A heavyweight bout between Jairzinho Rozenstruik and Augusto Sakai will headline UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai on Saturday, June 5 in Las Vegas, Nevada. Rozenstruik is 11-2 in his career, but he has lost two of his last three fights, while Sakai is 15-2 and coming off a loss. This fight is the headliner of a six-fight main card on ESPN+. There are also eight preliminary bouts, also on ESPN+. Let’s look at the bout between Rozenstruik and Sakai and UFC predictions.
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai Betting
Jairzinho Rozenstruik (11-2, 5-2 UFC)
Rozenstruik came into the UFC with a record of 6-0 and he has five wins and two losses in the UFC. In his last five fights, he has three wins and two losses. He is coming off a unanimous decision loss to Ciryl Gane in February. Rozenstruik won by TKO against Junior dos Santos in August of 2020, lost by knockout to Francis Ngannou in May of 2020, won by knockout against Alistair Overeem in December of 2019 and won by knockout against Andrei Arlovski in November of 2019. Rozenstruik has been a pro since 2012 and he has 10 wins by TKO/KO and none by submission. He has seven first round finishes.
Rozenstruik is trying to get back into title contention and he needs a dominating win over Sakai. “Of course, I would love to fight for the title but in the meantime I’m making myself ready.” Rozenstruik said to the media, “Augusto is also a striker. He’s a big boy, so I’ve got to be there moving a lot, don’t stand there. A finish always feels good. You’re working so hard to do things and finish a fight. That gives you the confidence of ‘Okay, I’m working on this, let me keep working on this, but I can add this to it.’ And the most important thing to me is winning, it doesn’t matter how.”
Augusto Sakai (15-2, 4-1 UFC)
Sakai came into the UFC with a record of 11-1-1 and he has four wins and one loss in the UFC. Sakai is coming off a TKO loss to Alistair Overeem in September of last year. Sakai won a split decision against Blagoy Ivanov in May of last year, won by knockout against Marcin Tybura in September of 2019, won a split decision against Andrei Arlovski in April of 2019 and won by TKO against Chase Sherman in September of 2018. Sakai has been a pro since 2011 and he has 11 wins by TKO/KO and none by submission. He has six first round finishes.
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Rozenstruik 3.14/ Sakai 5.32
Striking Accuracy: Rozenstruik 48% / Sakai 48%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Rozenstruik 3.48/ Sakai 4.02
Defense: Rozenstruik 39% / Sakai 50%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Rozenstruik 0.00 / Sakai 0.15
Takedown Accuracy: Rozenstruik 0% / Sakai 50%
Takedowns defended: Rozenstruik 80% / Sakai 66%
Submission average: Rozenstruik 0.0 / Sakai 0.0
UFC Picks
There is little doubt that this fight will be a striking battle. I lean a little bit toward Rozenstruik, as I think he has fought better competition, but the best bet in this fight is the rounds. I would be surprised if this fight lasts long. The round total at BookMaker is 1.5 and we get +168 on the under. I will take the plus money and go under the rounds total.
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai Card & Odds
Heavyweight: Augusto Sakai +100 vs. Jairzinho Rozenstruik -130
Heavyweight: Walt Harris +139 vs. Marcin Tybura -175
Heavyweight: Ilir Latifi +158 vs. Tanner Boser -200
Welterweight: Santiago Ponzinibbio -115 vs. Miguel Baeza -115
Women's Flyweight: Maryna Moroz +127 vs. Manon Fiorot -160
Featherweight: Youssef Zalal +146 vs. Sean Woodson -185
Lightweight: Alan Patrick +228 vs. Mason Jones -300
Women's Flyweight: Montana De La Rosa -270 vs. Ariane Lipski +207
Middleweight: Antonio Arroyo +194 vs. Tom Breese -250
Lightweight: Claudio Puelles +161 vs. Jordan Leavitt -205
Middleweight: Roman Dolidze -150 vs. Laureano Staropoli +120
Middleweight: Gregory Rodrigues +127 vs. Dusko Todorovic -160
Welterweight: Francisco Trinaldo +194 vs. Muslim Salikhov -250
Access live betting lines from your mobile device at BookMaker Sportsbook! Real-time spreads, totals, props, and money lines are all available so start betting with BookMaker today.
