Erin Blanchfield is slightly favored against Rose Namajunas at UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi on Saturday, November 2 in Edmonton, Alberta, Canada. This event is one of 14 fights on ESPN+. Blanchfield is 12-2 in her career, including 6-1 in the UFC, while Namajunas is 13-6 in her career, including 11-5 in the UFC. There are a total of 14 fights, all on ESPN+ at UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi. Let’s look at the bout between Blanchfield and Namajunas and UFC predictions.
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi takes place at Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta, Canada on Saturday, November 2 with 14 fights, all on ESPN+.
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi Betting
Erin Blanchfield (12-2, 6-1 UFC)
Blanchfield came into the UFC with a record of 6-1 and she has six wins and one loss in the UFC. She defeated Sarah Alpar by unanimous decision, Miranda Maverick by unanimous decision, JJ Aldrich by guillotine choke submission, Molly McCann by kimura submission, Jessica Andrade by rear-naked choke submission, and Taila Santos by unanimous decision; while losing to Manon Fiorot by unanimous decision. Blanchfield has been a pro since 2018 and she has two wins by TKO/KO and four by submission. She has three first round finishes.
Rose Namajunas (13-6, 11-5 UFC)
Namajunas came into the UFC with a record of 2-1 and she has 11 wins and five losses in the UFC. In her last six fights, she has four wins and two losses. She defeated Zhang Weili twice, once by KO and once by split decision, Amanda Ribas by unanimous decision, and Tracy Cortez by unanimous decision; while losing to Carla Esparza by split decision and Manon Fiorot by unanimous decision. Namajunas has been a pro since 2013 and she has two wins by TKO/KO and five by submission. She has four first round finishes.
“I wanna make a statement in this fight. I know that it's a tall order because of how good she is, but I truly believe in myself and my skills and my training and where I'm at right now.” Namajunas said to the media.
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Blanchfield 5.47 /Albazi 3.70
Striking Accuracy: Blanchfield 45% /Namajunas 42%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Blanchfield 4.34/Namajunas 3.38
Defense: Blanchfield 58% /Namajunas 64%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Blanchfield 2.05/Namajunas 1.55
Takedown Accuracy: Blanchfield 33%/Namajunas 53%
Takedowns defended: Blanchfield 81%/Namajunas 59%
Submission average: Blanchfield 1.0/Namajunas 0.4
UFC Picks
The winner of this fight could be in line for a title shot. They have both lost to Manon Fiorot who is likely going to get the next shot at Shevchenko but the winner of this bout could be next. This fight is the co-main event and it is scheduled for five rounds. Neither Blanchfield nor Namajunas impresses me that much in terms of their finishing power. I think Namajunas is the stronger fighter but we never know about her motivation level. Blanchfield has the win against Andrade but other than that, I haven’t been impressed with her level of competition.
Namajunas has looked good in her last two fights, but I don’t know that I get too excited about wins over Tracy Cortez and Amanda Ribas. When motivated there is no question that Namajunas is an excellent fighter, but we just never know when her heart is not going to be in a fight. If I could trust that Namajunas shows up with a great effort for five rounds, I would definitely take her as a solid play, but I can’t.
What we do know about this fight is that neither of them is likely to get a finish. Oddsmakers are well aware of this fact, as they set the rounds at 4.5 and the over is listed at -270. That is a ridiculously high UFC betting number on a rounds total, especially for a five-round fight, but this is a fight that should go the distance. I lean toward Namajunas at the plus price and the rounds to go over, so perhaps a small flyer on the parlay is the way to go.
| DATE | FIGHTERS | MONEY LINE |
| 11/02 | Amir Albazi | +130 |
| Brandon Moreno | -163 |
| 11/02 | Rose Namajunas | +110 |
| Erin Blanchfield | -140 |
| 11/02 | Jhonata Diniz | -170 |
| Derrick Lewis | +135 |
| 11/02 | Brendson Ribeiro | +127 |
| Caio Machado | -160 |
| 11/02 | Dustin Stoltzfus | +154 |
| Marc-Andre Barriault | -195 |
| 11/02 | Trevin Giles | +197 |
| Mike Malott | -255 |
| 11/02 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | -250 |
| Ariane Da Silva | +194 |
| 11/02 | Pedro Munhoz | -110 |
| Aiemann Zahabi | -120 |
| 11/02 | Victor Henry | -108 |
| Charles Jourdain | -122 |
| 11/02 | Rodrigo Nascimento | -125 |
| Alexandr Romanov | -105 |
| 11/02 | Garrett Armfield | +130 |
| Serhiy Sidey | -163 |
| 11/02 | Cody Gibson | -190 |
| Chad Anheliger | +150 |
| 11/02 | Ivana Petrovic | +166 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | -212 |
| 11/02 | Youssef Zalal | -260 |
| Jack Shore | +201 |
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