Chase Sherman is favored against Parker Porter at UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum on Saturday, August 21 in Las Vegas, Nevada. This event is one of five fights on the main card on ESPN2/ESPN+. Sherman is 15-7 in his career, while Porter is 11-6 in his career. There are a total of five fights on the main card on ESPN2/ESPN+ at UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum and seven preliminary bouts on ESPN2/ESPN+. Let’s look at the bout between Sherman and Porter and UFC predictions.
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum takes place at UFC Apex facility in Las Vegas, Nevada on Saturday, August 21 with five fights on the main card on ESPN2/ESPN+ and seven preliminary bouts, also on ESPN2/ESPN+.
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum Betting
Chase Sherman (15-7, 3-6 UFC)
Sherman came into the UFC with a record of 9-1 and he has three wins and six losses in the UFC. This will be Sherman’s second stint in the UFC. He had three fights with Island Fights in 2018 and 2019. He is 4-1 in his last five fights. He defeated Rashad Coulter by KO, Damian Grabowski by unanimous decision, and Ike Villanueva by TKO; while losing to Justin Ledet by unanimous decision, Walt Harris by KO, Shamil Abdurakhimov by KO, Justin Willis by unanimous decision, Augusto Sakai by TKO, and Andrei Arlovski by unanimous decision. Sherman has been a pro since 2014 and he has 14 wins by TKO. He has 12 first round finishes.
Parker Porter (11-6, 1-1 UFC)
Porter came into the UFC with a record of 10-5 and he has one win and one loss in the UFC. He defeated Josh Parisian by unanimous decision; while losing to Chris Daukaus by TKO. Porter has been a pro since 2007 and he has five wins by TKO/KO and three by submission. He has three first round finishes.
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Sherman 6.00 / Porter 7.69
Striking Accuracy: Sherman 45% / Porter 49%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Sherman 5.77 / Porter 7.36
Defense: Sherman 52% / Porter 52%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Sherman 0.00 / Porter 1.65
Takedown Accuracy: Sherman 0% / Porter 60%
Takedowns defended: Sherman 77% / Porter 0%
Submission average: Sherman 0.0 / Porter 1.1
UFC Picks
We have a decision to make in this fight. We can go with the more experienced fighter in Sherman who has struggled for the most part in the UFC, or we can go with the less experienced fighter in Porter who has fought just twice in the UFC. Oddsmakers believe that the experience of Sherman will be the difference, as Sherman is listed as a -205 favorite. Oddsmakers don’t expect this fight to last long, as they set the rounds option at 1.5. It is a little surprising that the over is favored on the rounds at -170, while the under is +135. Neither of these two fighters goes the distance that often, as only six times in a combined 39 fights has a fight gone the distance.
Perhaps the experience of Sherman will be the difference, but I have a hard time laying 2-1 on a fighter with a losing record in the UFC. I also can’t get too excited about taking Porter with his limited experience. That means looking at the rounds for our best bet.
Both of these fighters are finishers and even though the rounds is listed at 1.5, I still think there is value on the under. Sherman is a fighter who finishes fights and finishes them quickly. 12 of his 15 wins have ended in the first round and he has six wins in 63 seconds or less. Parker isn’t afraid to trade shots, so this fight should end quickly. I will go under 1.5 rounds at plus money.
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum Card & Odds
Middleweight - Kelvin Gastelum +124 vs. Jared Cannonier -155
Flyweight - Brandon Royval +143 vs. Alexandre Pantoja -180
Bantamweight - Domingo Pilarte +139 vs. Brian Kelleher -175
Light Heavyweight - Fabio Cherant +150 vs. William Knight -190
Heavyweight - Parker Porter +161 vs. Chase Sherman -205
Lightweight - Austin Hubbard -115 vs. Vinc Pichel -115
Featherweight - Austin Lingo +105 vs. Luis Saldana -135
Lightweight - Clay Guida +135 vs. Mark O. Madsen -170
Welterweight - Ramiz Brahimaj -130 vs. Sasha Palatnikov +100
Women's Bantamweight - Josiane Nunes +124 vs. Bea Malecki -155
Lightweight - Roosevelt Roberts -150 vs. Ignacio Bahamondes +120
Middleweight - Antonio Braga Neto +105 vs. Abdul Razak Alhassan -135
Access live betting lines from your mobile device at BookMaker Sportsbook! Real-time spreads, totals, props, and money lines are all available so start betting with BookMaker today.
