Hakeem Dawodu is favored against Cub Swanson at UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos on Saturday, August 12 in Las Vegas, Nevada. This event is one of 13 fights on ESPN/ ESPN+. Swanson is 28-13 in his career, including 13-9 in the UFC, while Dawodu is 13-3-1 in his career, including 6-3 in the UFC. There are a total of 13 fights, all on ESPN/ ESPN+ at UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos. Let’s look at the bout between Swanson and Dawodu and UFC predictions.
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos takes place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada on Saturday, August 12 with 13 fights, all on ESPN/ ESPN+.
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos Betting
Cub Swanson (28-13, 13-9 UFC)
Swanson came into the UFC with a record of 15-4 and he has 13 wins and nine losses in the UFC. In his last six fights, he has three wins and three losses. He defeated Kron Gracie by unanimous decision, Daniel Pineda by KO, and Darren Elkins by TKO; while losing to Shane Burgos by split decision, Giga Chikadze by TKO, and Jonathan Martinez by TKO. Swanson has been a pro since 2004 and he has 13 wins by TKO/KO and four by submission. He has eight first round finishes.
Hakeem Dawodu (13-3-1, 6-3 UFC)
Dawodu came into the UFC with a record of 7-0-1 and he has six wins and three losses in the UFC. He defeated Austin Arnett by unanimous decision, Kyle Bochniak by split decision, Yoshinori Horie by TKO, Julio Arce by split decision, Zubaira Tukhugov by split decision, and Michael Trizano by unanimous decision; while losing to Danny Henry by technical submission, Movsar Evloev by unanimous decision, and Julian Erosa by unanimous decision. Dawodu has been a pro since 2014 and he has seven wins by TKO/KO and six by decision. He has two first round finishes.
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Swanson 4.68 /Dawodu 5.33
Striking Accuracy: Swanson 50% /Dawodu 50%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Swanson 3.73/Dawodu 3.15
Defense: Swanson 60% /Dawodu 57%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Swanson 1.09 /Dawodu 0.00
Takedown Accuracy: Swanson 52% /Dawodu 05%
Takedowns defended: Swanson 61% /Dawodu 65%
Submission average: Swanson 0.4 /Dawodu 0.0
UFC Picks
Swanson returns to the featherweight division to take on the former champion of the division, Dawodu. Swanson's most recent fight was a knockout loss to Jonathan Martinez last October, while Dawodu's most recent bout was a unanimous decision loss to Julien Erosa last September. There is no secret to what Swanson wants to do, as he wants to stand and trade big shots. He has been able to land a significant number of significant strikes inside the Octagon. His striking defense stands at 60%, while his takedown defense stands at 61%. Swanson is averaging 4.68 meaningful strikes per minute, and has absorbed 3.73 of his own. The problem for Swanson is that he has not had much success against the top fighters in the division. The majority of his fights have been against the lower-ranked fighters.
Dawodu is also one that looks to trade shots, so this fight is one that should see a lot of action. Dawodu lands more strikes per minute than does Swanson and he has to absorb less strikes. Dawodu also looks to have more power, but there is no question that Swanson has the ability to land a big shot.
Dawodu is listed as about a 2-1 favorite in this fight and while he should get the win, I don’t know that I want to lay 2-1 in UFC odds on him. I think the better choice is the rounds option. Both of these fighters have finishing power and there doesn’t seem to be much chance of this one going to the mat. It should be a fight where the two just stand and trade big shots. That should result in an exciting fight for as long as it lasts. I’ll go under the rounds total in this fight.
| DATE | FIGHTERS | MONEY LINE |
| 8/12 | Vicente Luque | +100 |
| Rafael Dos Anjos | -130 |
| 8/12 | Chris Daukaus | +165 |
| Khalil Rountree | -210 |
| 8/12 | Polyana Viana | +150 |
| Iasmin Lucindo | -190 |
| 8/12 | Montserrat Ruiz | +201 |
| Jaqualine Amorim | -260 |
| 8/12 | Cub Swanson | +172 |
| Hakeem Dawodu | -220 |
| 8/12 | Tafon Nchukwi | -139 |
| AJ Dobson | +109 |
| 8/12 | Jamie Pickett | +286 |
| Josh Fremd | -390 |
| 8/12 | Isaac Dulgarian | +135 |
| Francis Marshall | -170 |
| 8/12 | JP Buys | +248 |
| Marcus McGhee | -330 |
| 8/12 | Luana Santos | -160 |
| Juliana Miller | +127 |
| 8/12 | Josh Parisian | +158 |
| Martin Buday | -200 |
| 8/12 | Mike Breeden | +231 |
| Terrance McKinney | -305 |
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