Mike Rodriguez is favored against Ed Herman at UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill on Saturday, September 12 in Las Vegas Nevada. This event is one of five fights on the main card on ESPN+. Herman is 25-14 in his career, while Rodriguez is 11-4 in his career. There are a total of five fights on the main card on UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill, with the headliner a bout between Michelle Waterson and Angela Hill. There are also a total of eight fights on the preliminary card on ESPN+. Let’s look at the bout between Herman and Rodriguez and UFC picks.
Bet on UFC at BookMaker.eu
Ed Herman (25-14, 12-9 UFC)
Herman came into the UFC with a record of 13-3 and he has 12 wins and nine losses in the UFC. In his last six fights, he has three wins and three losses. He defeated Tim Boetsch by TKO, Patrick Cummins by TKO, and Khadis Ibragimov by unanimous decision; while losing to Nikita Krylov by KO, C.B. Dollaway by unanimous decision, and Gian Villante by split decision. Herman has been a pro since 2003 and he has seven wins by TKO/KO and 13 by submission. He has 10 first round finishes.
Mike Rodriguez (11-4, 2-2 UFC)
Rodriguez came into the UFC with a record of 9-2 and he has two wins and two losses in the UFC. He defeated Adam Milstead by TKO and Marcin Prachnio by KO; while losing to Devin Clark by unanimous decision and Da Un Jung by KO. Rodriguez has been a pro since 2014 and he has nine wins by TKO/KO and two by submission. He has eight first round finishes.
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Herman 3.33/ Rodriguez 4.59
Striking Accuracy: Herman 49% / Rodriguez 54%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Herman 3.13/ Rodriguez 3.58
Defense: Herman 44% / Rodriguez 44%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Herman 2.20/ Rodriguez 0.00
Takedown Accuracy: Herman 48% / Rodriguez 0%
Takedowns defended: Herman 59% / Rodriguez 38%
Submission average: Herman 1.2/ Rodriguez 0.0
UFC Picks
I am a little bit surprised at the odds on this fight, as I can’t see Rodriguez as a more than 2-1 favorite. Herman has had his struggles at times, but he has fought more quality opposition than has Rodriguez. We know what we are going to get with both of these two fighters, as Herman wants to get the fight to the mat and win by submission, while Rodriguez wants to keep the fight standing and get a knockout. Rodriguez has been nothing special in terms of takedown defense, so he could have some trouble in this fight. I lean to the underdog Herman in this one, but I think the better play is the rounds. These two have combined for 31 finishes. Every single one of Rodriguez’s 11 wins have come by knockout or submission, while 20 of Herman’s 25 wins have been finishes. I will go under the rounds total in this one.
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill takes place at the UFC APEX facility in Las Vegas, Nevada on Saturday, September 12 with five fights on the main card on ESPN+, headlined by Michelle Waterson and Angela Hill and eight preliminary bouts on ESPN+.
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill Card & Odds
Women’s Strawweight: Michelle Waterson +103 vs. Angela Hill -127
Lightweight: Khama Worthy -132 vs. Ottman Azaitar +108
Women’s Flyweight: Roxanne Modafferi +247 vs. Andrea Lee -310
Flyweight: Tysan Nam -117 vs. Matt Schnell -107
Lightweight: Brok Weaver +184 vs. Frank Camacho -225
Featherweight: Kyle Nelson +204 vs. Billy Quarantillo -251
Welterweight: Anthony Ivy +208 vs. Bryan Barberena -255
Lightweight: Roosevelt Roberts -118 vs. Matt Frevola -106
Women’s Flyweight: Justine Kish +200 vs. Sabina Mazo -245
Light Heavyweight: Ed Herman +200 vs. Mike Rodriguez -245
Women’s Bantamweight: Sijara Eubanks +235 vs. Julia Avila -293
Lightweight: Alan Patrick +213 vs. Bobby Green -264
Access live betting lines from your mobile device at BookMaker Sportsbook! Real-time spreads, totals, props, and money lines are all available so start betting with BookMaker today.
