Nina Anasroff is slightly favored against Mackenzie Dern at UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland on Saturday, April 10 in Las Vegas, Nevada. This event is one of six fights on the main card on ABC/ESPN+. Anasroff is 10-6 in her career, while Dern is 10-1 in her career. There are a total of six fights on the main card on UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland, with the headliner a bout between Marvin Vettori and Kevin Holland. There are also a total of nine fights on the preliminary card on ESPN+. Let's look at the bout between Anasroff and Dern and UFC picks.
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland Betting
Nina Anasroff (10-6, 4-3 UFC)
Anasroff came into the UFC with a record of 6-3 and she has four wins and three losses in the UFC. She defeated Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger by rear-naked choke submission, Angela Hill by unanimous decision, Randa Markos by unanimous decision, and Cláudia Gadelha by unanimous decision; while losing to Juliana Lima by unanimous decision, Justine Kish by unanimous decision, and Tatiana Suarez by unanimous decision. Anasroff has been a pro since 2010 and she has four wins by TKO/KO and two by submission. She has two first round finishes.
Mackenzie Dern (10-1, 5-1 UFC)
Dern came into the UFC with a record of 5-0 and she has five wins and one loss in the UFC. She defeated Ashley Yoder by split decision, Amanda Cooper by rear-naked choke submission, Hannah Cifers by kneebar submission, Randa Markos by armbar submission, and Virna Jandiroba by unanimous decision; while losing to Amanda Ribas by unanimous decision. Dern has been a pro since 2016 and she has six wins by submission. She has five first round finishes.
Dern said this to mmajunkie.usatoday.com about her upcoming fight against Anasroff, "I think its typical striker vs. grappler, I prefer it like that. I think when it's striker and grappler, the striker is way more fish out of the water, so it's a little bit easier for me to throw a lot of submissions, attacks and things like that. Maybe they can defend one or two, but when they don't have a really big background on the ground, you can end up catching them sooner or later. But Nina, she's a little bit different than a regular striker because her takedown defense is so good. She has a really high takedown defense. She has good reflexes and things like that, so I'm hoping her timing is a little bit off on that, but I doubt it. No one goes into a fight unprepared, so I know she's going to be on point with her takedown defense, and that's where Parillo Boxing comes in, just to have me meld everything together: my striking with my takedowns with my ground game. So I think the way to win this fight is the submission. I don't want to go three rounds again like my last fight even though it was lots of fun. Like I said, I want to try and get to the belt soon, this year hopefully, so the less damage possible, the quicker I can get back into camp. I can keep climbing the rankings and try to get the belt. So I think a submission in the first round is the way to go."
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Anasroff 4.81/ Dern 3.74
Striking Accuracy: Anasroff 47% / Dern 38%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Anasroff 3.55/ Dern 3.81
Defense: Anasroff 54% / Dern 61%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Anasroff 0.29/ Dern 0.28
Takedown Accuracy: Anasroff 40% / Dern 5%
Takedowns defended: Anasroff 77% / Dern 0%
Submission average: Anasroff 0.6/ Dern 2.2
UFC Picks
Anasroff is slightly favored in this fight and it does look like a toss-up. I give Dern a slight edge but only if she can get this fight to the mat. From everything Dern has said she is going to be looking for some way to get the fight to the ground. It should happen one way or another with one of the two fighters getting a big advantage. I will avoid a side and simply play the rounds to go under.
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland Card & Odds
Middleweight - Kevin Holland +252 vs. Marvin Vettori -318
Women's Strawweight - Nina Ansaroff -142 vs. Mackenzie Dern +118
Heavyweight - Jarjis Danho +228 vs. Yorgan De Castro -284
Lightweight - John Makdessi +154 vs. Ignacio Bahamondes -186
Featherweight - Arnold Allen +110 vs. Sodiq Yusuff -134
Welterweight - Mike Perry +138 vs. Daniel Rodriguez -166
Middleweight - Kyle Daukaus -102 vs. Aliaskhab Khizriev -122
Featherweight - Jordan Griffin +113 vs. Luis Saldana -137
Bantamweight - Hunter Azure +134 vs. Jack Shore -162
Lightweight - Jim Miller +188 vs. Joe Solecki -230
Welterweight - Impa Kasanganay -293 vs. Sasha Palatnikov +235
Middleweight - Sam Alvey +158 vs. Julian Marquez -191
Lightweight - Scott Holtzman +193 vs. Mateusz Gamrot -235
Middleweight - Da Un Jung -142 vs. William Knight +118
Women's Bantamweight - Erin Blanchfield +203 vs. Norma Dumont -250
Access live betting lines from your mobile device at BookMaker Sportsbook! Real-time spreads, totals, props, and money lines are all available so start betting with BookMaker today.
