UFC Fight Night - Chris Curtis vs. Roman Kopylov Odds

Roman Kopylov is favored against Chris Curtis at UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 on Saturday, January 11 in Las Vegas, Nevada. This event is one of 14 fights on ESPN+. Curtis is 31-11 in his career, including 5-3 in the UFC, while Kopylov is 13-3 in his career, including 5-3 in the UFC. There are a total of 14 fights, all on ESPN+ at UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2. Let’s look at the bout between Curtis and Kopylov and UFC predictions.

UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 takes place at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada on Saturday, January 11 with 14 fights, all on ESPN+.

UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas Betting

Chris Curtis (31-11, 5-3 UFC)

Curtis came into the UFC with a record of 26-8 and he has five wins and three losses in the UFC. He defeated Phil Hawes by KO, Brendan Allen by TKO, Rodolfo Vieira by unanimous decision, Joaquin Buckley by KO, and Marc-André Barriault by split decision; while losing to Jack Hermansson by unanimous decision, Kelvin Gastelum by unanimous decision, and Brendan Allen by split decision. Curtis has been a pro since 2009 and he has 17 wins by TKO/KO and one by submission. He has five first round finishes.

Roman Kopylov (13-3, 5-3 UFC)

Kopylov came into the UFC with a record of 8-0 and he has five wins and three losses in the UFC. He defeated Alessio Di Chirico by KO, Punahele Soriano by TKO, Claudio Ribeiro by KO, Josh Fremd by KO, and César Almeida by split decision; while losing to Karl Roberson by rear-naked choke submission, Albert Duraev by unanimous decision, and Anthony Hernandez by rear-naked choke submission. Kopylov has been a pro since 2016 and he has 11 wins by TKO/KO and two by decision. He has one first round finish.

Kopylov said this ufc.com about his upcoming fight against Curtis, “Chris Curtis is a short, hard-hitting guy. (He’s) also well rounded, experienced; I respect his skills. This win can be my ticket to the Top 15, as Chris is used to fighting many high ranked opponents. If I pass him, I am a legit Top 15 fighter. I am excited about it; (this) is a great matchup, as he is a very aggressive striker. We will give the fans what they want. My last fight is a good experience of a hard, long fight. I am looking for finish every time, but when you are competing with the best in the world it is hard to finish every fight. I will continue to work for finishes and make happy my fans and the UFC team, but I will be ready for full distance, as well. I am expecting a hard back-and-forth fight, and will look for a finish if the opportunity for it comes.”

Striking Stats

Strikes landed per minute: Curtis 5.76 /Kopylov 4.33

Striking Accuracy: Curtis 51% /Kopylov 54%

Strikes absorbed per minute: Curtis 6.16/Kopylov 4.06

Defense: Curtis 52% /Kopylov 58%

Grappling Stats

Takedown average: Curtis 0.00/Kopylov 1.20

Takedown Accuracy: Curtis 0%/Kopylov 53%

Takedowns defended: Curtis 82%/Kopylov 87%

Submission average: Curtis 0.0/Kopylov 0.7

UFC Picks

When I look at these two fighters, I don’t see a lot separating the two. They have identical records in the UFC at 5-3 and a very similar skill set. I have to admit that I am surprised that Kopylov is listed as more than a 2-1 favorite in UFC betting odds. I can see him being a slight favorite, but -265? I definitely don’t see that. I think Curtis is capable of winning this fight and we get more than +200. I’ll take a flyer on Curtis at those UFC odds. The rounds have been a very good proposition for us through the years as we win more of those wagers than we lose. The rounds are listed at 2.5 in this fight with the over at just more than 2-1. I don’t see either of these two fighters getting a finish so I will go over the rounds total in this fight.

UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas Card & Odds

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