UFC Fight Night - Jessica Andrade vs. Natalia Silva Odds

Natalia Silva is favored against Jessica Andrade at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady on Saturday, September 7 in Las Vegas, Nevada. This event is one of 12 fights on ESPN+. Andrade is 26-12 in her career, including 17-10 in the UFC, while Silva is 17-5-1 in her career, including 5-0 in the UFC. There are a total of 12 fights, all on ESPN+ at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady. Let’s look at the bout between Andrade and Silva and UFC predictions.

UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady takes place at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada on Saturday, September 7 with 12 fights, all on ESPN+.

UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady Betting

Jessica Andrade (26-12, 17-10 UFC)

Andrade came into the UFC with a record of 9-2 and she has 17 wins and 10 losses in the UFC. In her last six fights, she has three wins and three losses. She defeated Lauren Murphy by unanimous decision, Mackenzie Dern by TKO, and Marina Rodriguez by split decision; while losing to Erin Blanchfield by rear-naked choke submission, Yan Xiaonan by KO, and Tatiana Suarez by guillotine choke submission. Andrade has been a pro since 2011 and she has 10 wins by TKO/KO and eight by submission. She has 11 first round finishes.

Natalia Silva (17-5-1, 5-0 UFC)

Silva came into the UFC with a record of 12-5-1 and she has five wins and no losses in the UFC. She defeated Jasmine Jasudavicius by unanimous decision, Tereza Bledá by TKO, Victoria Leonardo by TKO, Andrea Lee by unanimous decision, and Viviane Araújo by unanimous decision. Silva’s last loss in her career was against Marina Rodriguez by unanimous decision in December of 2017. Silva has been a pro since 2015 and she has five wins by TKO/KO and seven by submission. She has nine first round finishes.

Striking Stats

Strikes landed per minute: Andrade 6.62 /Silva 4.53

Striking Accuracy: Andrade 50% /Silva 44%

Strikes absorbed per minute: Andrade 5.37/Silva 2.10

Defense: Andrade 55% /Silva 65%

Grappling Stats

Takedown average: Andrade 2.37/Silva 0.50

Takedown Accuracy: Andrade 55%/Silva 28%

Takedowns defended: Andrade 72%/Silva 91%

Submission average: Andrade 0.3/Silva 0.0

UFC Picks

The question you have to ask yourself in this fight is whether or not you trust Silva to get an easy win. There is simply no way to sugarcoat this, as Silva is listed as a 3-1 favorite and at that price, she has to be a virtual certainty to win to lay that type of price. This fight is one that is critical to both fighters, as Silva is looking to establish herself as a leading title contender, while Andrade wants to prove she still has what it takes to get back into title contention.

This fight is one where we have technical accuracy versus sheer strength. Silva's approach is expected to focus on her skill to keep Andrade at a distance. Conversely, Andrade plans to turn this fight into a melee, showcasing her strength. Should Andrade succeed in turning the fight into a striking war then she is a live underdog in this fight. If Silva can manage the fight and dodge Andrade's strength, she is going to come out with a win by decision. If Andrade can deliver her powerful strikes, she might find a way to end the fight early.

I have to admit that I am surprised the UFC odds on Silva are so high. Is she really a future superstar? She is getting that type of respect in terms of the betting odds, because laying 3-1 against a very talented fighter is not something that is seen that often. I am definitely not laying that type of price.

The UFC betting rounds option for this fight is listed at 2.5 with the over at -175. I think the most likely scenario is that this fight goes the distance. I know that each fighter has some submission skills but each is also very good with their defense. I will take the rounds to go over the total.

UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady Card & Odds

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