Jimmy Crute is heavily favored against Modestas Bukauskas at UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie on Sunday, October 18 in Yas Island, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates but because of the time difference, it will start on Saturday, October 17 Eastern Time. This event is one of five fights on the main card on ESPN+. Crute is 11-1 in his career, while Bukauskas is 11-2 in his career. There are a total of five fights on the main card on UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie, with the headliner a bout between Brian Ortega and Chan Sung Jung. There are also a total of eight fights on the preliminary card on ESPN+. Let’s look at the bout between Crute and Bukauskas and UFC picks.
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Jimmy Crute (11-1, 3-1 UFC)
Crute came into the UFC with a record of 8-0 and he has three wins and one loss in the UFC. He defeated Paul Craig by kimura submission, Sam Alvey by TKO, and Michal Oleksiejczuk by kimura submission; while losing to Misha Cirkunov by Peruvian necktie submission. Crute has been a pro since 2016 and he has four wins by TKO/KO and four by submission. He has seven first round finishes.
Crute said this to ufc.com about his upcoming fight against Bukauskas, “I take it as a compliment from the UFC, they think I’m the guy that can test this up and comer. I know they’ve got a lot of hype behind him. I think the UFC have come to me and said check if this guy’s worthy or not. I’m not going to be sitting here complaining. I know what I’m going to do to him; I think it’s very obvious where I’ve got advantages over him. But there’s also problems where he thinks he’s going to be comfortable with me and it’s going to be a rude shock. Instead of trying to do all these flashy techniques, mate, you should work on your boxing defense. He seems like a real nice guy, but I’m going to bash him.”
Modestas Bukauskas (11-2, 1-0 UFC)
Bukauskas came into the UFC with a record of 10-2 and he has one win and no losses in the UFC. He defeated Andreas Michailidis by TKO. Bukauskas’s last loss in his career was against John Redmond by TKO on July 8, 2016. Bukauskas has been a pro since 2015 and he has eight wins by TKO/KO and two by submission. He has six first round finishes.
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Crute 4.08/ Bukauskas 3.60
Striking Accuracy: Crute 55% / Bukauskas 36%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Crute 2.23/ Bukauskas 4.60
Defense: Crute 53% / Bukauskas 50%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Crute 4.63/ Bukauskas 0.00
Takedown Accuracy: Crute 81% / Bukauskas 0%
Takedowns defended: Crute 60% / Bukauskas 100%
Submission average: Crute 2.6/ Bukauskas 0.0
UFC Picks
There is not much doubt that Crute should be favored in this bout, and even though I expect he will win, I have a hard time laying 3-1. I think the best option is to find a prop with Crute to win by knockout. I will probably play the rounds, but the oddsmakers have made the rounds 1.5 and although I like the under, it is still a little risky when you don’t get a 2.5. I will go with Crute to win by knockout and the rounds to go under the total.
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie Card & Odds
Featherweight - Brian Ortega +158 vs. Chan Sung Jung -191
Heavyweight - Ante Deljia +425 vs. Cyril Gane -583
Light Heavyweight - Modestas Bukauskas +277 vs. Jimmy Crute -352
Bantamweight - Mark Striegl +310 vs. Said Nurmagomedov -400
Women’s Flyweight - Katlyn Chookagian +123 vs. Jessica Andrade -147
Middleweight - John Phillips +203 vs. Jun Yong Park -250
Lightweight - Fares Ziam +119 vs. Jamie Mullarkey -143
Light Heavyweight - Gadzhimurad Antigulov +290 vs. Maxim Grishin -371
Women’s Flyweight - Poliana Botelho +184 vs. Gillian Robertson -225
Lightweight - Guram Kutateladze +239 vs Mateusz Gamrot -298
Welterweight - Claudio Silva +143 vs. James Krause -171
Featherweight - Jonathan Martinez +101 vs. Thomas Almeida -125
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