Strawweight contender Jessica “Bate Estaca” Andrade (20-8, 7 KOs, 7 SUBs) will move up in weight to meet flyweight Katlyn “Blonde Fighter” Chookagian (14-3, 2 KOs, 1 SUB) at UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie on Saturday, October 17, 2020 at UFC Fight Island in Abu Dhabi, UAE. The matchup supports a main event featuring featherweight contendersBrian “T-City” Ortega (14-1, 3 KOs, 7 SUBs) and “The Korean Zombie” Chan Sung Jung (16-5, 6 KOs, 8 SUBs). The card streams live on ESPN+ starting 10pm ET. Let’s take a closer look at Andrade Chookagian - the UFC odds at BookMaker.eu opened with Andrade as a -150 favorite, with Chookagian at +120 on the comeback.
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Jessica Andrade (20-8, 7 KOs, 7 SUBs)
After capturing the belt with a stunning pile driver KO of Rose Namajunas, Andrade has lost two straight. She lost the belt to powerhouse Weili Zhang, who needed just 42 seconds to flatline the Brazilian. After that came a rematch with Namajunas, which resulted in the 29-year old losing a split decision after a hard-fought three rounds. By no means did those losses knock her from the elite tier at 115, but it did remove her from the immediate title picture. After seeing how Cynthia Calvillo moved up to 125 and vaulted to the No. 2 spot after a single win, Andrade has an opportunity to move back into title contention against the No. 1 contender Katlyn Chookagian.
Of course, the flyweight division could just be rearranging deck chairs on the Titanic considering how dominant champion Valentina Shevchenko has been.
Andrade should be fine facing bigger fighters - she’s always been a powerhouse. However, what made her so successful at 115 was her ability to overwhelm opponents with her savage physicality. At her best, Andrade was walking down opponents and hammering away with hooks. We’re not sure she can do that so easily here.
Katlyn Chookagian (14-3, 2 KOs, 1 SUB)
A former bantamweight, Chookagian has done relatively well in her natural weight class. Wins over JoJo Calderwood and Jennifer Maia led to a title match against Shevchenko - where she was unsurprisingly dominated and finished. She was able to exact some revenge this past May, as Chookagian scored a win over sister Antonina Shevchenko. That’s enough for her to maintain the No. 1 contender spot - although it does reflect how thin this weight class is.
Chookagian fights a lot like Holly Holm: lots of movement and minimal power. She gets her wins by piling up striking points, but Chookgian has shown more willingness to turn over on her punches to do more damage. While she’s not a great athlete, Chookagian moves well enough while sliding in and out of range. She tends to have trouble with stronger opponents who lock her up in the clinch, and it’s likely Andrade will try and test that out at some point. If she can’t escape a lock against the cage, it figures to be a long night.
Significant Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Andrade 6.40 / Chookagian 4.19
Striking accuracy: Andrade 49% / Chookagian 35%
Strokes absorbed per minute: Andrade 5.30 / Chookagian 4.2
Striking defense: Andrade 53% / Chookagian 62%
Grappling Stats
Takedowns per 15 minutes: Andrade 3.02 / Chookagian 0.31
Takedown accuracy: Andrade 57% / Chookagian 15%
Takedown defense: Andrade 76% / Chookagian 50%
Submissions per 15 minutes: Andrade 0.4 / Chookagian 0.5
UFC Picks
Picking a winner is a dicey proposition. Andrade is the faster, more aggressive fighter but Chookagian tends to do well against opponents who try to apply pressure. Instead, we love the decision prop, as Chookagian has only been finished once and does not have the power to knock out Andrade. With only three rounds, there’s a good chance that both women hang on to the scorecards.
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie Card & Odds
Featherweight - Brian Ortega +158 vs. Chan Sung Jung -191
Heavyweight - Ante Deljia +425 vs. Cyril Gane -583
Light Heavyweight - Modestas Bukauskas +277 vs. Jimmy Crute -352
Bantamweight - Mark Striegl +310 vs. Said Nurmagomedov -400
Women’s Flyweight - Katlyn Chookagian +123 vs. Jessica Andrade -147
Middleweight - John Phillips +203 vs. Jun Yong Park -250
Lightweight - Fares Ziam +119 vs. Jamie Mullarkey -143
Light Heavyweight - Gadzhimurad Antigulov +290 vs. Maxim Grishin -371
Women’s Flyweight - Poliana Botelho +184 vs. Gillian Robertson -225
Lightweight - Guram Kutateladze +239 vs Mateusz Gamrot -298
Welterweight - Claudio Silva +143 vs. James Krause -171
Featherweight - Jonathan Martinez +101 vs. Thomas Almeida -125
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