Katlyn Chookagian is favored against Amanda Ribas at UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic on Saturday, May 14 in Las Vegas, Nevada. This event is one of 11 fights on ESPN2/ESPN+. Chookagian is 17-4 in her career, while Ribas is 11-2 in her career. There are a total of 11 fights, all on ESPN2/ESPN+ at UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic. Let’s look at the bout between Chookagian and Ribas and UFC predictions.
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic takes place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada on Saturday, May 14 with 11 fights, all on ESPN2/ESPN+.
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic Betting
Katlyn Chookagian (17-4, 10-4 UFC)
Chookagian came into the UFC with a record of 7-0 and she has 10 wins and four losses in the UFC. In her last six fights, she has four wins and two losses. She defeated Antonina Shevchenko by unanimous decision, Cynthia Calvillo by unanimous decision, Viviane Araújo by unanimous decision, and Jennifer Maia by unanimous decision; while losing to Valentina Shevchenko by TKO and Jessica Andrade by TKO. Chookagian has been a pro since 2014 and she has two wins by TKO/KO and one by submission. She has two first round finishes.
Amanda Ribas (11-2, 5-1 UFC)
Ribas came into the UFC with a record of 6-1 and she has five wins and one loss in the UFC. She defeated Emily Whitmire by rear-naked choke submission, Mackenzie Dern by unanimous decision, Randa Markos by unanimous decision, Paige VanZant by armbar submission, and Virna Jandiroba by unanimous decision; while losing to Marina Rodriguez by TKO. Ribas has been a pro since 2014 and she has three wins by TKO/KO and four by submission. She has five first round finishes.
Ribas said this to bloodyelbow.com about her upcoming fight against Chookagian, “It was a very nice surprise. I thought I was going to go seven months without a fight, but I ended up getting a huge opportunity like this one. I’m even more focused on training and on my diet. I want to make the best out of this opportunity. She’s the number two ranked flyweight and that’s huge. I could really cut in line if I do a good job in this fight. I still think that I need one more fight even if I win here.”
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Chookagian 4.59 / Ribas 4.65
Striking Accuracy: Chookagian 35% / Ribas 42%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Chookagian 4.30 / Ribas 2.17
Defense: Chookagian 62% / Ribas 70%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Chookagian 0.31 / Ribas 1.99
Takedown Accuracy: Chookagian 16% / Ribas 47%
Takedowns defended: Chookagian 55% / Ribas 86%
Submission average: Chookagian 0.4 / Ribas 1.5
UFC Picks
We should be in store for an excellent matchup between Chookagian and Ribas on Saturday night. Both are title contenders and this fight looks really even. Chookagian has beaten some really good competition including Cynthia Calvillo, Viviane Araujo and Jennifer Maia. Ribas has been rolling along and she has good wins against Mackenzie Dern, Randa Markos, Paige Vanzant and Virna Jandiroba. Chookagian does everything well and has very few weaknesses. She has great length and it is not surprising she relies on her jab and leg kicks. Normally Chookagian just outlasts her opponents. Ribas likes to throw punches and find a way to finish, but that seems like a tough path to victory against Chookagian.
The rounds are listed at 2.5 and the price on the over is a bit hefty at more than 2-1. I don’t like laying big prices, but it is hard to see this fight going the distance. There may be a little bit of value on Ribas at the plus price, but I think the rounds going over is the better bet. If Ribas is to get the win it would likely be with a finish, so if you like Ribas you may want to bet her to win on a finish prop.
| DATE |
FIGHTERS |
MONEY LINE |
| 5/14 |
Jan Blachowicz |
+165 |
| Aleksandar Rakic |
-210 |
| 5/14 |
Amanda Ribas |
+130 |
| Katlyn Chookagian |
-163 |
| 5/14 |
Ion Cutelaba |
-224 |
| Ryan Spann |
+175 |
| 5/14 |
Alan Patrick |
+124 |
| Michael Johnson |
-155 |
| 5/14 |
Viviane Araújo |
-115 |
| Andrea Lee |
-115 |
| 5/14 |
Frank Camacho |
+100 |
| Manuel Torres |
-130 |
| 5/14 |
Angela Hill |
+150 |
| Virna Jandiroba |
-189 |
| 5/14 |
Andre Petroski |
+332 |
| Nick Maximov |
-467 |
| 5/14 |
Louis Smolka |
+235 |
| Davey Grant |
-310 |
| 5/14 |
Allan Nascimento |
+175 |
| Jake Hadley |
-224 |
| 5/14 |
Carlos Candelario |
+198 |
| Tatsuro Taira |
-256 |
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