Shavkat Rakhmonov is heavily favored against Neil Magny at UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot on Saturday, June 25 in Las Vegas, Nevada. This event is one of six fights on the main ESPN/ ESPN+ card. Magny is 26-8 in his career, while Rakhmonov is 15-0 in his career. There are a total of 13 fights with six on ESPN/ESPN+ and seven on ESPN2/ESPN+ at UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot. Let’s look at the bout between Magny and Rakhmonov and UFC predictions.
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot takes place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada on Saturday, June 25 with 13 fights, with six on ESPN/ESPN+ and seven on ESPN2/ESPN+.
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot Betting
Neil Magny (26-8, 19-7 UFC)
Magny came into the UFC with a record of 7-1 and he has 19 wins and seven losses in the UFC. In his last six fights, he has five wins and one loss in the UFC. He defeated Li Jingliang by unanimous decision, Anthony Rocco Martin by unanimous decision, Robbie Lawler by unanimous decision, Geoff Neal by unanimous decision, and Max Griffin by split decision; while losing to Michael Chiesa by unanimous decision. Magny has been a pro since 2010 and he has seven wins by TKO/KO and three by submission. He has one first round finish.
Shavkat Rakhmonov (15-0, 3-0 UFC)
Rakhmonov came into the UFC with a record of 12-0 and he has three wins and no losses in the UFC. He defeated Alex Oliveira by guillotine choke submission, Michel Prazeres by rear-naked choke submission, and Carlston Harris by KO. Rakhmonov has been a pro since 2014 and he has eight wins by TKO/KO and seven by submission. He has nine first round finishes.
Kenny Florian said this to sportskeeda.com about the upcoming match between Magny and Rakhmonov, “I'm super high on Rakhmonov, I think he's a fantastic talent. No one's really talking about him. I don't think anyone at 170 pounds wants to fight him. He's good everywhere. He's dynamic, he's hungry, he's fast, he's athletic, and he’s a good wrestler. I like Rakhmonov here. I think this is a good fight [vs. Neil Magny] to make Rakhmonov known.”
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Magny 3.67 / Rakhmonov 2.94
Striking Accuracy: Magny 45% / Rakhmonov 53%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Magny 2.17 / Rakhmonov 1.56
Defense: Magny 55% / Rakhmonov 57%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Magny 2.37 / Rakhmonov 1.88
Takedown Accuracy: Magny 40% / Rakhmonov 33%
Takedowns defended: Magny 58% / Rakhmonov 100%
Submission average: Magny 0.3 / Rakhmonov 1.9
UFC Picks
Oddsmakers don’t think there is much question as to who will win this fight, as Rakhmonov is listed as almost a 5-1 favorite. Magny has had a good career and he is still capable of beating fighters, as he is 5-1 in his last six fights. You usually know what you are going to get with Magny, as he will beat the marginal to good fighters but lose to the very good and great fighters. Some people think that Rakhmonov is going to be a great fighter and if those people are right then Magny is going to lose this bout. Whether the experts are right or not is really irrelevant to me in this fight, because I am not laying almost 5-1 on anyone. I am also not getting in front of the freight train that is Rakhmonov even with the big price on Magny. The question then becomes whether or not Magny can make this fight last. No one has been able to go the distance against Rakhmonov, as he has eight knockouts and seven submissions in his 15 wins. Oddsmakers lean a little bit to this fight going under, as the rounds are listed at 2.5 with the under at -140. I also have to lean that way, as the most likely scenario is Rakhmonov showing everyone that he is a force to be reckoned with and ending this fight with a finish.
| DATE | FIGHTERS | MONEY LINE |
| 6/25 | Mateusz Gamrot | +204 |
| Arman Tsarukyan | -265 |
| 6/25 | Rodolfo Vieira | +115 |
| Chris Curtis | -145 |
| 6/25 | Neil Magny | +342 |
| Shavkat Rakhmonov | -484 |
| 6/25 | Nate Maness | +526 |
| Umar Nurmagomedov | -855 |
| 6/25 | Christos Giagos | +194 |
| Thiago Moisés | -250 |
| 6/25 | Shayilan Nuerdanbieke | +168 |
| T.J. Brown | -215 |
| 6/25 | Sergey Morozov | -140 |
| Raulian Paiva | +110 |
| 6/25 | Tafon Nchukwi | -112 |
| Carlos Ulberg | -118 |
| 6/25 | Vanessa Demopoulos | +214 |
| Jinh Yu Frey | -280 |
| 6/25 | Josh Parisian | -115 |
| Alan Baudot | -115 |
| 6/25 | Brian Kelleher | +131 |
| Mario Bautista | -165 |
| 6/25 | JP Buys | -125 |
| Cody Durden | -105 |
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