David Dvorak is favored against Raulian Paiva at UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt on Saturday, May 22 in Las Vegas, Nevada. This event is one of six fights on the main card on ESPN+. Paiva is 20-3 in his career, while Dvorak is 19-3 in his career. There are a total of six fights on the main card on UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt, with the headliner a bout between Rob Font and Cody Garbrandt. There are also a total of seven fights on the preliminary card on ESPN+. Let’s look at the bout between Paiva and Dvorak and UFC picks.
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt Betting
Raulian Paiva (20-3 2-2 UFC)
Paiva came into the UFC with a record of 18-1 and he has two wins and two losses in the UFC. He defeated Mark De La Rosa by KO and Zhalgas Zhumagulov by unanimous decision; while losing to Kai Kara-France by split decision and Rogério Bontorin by TKO. Paiva has been a pro since 2013 and he has four wins by TKO/KO and three by submission. He has three first round finishes.
David Dvorak (19-3, 2-0 UFC)
Dvorak came into the UFC with a record of 17-3 and he has two wins and no losses in the UFC. He defeated Bruno Silva by unanimous decision and Jordan Espinosa by unanimous decision. Dvorak’s last loss in his career was against Filip Macek by TKO on May 11, 2012. Dvorak has been a pro since 2010 and he has eight wins by TKO/KO and seven by submission. He has nine first round finishes.
Dvorak said this to idnes.cz about his upcoming fight against Paiva, “He returns after almost a year, so you can't rely too much on what he's done in previous matches. I have to pay particular attention to my match plan. Focus on not making the same mistakes I made before, and especially on myself. Basically, my opponent doesn't care; I don't care what he does. I only focus on myself. We are going to win at any cost, in any way. We have a clear strategy, and if the opponent makes a mistake and lets himself be terminated, we will win against the limit.”
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Paiva 4.46/ Dvorak 4.50
Striking Accuracy: Paiva 43% / Dvorak 48%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Paiva 4.89/ Dvorak 3.17
Defense: Paiva 51% / Dvorak 63%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Paiva 0.26/ Dvorak 0.00
Takedown Accuracy: Paiva 20% / Dvorak 0%
Takedowns defended: Paiva 80% / Dvorak 75%
Submission average: Paiva 0.3/ Dvorak 0.0
UFC Picks
Paiva has not fought in almost a year and I haven’t been that impressed with him in the UFC. Dvorak had no trouble winning his first two UFC fights and I think he is the clear choice in this one. I will lay the small price and take Dvorak to win this fight. As a smaller play, I will also take Dvorak to win by KO/TKO at +375.
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt Card & Odds
Bantamweight: Cody Garbrandt -115 vs. Rob Font -115
Women’s Strawweight: Carla Esparza -110 vs. Xiaonan Yan -120
Flyweight: Raulian Paiva +120 vs. David Dvorak -150
Heavyweight: Jared Vanderaa +150 vs. Justin Tafa -190
Featherweight: Yilan Sha +204 vs. Joshua Culibao -265
Lightweight: Damir Hadžovic -125 vs. Yancy Medeiros -105
Welterweight: Court McGee -115 vs. Claudio Silva -115
Bantamweight: Ricardo Ramos +100 vs. Bill Algeo -130
Flyweight: Victor Rodriguez +254 vs. Bruno Silva -340
Lightweight: Rafael Alves +411 vs. Damir Ismagulov -610
Middleweight: Edmen Shahbazyan +129 vs. Jack Hermansson -162
Women's Featherweight: Norma Dumont +135 vs. Felicia Spencer -170
Heavyweight: Chris Barnett +244 vs. Ben Rothwell -325
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