Ashley Yoder is slightly favored against Jinh Yu Frey at UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland on Saturday, July 31 in Las Vegas, Nevada. This event is one of seven fights on the preliminary card on ESPN/ESPN+. Frey is 10-6 in her career and 2-3 in her last five fights, while Yoder is 8-7 in her career and 2-3 in her last five fights. There are a total of six fights on the main card on ESPN/ESPN+ at UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland and seven preliminary bouts on ESPN/ESPN+. Let’s look at the bout between Frey and Yoder and UFC predictions.
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland takes place at UFC Apex facility in Las Vegas, Nevada on Saturday, July 31 with six fights on the main card on ESPN/ESPN+ and seven preliminary bouts also on ESPN/ESPN+.
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland Betting
Jinh Yu Frey (10-6, 1-2 UFC)
Frey came into the UFC with a record of 9-4 and she has one win and two losses in the UFC. She defeated Gloria de Paula by unanimous decision; while losing to Kay Hansen by armbar submission and Loma Lookboonmee by unanimous decision. Frey has been a pro since 2013 and she has one win by TKO/KO and two by submission. She has three first round finishes.
Frey finally got into the UFC win column with a victory against Gloria de Paula. Whether that win is a springboard is yet to be determined.
Ashley Yoder (8-7, 3-6 UFC)
Yoder came into the UFC with a record of 5-1 and she has three wins and six losses in the UFC. She defeated Amanda Cooper by split decision, Syuri Kondo by unanimous decision, and Miranda Granger by unanimous decision; while losing to Justine Kish by unanimous decision, Angela Hill by unanimous decision, Mackenzie Dern by split decision, Randa Markos by split decision, Lívia Renata Souza by unanimous decision, and Angela Hill by unanimous decision. Yoder has been a pro since 2014 and she has four wins by submission. She has three first round finishes.
Yoder has six losses in the UFC, but she has fought some decent competition and all of her nine UFC fights have gone the distance.
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Frey 1.79 / Yoder 2.75
Striking Accuracy: Frey 40% / Yoder 39%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Frey 3.35 / Yoder 3.53
Defense: Frey 44% / Yoder 46%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Frey 1.06 / Yoder 1.33
Takedown Accuracy: Frey 42% / Yoder 37%
Takedowns defended: Frey 83% / Yoder 68%
Submission average: Frey 0.7 / Yoder 0.7
UFC Picks
I am not that impressed with Frey and I think you can make a case that Yoder should be a bigger favorite than she is. Yoder has at least fought some good competition in her career and held her own. I lean toward taking Yoder in this fight.
While I think Yoder has a little bit of an edge, I think the rounds option is probably the better bet. I am never thrilled about laying a big price, but it is really hard to see anything other than this fight going to a decision. Yoder has never been finished in her nine UFC fights and there is nothing in the history of Frey that has me thinking she can finish Yoder. I don’t even think she wins, so I think you can take Yoder and the rounds over.
The price on the rounds going over the total is definitely higher than I would like, so being a bit cautious with the overall wager may be in order, but this fight should end up going the distance.
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland Card & Odds
Middleweight - Uriah Hall +168 vs. Sean Strickland -215
Lightweight - Chris Gruetzemacher +228 vs. Rafa Garcia -300
Welterweight - Jason Witt +211 vs. Bryan Barberena -275
Featherweight - Melsik Baghdasaryan -145 vs. Collin Anglin +115
Welterweight - Philip Rowe +127 vs. Orion Cosce -160
Women's Strawweight - Gloria de Paula +143 vs. Cheyanne Buys -180
Women’s Strawweight - Jinh Yu Frey +110 vs. Ashley Yoder -140
Bantamweight - Rani Yahya +110 vs. Kyung Ho Kang -140
Women’s Bantamweight - Yanan Wu+194 vs. Nicco Montano -250
Flyweight - Zarrukh Adashev +107 vs. Ryan Benoit -137
Bantamweight - Ronnie Lawrence -145 vs. Trevin Jones +115
Featherweight - Kai Kamaka -120 vs. Danny Chavez -110
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