Neil Magny is slightly favored against Daniel Rodriguez at UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos on Saturday, November 5 in Las Vegas Nevada. This event is one of 12 fights on ESPN+. Magny is 26-9 in his career, while Rodriguez is 17-2 in his career. There are a total of 12 fights, all on ESPN+ at UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos. Let’s look at the bout between Magny and Rodriguez and UFC predictions.
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos takes place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada on Saturday, November 5 with 12 fights, all on ESPN+.
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos Betting
Neil Magny (26-9, 19-8 UFC)
Magny came into the UFC with a record of 7-1 and he has 19 wins and eight losses in the UFC. In his last six fights, he has four wins and two losses. He defeated Anthony Rocco Martin by unanimous decision, Robbie Lawler by unanimous decision, Geoff Neal by unanimous decision, and Max Griffin by split decision; while losing to Michael Chiesa by unanimous decision and Shavkat Rakhmonov by guillotine choke submission. Magny has been a pro since 2010 and he has seven wins by TKO/KO and three by submission. He has one first round finish.
Magny said this to lowkickmma.com about his upcoming fight against Rodriguez, “He’s a very good southpaw boxer, southpaws tend to give a lot of guys difficulties... He’s going to have a chip on his shoulder, he’s going to be thinking I have to go out there and prove to the world that I did win my last fight. Everyone is always looking for a reason to rule you out, oh yeah that guy is history now. It’s up to me to go out there and show everyone that I am still that dude.”
Daniel Rodriguez (17-2, 7-1 UFC)
Rodriguez came into the UFC with a record of 10-1 and he has seven wins and one loss in the UFC. He defeated Tim Means by unanimous decision, Gabriel Green by unanimous decision, Dwight Grant by KO, Mike Perry by unanimous decision, Preston Parsons by TKO, Kevin Lee by unanimous decision, and Li Jingliang by split decision; while losing to Nicolas Dalby by unanimous decision. Rodriguez has been a pro since 2015 and he has eight wins by TKO/KO and four by submission. He has five first round finishes.
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Magny 3.59 /Rodriguez 7.75
Striking Accuracy: Magny 46% /Rodriguez 49%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Magny 2.16 /Rodriguez 5.35
Defense: Magny 55% /Rodriguez 57%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Magny 2.31 /Rodriguez 0.72
Takedown Accuracy: Magny 40% /Rodriguez 55%
Takedowns defended: Magny 57% /Rodriguez 73%
Submission average: Magny 0.3 /Rodriguez 0.1
UFC Picks
How much does motivation play a part in this fight? Rodriguez is coming off a controversial split-decision win and he won’t want to leave any doubt this time around. Magny really doesn’t have the power to hurt Rodriguez so this should be a fight where Rodriguez is in control. Magny has seemingly been around forever, and he is one of the most experienced fighters in history. He is tied with Georges St. Pierre for the most welterweight wins in UFC history. Magny used to have finishing power, but he hasn’t won by stoppage in four years. I think there are a couple of ways to go in this fight. I think Rodriguez is the better fighter, as Magny’s best days are behind him. I think you can make a case that Rodriguez should be favored in this fight, so we are getting a bargain on him at even-money odds.This could also be a fight that goes the distance so you could also hedge this fight a little bit. I can’t see Magny getting any type of stoppage win, so there is a good chance this fight goes the distance unless Rodriguez wins by stoppage. I will also play the rounds in this fight to go over the total.
DATE | FIGHTERS | MONEY LINE |
11/05 | Amanda Lemos | +168 |
Marina Rodriguez | -215 |
11/05 | Daniel Rodriguez | -110 |
Neil Magny | -120 |
11/05 | Nate Maness | +150 |
Tagir Ulanbekov | -190 |
11/05 | Shanna Young | +431 |
Miranda Maverick | -650 |
11/05 | Benito Lopez | +221 |
Mario Bautista | -290 |
11/05 | Darrick Minner | +158 |
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke | -200 |
11/05 | Jinh Yu Frey | +100 |
Polyana Viana | -130 |
11/05 | Liudvik Sholinian | +176 |
Johnny Munoz Jr. | -225 |
11/05 | Chase Sherman | -130 |
Josh Parisian | +100 |
11/05 | Carlos Candelario | +207 |
Jake Hadley | -270 |
11/05 | Ramona Pascual | +115 |
Tamires Vidal | -145 |
11/05 | Mark O. Madsen | +176 |
Grant Dawson | -225 |
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