Miguel Baeza is favored against Takashi Sato at UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis on Saturday, November 28 in Las Vegas Nevada. This event is one of five fights on the main card on ESPN2/ESPN+. Baeza is 9-0 in his career, while Sato is 16-3 in his career. There are a total of five fights on the main card on UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis, with the headliner a bout between Curtis Blaydes and Derrick Lewis. There are also a total of seven fights on the preliminary card on ESPN+. Let’s look at the bout between Baeza and Sato and UFC picks.
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Miguel Baeza (9-0, 2-0 UFC)
Baeza came into the UFC with a record of 7-0 and he has two wins and no losses in the UFC. He defeated Hector Aldana by TKO and Matt Brown by TKO. Baeza has been a pro since 2015 and he has seven wins by TKO/KO. He has four first round finishes.
Baeza said this to ufc.com about his upcoming fight against Sato, "I like the matchup; I think it’s going to be a good one. I think we’re both exciting fighters and there is a reason why they put us on the main card."
Takashi Sato (16-3, 2-1 UFC)
Sato came into the UFC with a record of 14-2 and he has two wins and one loss in the UFC. He defeated Ben Saunders by TKO and Jason Witt by TKO; while losing to Belal Muhammad by rear-naked choke submission. Sato has been a pro since 2013 and he has 11 wins by TKO/KO and two by submission. He has nine first round finishes.
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Baeza 4.78/ Sato 3.94
Striking Accuracy: Baeza 56% / Sato 41%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Baeza 4.67/ Sato 5.10
Defense: Baeza 44% / Sato 51%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Baeza 0.54/ Sato 0.79
Takedown Accuracy: Baeza 33% / Sato 50%
Takedowns defended: Baeza 100% / Sato 80%
Submission average: Baeza 1.1/ Sato 0.0
UFC Picks
Baeza is listed as a slight favorite in this fight at -160. He is unbeaten and there is a lot to like about him, but Sato is also a good fighter who has lost just once in the UFC. One thing we do know is that these two are going to go right at each other and look for the finish. Baeza has won seven of his nine fights by TKO or KO and four of those fights ended in the first round. Sato is just fine with going toe to toe with Baeza because Sato is all about striking. He has 11 wins by TKO or KO and nine of his wins have finished in the first round. The total on this fight is just 1.5, but I still like the under, as I expect a knockout one way or the other, likely in the first round
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis Card & Odds
Heavyweight - Derrick Lewis +303 vs. Curtis Blaydes -390
Light Heavyweight - Devin Clark +113 vs. Anthony Smith -137
Welterweight - Takashi Sato +130 vs. Miguel Baeza -157
Bantamweight - Luke Sanders -137 vs. Nate Maness +113
Featherweight - Jonathan Pearce +243 vs. Kai Kamaka -303
Women’s Bantamweight - Ashlee Evans-Smith -127 vs. Norma Dumont +103
Bantamweight - Anderson dos Santos +134 vs. Martin Day -162
Heavyweight - Parker Porter +177 vs. Josh Parisian -215
Women’s Flyweight - Rachael Ostovich +114 vs. Gina Mazany -138
Flyweight - Malcolm Gordon +260 vs. Su Mudaerji -327
Featherweight - Bill Algeo +143 vs. Spike Carlyle -171
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