Raquel Pennington is favored against Marion Reneau at UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov on Saturday, June 20 in Las Vegas, Nevada. This event is one of five fights on the main card on ESPN/ESPN+. Pennington is 10-8 in her career, while Reneau is 9-5-1 in her career. There are a total of five fights on the main card on UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov, with the headliner a bout between Curtis Blaydes and Alexander Volkov. There are also a total of seven fights on the preliminary card on ESPN/ESPN+.
Let’s look at the bout between Pennington and Reneau and UFC predictions.
UFC Odds at BookMaker.eu
Raquel Pennington (10-8, 7-5 UFC)
Pennington came into the UFC with a record of 3-3 and she has seven wins and five losses in the UFC. In her last five fights, she has two wins and three losses. She defeated Miesha Tate by unanimous decision and Irene Aldana by split decision; while losing to Amanda Nunes by TKO, Germaine de Randamie by unanimous decision, and Holly Holm by unanimous decision. Pennington has been a pro since 2012 and she has one wins by TKO and three by submission. She has two first round finishes.
Marion Reneau (9-5-1, 5-4-1 UFC)
Reneau came into the UFC with a record of 4-1 and she has five wins, four losses, and one draw in the UFC. She defeated Alexis Dufresne by unanimous decision, Jessica Andrade by triangle choke submission, Milana Dudieva by TKO, Talita Bernardo by TKO, and Sara McMann by triangle choke submission; while losing to Holly Holm by unanimous decision, Ashlee Evans-Smith by split decision, Cat Zingano by unanimous decision, and Yana Kunitskaya by unanimous decision, and fighting to a draw against Bethe Correia by majority. Reneau has been a pro since 2010 and she has five wins by TKO/KO and three by submission. She has four first round finishes.
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Pennington 3.32/ Reneau 3.46
Striking Accuracy: Pennington 46% / Reneau 41%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Pennington 3.21/ Reneau 2.93
Defense: Pennington 63% / Reneau 65%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Pennington 1.13/ Reneau 0.35
Takedown Accuracy: Pennington 27% / Reneau 100%
Takedowns defended: Pennington 67% / Reneau 51%
Submission average: Pennington 0.8/ Reneau 1.2
UFC Predictions
This looks like a fairly even fight and the odds suggest as much with Pennington just a -155 favorite. The key factor in this fight for me is the layoff, as Reneau has not fought in over a year. I think it is really difficult to jump right back into action against a quality opponent coming off such a long layoff, and it is not like Reneau had been that good recently, losing her previous two fights. I will lay the small price and take Pennington and also play the rounds to go over the total.
UFC on ESPN: Blaydes vs. Volkov takes place at UFC APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada on Saturday, June 20 with five fights on the main card, headlined by Curtis Blaydes vs. Alexander Volkov and seven preliminary bouts. All 12 bouts will be shown on ESPN/ESPN+.
Card (Subject to Change) - ESPN+
Heavyweight - Curtis Blaydes -431 vs. Alexander Volkov +310
Women’s bantamweight - Marion Renau +124 vs. Raquel Pennington -155
Featherweight - Josh Emmett +115 vs. Shane Burgos -145
Women’s flyweight - Roxanne Modafferi -124 vs. Lauren Murphy +106
Welterweight - Lyman Good +100 vs. Belal Muhammaad -130
Women’s flyweight - Gillian Robertson -125 vs. Cortney Casey -105
Women’s strawweight - Brianna Van Buren -218 vs. Tecia Torres +170
Middleweight - Marc-Andre Barriualt +103 vs. Oskar Piechota -133
Lightweight - Frank Camacho -104 vs. Matt Frevola -126
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