Else +335 vs. Kyler Phillips -439
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