Rafael Fiziev is favored against Mateusz Gamrot at UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot on Saturday, September 23 in Las Vegas, Nevada. This event is one of 11 fights on ESPN+. Fiziev is 12-2 in his career, while Gamrot is 22-2 in his career. There are a total of 11 fights, all on ESPN+ at UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot. Let’s look at the bout between Fiziev and Gamrot and UFC predictions.
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot takes place at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada on Saturday, September 23 with 11 fights, all on ESPN+.
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot Betting
Rafael Fiziev (12-2, 6-2 UFC)
Fiziev came into the UFC with a record of 6-0 and he has six wins and two losses in the UFC. He defeated Alex White by unanimous decision, Marc Diakiese by unanimous decision, Renato Moicano by KO, Bobby Green by unanimous decision, Brad Riddell by KO, and Rafael dos Anjos by KO; while losing to Magomed Mustafaev by TKO and Justin Gaethje by majority decision. Fiziev has been a pro since 2015 and he has eight wins by TKO/KO and one by submission. He has six first round finishes.
Mateusz Gamrot (22-2, 5-2 UFC)
Gamrot came into the UFC with a record of 17-0 and he has five wins and two losses in the UFC. He defeated Scott Holtzman by KO, Jeremy Stephens by kimura submission, Carlos Diego Ferreira by TKO, Arman Tsarukyan by unanimous decision, and Jalin Turner by split decision; while losing to Guram Kutateladze by split decision and Beneil Dariush by unanimous decision. Gamrot has been a pro since 2012 and he has seven wins by TKO/KO and five by submission. He has three first round finishes.
Renato Moicano said this to mmanews.com about the upcoming fight between Fiziev and Gamrot, “I have already fought him (Fiziev). Man, he's good. Maybe not the best, but probably one of the best strikers in the whole MMA scene, but, he does have a problem. Usually, he starts (at a) very high pace, throwing huge combos, very powerful. But as the fight goes, he starts to fade (in) the later rounds. That's going to be a five-round fight (against Gamrot). On the other hand, we have Mateusz Gamrot, a European ADCC champion, very good grappler, BJJ guy... and his cardio is amazing. As the fight goes, he keeps pushing the pace... Rafael Fiziev vs. Bobby Green, Fiziev was just blasting Bobby Green with punches and kicks. In the third round, guess what? He was dead, brother, he was gassed... As the fight goes, I think the advantage will start to go to Mateusz Gamrot."
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Fiziev 5.06 /Gamrot 3.03
Striking Accuracy: Fiziev 51% /Gamrot 51%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Fiziev 5.17/Gamrot 3.23
Defense: Fiziev 48% /Gamrot 60%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Fiziev 0.31/Gamrot 4.54
Takedown Accuracy: Fiziev 40%/Gamrot 31%
Takedowns defended: Fiziev 90%/Gamrot 90%
Submission average: Fiziev 0.0/Gamrot 0.2
UFC Picks
Fiziev will be trying to bounce back from his loss to Gaethje. He is listed as a slight favorite against Gamrot. Fiziev is a striker who has a lot of energy, but as was noted in the quotes, this fight is scheduled for five rounds. Can Fiziev put away Gamrot within the first couple of rounds? Gamrot couldn’t handle Beneil Dariush but he bounced back to beat Jalin Turner. There is no question that Fiziev will want to keep this fight standing, while Gamrot would prefer to take this fight to the mat.
I think this fight is one in which we can play a couple of props. If Fiziev wins I think he wins by knockout and we get +175 on that prop. If Gamrot wins then I think the fight goes the distance and we get +275 on Gamrot to win by decision. We could also just play it safe and take the rounds to go over the total of 4.5 and lay the -130.
DATE | FIGHTERS | MONEY LINE |
9/23 | Mateusz Gamrot | +124 |
Rafael Fiziev | -155 |
9/23 | Dan Ige | +161 |
Bryce Mitchell | -205 |
9/23 | Michelle Waterson-Gomez | +238 |
Marina Rodriguez | -315 |
9/23 | AJ Fletcher | +145 |
Bryan Battle | -183 |
9/23 | Charles Jourdain | -150 |
Ricardo Ramos | +120 |
9/23 | Miles Johns | +146 |
Dan Argueta | -185 |
9/23 | Andre Fialho | -180 |
Tim Means | +143 |
9/23 | Cody Brundage | +351 |
Jacob Malkoun | -500 |
9/23 | Mohammed Usman | -165 |
Jake Collier | +131 |
9/23 | Hannah Goldy | +231 |
Mizuki Inoue | -305 |
9/23 | Montserrat Rendon | +183 |
Tamires Vidal | -235 |
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