UFC Fight Night - Paulo Costa vs. Marvin Vettori Odds

Marvin Vettori is slightly favored against Paulo Costa at UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori on Saturday, October 23 in Las Vegas, Nevada. This event is one of 14 fights on ESPN+. Csta is 13-1 in his career, while Vettori is 17-5-1 in his career. There are a total of 14 fights on ESPN+ at UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori. Let’s look at the bout between Costa and Vettori and UFC predictions.

UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori takes place at UFC Apex facility in Las Vegas, Nevada on Saturday, October 23 with 14 fights all on ESPN+.

UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori Betting

Paulo Costa (13-1, 5-1 UFC)

Costa came into the UFC with a record of 8-0 and he has five wins and one loss in the UFC. He defeated Garreth McLellan by TKO, Oluwale Bamgbose by TKO, Johny Hendricks by TKO, Uriah Hall by TKO, and Yoel Romero by unanimous decision; while losing to Israel Adesanya by TKO. Costa has been a pro since 2012 and he has 11 wins by TKO/KO and one by submission. He has nine first round finishes.

Marvin Vettori (17-5-1, 7-3-1 UFC)

Vettori came into the UFC with a record of 10-2 and he has seven wins, three losses, and one draw in the UFC. In his last six fights, he has five wins and one loss. He defeated Cezar Ferreira by unanimous decision, Andrew Sanchez by unanimous decision, Karl Roberson by rear-naked choke submission, Jack Hermansson by unanimous decision, and Kevin Holland by unanimous decision; while losing to Israel Adesanya by unanimous decision. Vettori has been a pro since 2012 and he has two wins by TKO/KO and nine by submission. He has 11 first round finishes.

Vettori said this to news.yahoo.com about his upcoming fight against Costa, “He got a lot to prove like-- like we all have, you know, every-- every fight. But you know, especially coming off this one. And so I expect the best version of him. And you know, I-- I expect him coming out hard. And you know, I expect nothing but-- but-- but the best version of himself. But I'm ready. And when I'm ready, there is not much that, you know whoever can do.”

Vettori also said this to mmajunkie.usatoday.com about his upcoming fight against Costa, “He’s good in some areas of the striking. He definitely has a pop in his punch, and he definitely can crack. But I feel like, in general, as an MMA fighter, I’m superior. Even as a striker, I’m superior.”

Striking Stats

Strikes landed per minute: Costa 7.03 / Vettori 3.88

Striking Accuracy: Costa 57% / Vettori 43%

Strikes absorbed per minute: Costa 6.70 / Vettori 3.04

Defense: Costa 50% / Vettori 63%

Grappling Stats

Takedown average: Costa 0.00 / Vettori 2.24

Takedown Accuracy: Costa 0% / Vettori 47%

Takedowns defended: Costa 80% / Vettori 78%

Submission average: Costa 0.0 / Vettori 0.7

UFC Picks

These two fighters had their chance against Israel Adesanya and both came up short. Costa was stopped in the second round by Adesanya last September and has not fought since, while Vettori lost a unanimous decision to Adesanya in June. These two fighters are very aggressive so we should see a lot of action. We know that Costa has more power and if this fight ends early, it should be with Costa getting a knockout. If Vettori can withstand the early onslaught he will have a decent chance to win. I think we can play this fight in a couple of ways. We can take Costa on the prop to win by KO or TKO at odds of about 2-1 and then we can hedge a bit and take the rounds to go over 4.5 at even money. The other option is to simply play Vettori to win by decision at odds of almost 2-1. If Costa wins by knockout or Vettori wins by decision then we’ll make a profit.

UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori Card & Odds

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