Holly Holm is favored against Ketlen Vieira at UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira on Saturday, May 21 in Las Vegas, Nevada. This event is one of 11 fights on ESPN+. Holm is 14-5 in her career, while Vieira is 12-2 in her career. There are a total of 11 fights all on ESPN+ at UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira. Let’s look at the bout between Holm and Vieira and UFC predictions.
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira takes place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada on Saturday, May 21 with 11 fights all on ESPN+.
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira Betting
Holly Holm (14-5, 7-5 UFC)
Holm came into the UFC with a record of 7-0 and she has seven wins and five losses in the UFC. In her last six fights, she has four wins and two losses. She defeated Bethe Correia by KO, Megan Anderson by unanimous decision, Raquel Pennington by unanimous decision, and Irene Aldana by unanimous decision; while losing to Cris Cyborg by unanimous decision and Amanda Nunes by TKO. Holm has been a pro since 2011 and she has eight wins by TKO/KO and six by decision.
Ketlen Vieira (12-2, 6-2 UFC)
Vieira came into the UFC with a record of 6-0 and she has six wins and two losses in the UFC. She defeated Kelly Faszholz by split decision, Ashlee Evans-Smith by unanimous decision, Sara McMann by arm-triangle choke submission, Cat Zingano by split decision, Sijara Eubanks by unanimous decision, and Miesha Tate by unanimous decision; while losing to Irene Aldana by KO and Yana Kunitskaya by unanimous decision. Vieira has been a pro since 2014 and she has two wins by TKO/KO and four by submission. She has three first round finishes.
Vieira said this to bloodyelbow.com about her upcoming fight against Holm, “I’m moved by challenges. I like that, it keeps me focused, hungry, I know I can’t make mistakes. Holly has a really solid striking game, she’s a big name in boxing and kickboxing and I believe I have a good grappling game. She’s very experienced. Sometimes she feels like things are difficult on the feet and she tries to grapple you. She does MMA really well. I’m sure she expects me to take her down, so I need to be ready to impose my game plan and I’ve been practicing quite a few.”
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Holm 3.16 / Vieira 3.07
Striking Accuracy: Holm 38% / Vieira 38%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Holm 2.80 / Vieira 4.07
Defense: Holm 57% / Vieira 54%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Holm 0.81 / Vieira 1.71
Takedown Accuracy: Holm 30% / Vieira 46%
Takedowns defended: Holm 76% / Vieira 90%
Submission average: Holm 0.1 / Vieira 0.4
UFC Picks
Holm has not fought in almost two years, yet she is more than a 2-1 favorite in UFC odds. That means the oddsmakers think that Holm is still worth backing or they don’t think much of Vieira. I think it is a bit of both. Holm has actually won her last two bouts and there is no question she has a lot of experience. Vieira dominated Miesha Tate last time out and she is getting a big chance against Holm. This fight is a contrast of styles, as Holm is the boxer, while Vieira is the grappler. Holm has shown she can go five rounds, while Vieira doesn’t have that experience.
One thing I know for sure is that I am not laying 2-1 on Holly Holm, period. I don’t think she should be headlining a main event and despite winning her last two fights, I just don’t think she is a title contender at 40-years old. This would seem to be a good spot for Vieira but I don’t know that she is really that good. Beating Tate last time out doesn’t do anything for me. If you want to take a flyer on Vieira at the plus money I won’t argue, but I think the better choice is the rounds. Neither of these two is much of a finisher, so I will take the rounds to go over the total.
| DATE | FIGHTERS | MONEY LINE |
| 5/21 | Ketlen Vieira | +190 |
| Holly Holm | -245 |
| 5/21 | Michel Pereira | -127 |
| Santiago Ponzinibbio | -103 |
| 5/21 | Dusko Todorovic | +190 |
| Chidi Njokuani | -245 |
| 5/21 | Parker Porter | +418 |
| Jailton Almeida | -625 |
| 5/21 | Jun Yong Park | -215 |
| Eryk Anders | +168 |
| 5/21 | Alen Amedovski | +154 |
| Joseph Holmes | -195 |
| 5/21 | Polyana Viana | +110 |
| Tabatha Ricci | -140 |
| 5/21 | Uros Medic | +127 |
| Omar Morales | -160 |
| 5/21 | Vince Morales | +176 |
| Jonathan Martinez | -225 |
| 5/21 | Felipe Colares | -185 |
| Chase Hooper | +146 |
| 5/21 | Sam Hughes | +143 |
| Elise Reed | -180 |
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