Krzysztof Jotko is favored against Gerald Meerschaert at UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera on Saturday, April 30 in Las Vegas, Nevada. This event is one of six fights on ESPN/ESPN+. Meerschaert is 34-14 in his career, while Jotko is 23-5 in his career. There are a total of 12 fights, with six on ESPN/ESPN+ and six on ESPN2/ESPN+ at UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera. Let’s look at the bout between Meerschaert and Jotko and UFC predictions.
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera takes place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada on Saturday, April 30 with 12 fights, with six on ESPN/ESPN+ and six on ESPN2/ESPN+.
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera Betting
Gerald Meerschaert (34-14, 9-6 UFC)
Meerschaert came into the UFC with a record of 25-8 and he has nine wins and six losses in the UFC. In his last six fights, he has four wins and two losses. He defeated Deron Winn by rear-naked choke submission, Bartosz Fabinski by technical submission, Makhmud Muradov by rear-naked choke submission, and Dustin Stoltzfus by rear-naked choke submission; while losing to Ian Heinisch by TKO and Khamzat Chimaev by KO. Meerschaert has been a pro since 2007 and he has six wins by TKO/KO and 26 by submission. He has 16 first round finishes.
Krzysztof Jotko (23-5, 10-5 UFC)
Jotko came into the UFC with a record of 13-0 and he has 10 wins and five losses in the UFC. In his last six fights, he has four wins and two losses. He defeated Alen Amedovski by unanimous decision, Marc-André Barriault by split decision, Eryk Anders by unanimous decision, and Misha Cirkunov by split decision; while losing to Brad Tavares by TKO and Sean Strickland by unanimous decision. Jotko has been a pro since 2010 and he has six wins by TKO/KO and one by submission. He has four first round finishes.
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Meerschaert 3.11 / Jotko 2.92
Striking Accuracy: Meerschaert 44% / Jotko 41%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Meerschaert 3.43/ Jotko 2.24
Defense: Meerschaert 52% / Jotko 57%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Meerschaert 2.42 / Jotko 1.15
Takedown Accuracy: Meerschaert 41% / Jotko 34%
Takedowns defended: Meerschaert 35% / Jotko 83%
Submission average: Meerschaert 2.0 / Jotko 0.1
UFC Picks
The first fight on the main card should be an interesting contrast in styles, as Jotko will try and keep the fight standing, while Meerschaert will try and get it to the mat. Jotko has been solid in his career and he is 4-1 in his last five fights and Meerschaert is on a nice run with three straight submission wins. The money has been coming in on Jotko since the odds opened on this fight and he is now a -175 favorite. I don’t go against line moves that often and I am not going against this one. I am also not going against Meerschaert, so this play will be all about the rounds or a possible hedge. The rounds are listed at 2.5 and the money line at -115 each way. I know that this looks like an even matchup, so it makes some sense that the fight could go the distance, but did you notice the stats on Meerschaert? He has 34 wins and 32 of those wins were by finish. I know that Jotko doesn’t finish a ton of fights, but this bout would seem to be one in which one of the two imposes their will. If this fight stays standing then Meerschaert is probably in trouble, while if he gets it to the mat then he has a big edge. Jotko is pretty good at defending takedowns, but it may only take one for Jotko to be in trouble. I think you could just hedge this fight and take Jotko to win and then play the rounds to go under. I think the worst you get is a split and you may get the sweep.
| DATE | FIGHTERS | MONEY LINE |
| 4/30 | Marlon Vera | +100 |
| Rob Font | -130 |
| 4/30 | Krzysztof Jotko | -175 |
| Gerald Meerschaert | +139 |
| 4/30 | Shanna Young | +139 |
| Gina Mazany | -175 |
| 4/30 | Daniel da Silva | -135 |
| Francisco Figueiredo | +105 |
| 4/30 | Mike Breeden | +154 |
| Natan Levy | -195 |
| 4/30 | Carlos Candelario | +194 |
| Tatsuro Taira | -250 |
| 4/30 | Tristan Connelly | +139 |
| Darren Elkins | -175 |
| 4/30 | Jared Gordon | +139 |
| Grant Dawson | -175 |
| 4/30 | Joanderson Brito | +194 |
| Andre Fili | -250 |
| 4/30 | Jake Collier | +120 |
| Andrei Arlovski | -150 |
| 4/30 | Chase Sherman | +900 |
| Alexandr Romanov | -2122 |
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