Petr Yan is favored against Merab Dvalishvili at UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili on Saturday, March 11 in Las Vegas, Nevada. This event is one of 13 fights on ESPN+. Yan is 16-4 in his career, while Dvalishvili is 15-4 in his career. There are a total of 13 fights, all on ESPN+ at UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili. Let’s look at the bout between Yan and Dvalishvili and UFC predictions.
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili takes place at The Theater at Virgin Hotels in Las Vegas, Nevada on Saturday, March 11 with 13 fights, all on ESPN+.
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili Betting
Petr Yan (16-4, 8-3 UFC)
Yan came into the UFC with a record of 8-1 and he has eight wins and three losses in the UFC. He defeated Teruto Ishihara by TKO, Jin Soo Son by unanimous decision, Douglas Silva de Andrade by TKO, John Dodson by unanimous decision, Jimmie Rivera by unanimous decision, Urijah Faber by KO, José Aldo by TKO, and Cory Sandhagen by unanimous decision; while losing to Aljamain Sterling twice once by disqualification and once by split decision, and Sean O'Malley by split decision. Yan has been a pro since 2014 and he has seven wins by TKO/KO and one by submission. He has three first round finishes.
Merab Dvalishvili (15-4, 8-2 UFC)
Dvalishvili came into the UFC with a record of 7-2 and he has eight wins and two losses in the UFC. He defeated Terrion Ware by unanimous decision, Brad Katona by unanimous decision, Casey Kenney by unanimous decision, Gustavo Lopez by unanimous decision, John Dodson by unanimous decision, Cody Stamann by unanimous decision, Marlon Moraes by TKO, and José Aldo by unanimous decision; while losing to Frankie Saenz by split decision and Ricky Simón by technical submission. Dvalishvili has been a pro since 2014 and he has three wins by TKO/KO and one by submission. He has one first round finish.
Fellow UFC fighter Aljamain Sterling said this to sports.yahoo.com about the upcoming fight between Yan and Dvalishvili, “When Yan tries to be super technical, it’ll leave those wild strikes some openings and some room for (Dvalishvili) to set things up to get those takedowns. Or (Dvalishvili can) just get the entry and push him against the cage, drop a couple of strikes, push off, go back and do that again. And it’s not Merab’s job to get off the cage – it’s Petr’s job to get off the cage and do damage. Merab’s job is to put him on the cage, do damage, try to take him down, do damage. And that’s going to be the tempo of the fight. He’s going to have to fight Merab’s fight the entire time. This is a dangerous fight for Merab, but this is just as dangerous of a fight for Petr Yan. When you’re at the top of the game, it’s a game of inches. Merab just needs to be super dialed in, and I think he has the blueprint already on how to beat him. He’s got a striker’s blueprint from Sean O’Malley. He’s got a wrestler’s blueprint from myself.”
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Yan 5.31 /Dvalishvili 4.21
Striking Accuracy: Yan 53% /Dvalishvili 40%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Yan 4.03/Dvalishvili 2.31
Defense: Yan 59% /Dvalishvili 58%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Yan 1.86 /Dvalishvili 6.54
Takedown Accuracy: Yan 56% /Dvalishvili 40%
Takedowns defended: Yan 90% /Dvalishvili 78%
Submission average: Yan 0.2 /Dvalishvili 0.3
UFC Picks
When it comes to taking UFC underdogs, especially those listed with odds of more than 2-1, I don’t take them that often, but I think you can make a case for taking Dvalishvili in this fight. What has Yan done to deserve being more than a 2-1 favorite in UFC betting odds in this bout? I think these two fighters are more evenly matched than the odds suggest, but the big thing for me is something that may have been forgotten. Dvalishvili has some extra motivation, as when he was part of Aljamain Sterling’s team, Yan talked a lot of trash and was very disrespectful to everyone on Sterling’s team, including Dvalishvili. I think this is a good spot to take the underdog at a nice price.
| DATE | FIGHTERS | MONEY LINE |
| 3/11 | Merab Dvalishvili | +197 |
| Petr Yan | -255 |
| 3/11 | Alexandr Romanov | -155 |
| Alexander Volkov | +124 |
| 3/11 | Austin Lingo | +270 |
| Ricardo Ramos | -365 |
| 3/11 | Jonathan Martinez | +194 |
| Said Nurmagomedov | -250 |
| 3/11 | Anton Turkalj | -115 |
| Vitor Petrino | -115 |
| 3/11 | Karl Williams | -220 |
| Lukasz Brzeski | +172 |
| 3/11 | Guido Cannetti | +604 |
| Mario Bautista | -1050 |
| 3/11 | Raphael Assuncao | +105 |
| Davey Grant | -135 |
| 3/11 | Ariane Lipski | +270 |
| J J Aldrich | -365 |
| 3/11 | Tony Gravely | +115 |
| Victor Henry | -145 |
| 3/11 | Bruno Silva | -200 |
| Tyson Nam | +158 |
| 3/11 | Josh Fremd | +154 |
| Sedriques Dumas | -195 |
| 3/11 | Ryan Spann | +139 |
| Nikita Krylov | -175 |
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