Tom Breese is slightly favored against Omari Akhmedov at UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Holloway on Saturday, January 16 in Yas Island, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. This event is one of seven fights on the preliminary card on ESPN+. Akhmedov is 20-5-1 in his career, while Breese is 12-2 in his career. There are a total of five fights on the main card on ABC/ESPN+ on UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar, with the headliner a bout between Max Holloway and Calvin Kattar. There are also a total of seven fights on the preliminary card on ESPN+. Let’s look at the bout between Akhmedov and Breese and UFC picks.
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Omari Akhmedov (20-5-1, 8-4-1 UFC)
Akhmedov came into the UFC with a record of 12-1 and he has eight wins, four losses, and one draw in the UFC. In his last six fights, he has four wins, one loss, and one draw. He defeated Abdul Razak Alhassan by split decision, Tim Boetsch by unanimous decision, Zak Cummings by unanimous decision, and Ian Heinisch by unanimous decision; while losing to Chris Weidman by unanimous decision and fighting to a draw against Marvin Vettori by majority. Akhmedov has been a pro since 2010 and he has seven wins by TKO/KO and five by submission. He has 12 first round finishes.
Tom Breese (12-2, 5-2 UFC)
Breese came into the UFC with a record of 7-0 and he has five wins and two losses in the UFC. He defeated Luiz Dutra Jr. by TKO, Cathal Pendred by TKO, Keita Nakamura by unanimous decision, Dan Kelly by TKO, and KB Bhullar by TKO; while losing to Sean Strickland by split decision and Brendan Allen by TKO. Breese has been a pro since 2010 and he has five wins by TKO/KO and six by submission. He has eight first round finishes.
Breese said this to ufc.com about his upcoming fight against Akhmedov, “Omari is a veteran opponent currently ranked 13th in the division. Short and stocky in stature, he often mixes striking and wrestling in bouts. I’m excited to test my skills against him.”
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Akhmedov 2.92/ Breese 3.77
Striking Accuracy: Akhmedov 34% / Breese 51%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Akhmedov 2.69/ Breese 2.68
Defense: Akhmedov 57% / Breese 63%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Akhmedov 2.56/ Breese 0.00
Takedown Accuracy: Akhmedov 50% / Breese 0%
Takedowns defended: Akhmedov 65% / Breese 75%
Submission average: Akhmedov 0.2/ Breese 0.3
UFC Picks
Both Akhmedov and Breese are experienced and tough fighters and this looks to be one of the most competitive matchups on the card. Oddsmakers have Breese listed as the slight favorite with the rounds total at 2.5 and the over at -160. Both of these fighters are well rounded and I don’t see a big advantage for either fighter. I think this fight will go to a decision, so I will take the rounds to go over the total.
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar at the Etihad Arena in Yas Island, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates takes place on Sunday January 17 but because of the time difference, it will start on Saturday, January 16 Eastern Time with five fights on the main card on ABC/ESPN+ headlined by Max Holloway vs. Calvin Kattar and seven preliminary bouts on ESPN+.
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar Card & Odds
Featherweight - Calvin Kattar +130 vs. Max Holloway -157
Featherweight - Jacob Kilburn +177 vs. Austin Lingo -215
Heavyweight - Justin Tafa +154 vs. Carlos Felipe -186
Middleweight - Punahele Soriano +130 vs. Dusku Todorovic -157
Welterweight - David Zawada +207 vs. Ramazan Emeev -255
Women's Bantamweight - Vanessa Melo +188 vs. Sarah Moras -230
Welterweight - Li Jingliang +239 vs. Santiago Ponzinibbio -298
Middleweight - Nassourdine Imavov +113 vs. Phil Hawes -137
Middleweight - Alessio Di Chirico +221 vs. Joaquin Buckley -274
Welterweight - Matt Brown +143 vs. Carlos Condit -171
Flyweight - Joselyne Edwards -102 vs. Yanan Wu -122
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