UFC Fight Night - Mackenzie Dern vs. Amanda Ribas Odds

Amanda Ribas is favored against Mackenzie Dern at UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 on Saturday, January 11 in Las Vegas, Nevada. This event is one of 14 fights on ESPN+. Dern is 14-5 in her career, including 9-5 in the UFC, while Ribas is 13-5 in her career, including 7-4 in the UFC. There are a total of 14 fights, all on ESPN+ at UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2. Let’s look at the bout between Dern and Ribas and UFC predictions.

UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 takes place at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada on Saturday, January 11 with 14 fights, all on ESPN+.

UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas Betting

Mackenzie Dern (14-5, 9-5 UFC)

Dern came into the UFC with a record of 5-0 and she has nine wins and five losses in the UFC. In her last six fights, she has three wins and three losses. She defeated Tecia Torres by split decision, Angela Hill by unanimous decision, and Loopy Godinez by unanimous decision; while losing to Yan Xiaonan by majority decision, Jessica Andrade by TKO, and Amanda Lemos by unanimous decision. Dern has been a pro since 2016 and she has seven wins by submission and seven by decision. She has six first round finishes.

Amanda Ribas (13-5, 7-4 UFC)

Ribas came into the UFC with a record of 6-1 and she has seven wins and four losses in the UFC. In her last six fights, she has three wins and three losses. She defeated Virna Jandiroba by unanimous decision, Viviane Araújo by unanimous decision, and Luana Pinheiro by TKO; while losing to Katlyn Chookagian by split decision, Maycee Barber by TKO, and Rose Namajunas by unanimous decision. Ribas has been a pro since 2014 and she has four wins by TKO/KO and four by submission. She has five first round finishes.

Former UFC lightweight Paul Felder said this to sportskeeda.com about the upcoming fight between Dern and Ribas, “At this moment I'm leaning towards Amanda Ribas. I just think she's a bit more of a versatile striker on the feet, uses more weapons. Coming off that five-round fight with Rose, she's got a lot of experience with other good strikers and people that are well-rounded. I think if it gets to the ground, she's good enough with her defense to avoid any kind of crazy submission. So I'm going for Ribas, probably by decision.”

Striking Stats

Strikes landed per minute: Dern 3.43 /Ribas 4.63

Striking Accuracy: Dern 39% /Ribas 40%

Strikes absorbed per minute: Dern 4.12/Ribas 3.40

Defense: Dern 51% /Ribas 61%

Grappling Stats

Takedown average: Dern 0.88/Ribas 2.07

Takedown Accuracy: Dern 16%/Ribas 51%

Takedowns defended: Dern 30%/Ribas 85%

Submission average: Dern 1.2/Ribas 0.7

UFC Picks

These two fought back in 2019 with Ribas winning a unanimous decision. I don’t know that the fight tells us much, as both fighters are different now. What we know about Dern is that she beats fighters she is supposed to beat and loses to the better fighters. The question is whether Ribas is the better fighter. Ribas has been splitting time between strawweight and flyweight but there is no question she is better at strawweight with a record of 5-1 while she is just 2-3 in the flyweight division. This fight is at strawweight so Ribas should have the edge. Whether that edge is enough for her to be a 2-1 favorite in UFC betting odds is questionable. Dern is a capable fighter who is looking to prove she is ready to beat the best in the division. I will have to see it first to take Dern, but I also don’t want to lay money on Ribas in a fight I think will be close.

This is a main event fight which means it will be a five-round fight. Neither of these two has shown much finishing power lately. Only two of the last nine Dern fights have ended in a finish and four of the last six Ribas wins went to a decision. I’ll lay the price and go over 4.5 rounds in this fight.

UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas Card & Odds

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