Ketlen Vieira is heavily favored against Yana Kunitskaya at UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis on Saturday, February 20 in Las Vegas, Nevada. This event is one of six fights on the main card on ESPN+. Vieira is 11-1 in her career, including 5-1 in the UFC, while Kunitskaya is 13-5 in her career, including 3-2 in the UFC. There are a total of six fights on the main card on UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis, with the headliner a bout between Curtis Blaydes and Derrick Lewis. There are also a total of nine fights on the preliminary card on ESPN+. Let’s look at the bout between Vieira and Kunitskaya and UFC picks.
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Ketlen Vieira (11-1, 5-1 UFC)
Vieira came into the UFC with a record of 6-0 and she has five wins and one loss in the UFC. She defeated Kelly Faszholz by split decision, Ashlee Evans-Smith by unanimous decision, Sara McMann by arm-triangle choke submission, Cat Zingano by split decision, and Sijara Eubanks by unanimous decision; while losing to Irene Aldana by KO. Vieira has been a pro since 2014 and she has two wins by TKO/KO and four by submission. She has three first round finishes.
Yana Kunitskaya (13-5, 3-2 UFC)
Kunitskaya came into the UFC with a record of 10-3 and she has three wins and two losses in the UFC. She defeated Lina Länsberg by unanimous decision, Marion Reneau by unanimous decision, and Julija Stoliarenko by unanimous decision; while losing to Cris Cyborg by TKO and Aspen Ladd by TKO. Kunitskaya has been a pro since 2009 and she has seven wins by TKO/KO and one by submission. She has seven first round finishes.
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Vieira 3.10/ Kunitskaya 4.49
Striking Accuracy: Vieira 36% / Kunitskaya 54%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Vieira 3.98/ Kunitskaya 3.17
Defense: Vieira 56% / Kunitskaya 51%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Vieira 2.02/ Kunitskaya 2.04
Takedown Accuracy: Vieira 52% / Kunitskaya 53%
Takedowns defended: Vieira 92% / Kunitskaya 33%
Submission average: Vieira 0.6/ Kunitskaya 0.2
UFC Picks
Vieira is heavily favored at -274 in this fight against Kunitskaya and it is hard to argue with her being a solid favorite. Vieira has lost just once in the UFC, while Kunitskaya has been a bit up and down. The only way to go in this one is to take Vieira but I despise laying big money and the price is nearly 3-1. If Kunitskaya is to have any chance then this fight has to end early, because I just can’t see her winning by decision. I think she has to be very aggressive, no matter how much it opens her up to get hit. I think Viera will likely win, but I can’t lay 3-1, so I will simply play the rounds. We should be getting plus money so I will go under the round total for this fight.
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis Card & Odds
Heavyweight - Derrick Lewis +303 vs. Curtis Blaydes -350
Heavyweight - Andrei Arlovski +207 vs. Tom Aspinall -255
Middleweight - Nassourdine Imavov -105 vs. Phil Hawes -119
Heavyweight - Aleksei Oleinik +147 vs. Chris Daukaus -176
Featherweight - Darrick Minner +158 vs. Charles Rosa -191
Women's Bantamweight - Yana Kunitskaya +221 vs. Ketlen Vieira -274
Featherweight - Danny Chavez -132 vs. Jared Gordon +108
Featherweight - Chas Skelly +184 vs. Jamall Emmers -225
Featherweight - Nate Landwehr -108 vs. Julian Erosa -116
Bantamweight - John Castañeda -122 vs. Eddie Wineland -102
Heavyweight - Jared Vanderaa +187 vs. Sergey Spivak -229
Bantamweight - Aiemann Zahabi +154 vs. Drako Rodriguez -186
Women's Flyweight - Shana Dobson +130 vs. Casey O'Neill -157
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