Nassourdine Imavov is favored against Roman Dolidze at UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov on Saturday, February 3 in Las Vegas, Nevada. This event is one of 13 fights on ESPN+. Dolidze is 12-2 in his career, including 6-2 in the UFC, while Imavov is 12-4 in his career, including 4-2 in the UFC. There are a total of 13 fights, all on ESPN+ at UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov. Let’s look at the bout between Dolidze and Imavov and UFC predictions.
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov takes place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada on Saturday, February 3 with 13 fights, all on ESPN+.
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov Betting
Roman Dolidze (12-2, 6-2 UFC)
Dolidze came into the UFC with a record of 6-0 and he has six wins and two losses in the UFC. He defeated Khadis Ibragimov by TKO, John Allan by split decision, Laureano Staropoli by unanimous decision, Kyle Daukaus by KO, Phil Hawes by KO, and Jack Hermansson by TKO; while losing to Trevin Giles by unanimous decision and Marvin Vettori by unanimous decision. Dolidze has been a pro since 2016 and he has seven wins by TKO/KO and three by submission. He has seven first round finishes.
Nassourdine Imavov (12-4, 4-2 UFC)
Imavov came into the UFC with a record of 8-2 and he has four wins and two losses in the UFC. He defeated Jordan Williams by unanimous decision, Ian Heinisch by TKO, Edmen Shahbazyan by TKO, and Joaquin Buckley by unanimous decision; while losing to Phil Hawes by majority decision and Sean Strickland by unanimous decision. Imavov has been a pro since 2016 and he has five wins by TKO/KO and four by submission. He has seven first round finishes.
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Dolidze 3.02 /Imavov 4.55
Striking Accuracy: Dolidze 44% /Imavov 53%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Dolidze 3.01/Imavov 3.76
Defense: Dolidze 55% /Imavov 58%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Dolidze 1.72/Imavov 1.09
Takedown Accuracy: Dolidze 50%/Imavov 31%
Takedowns defended: Dolidze 33%/Imavov 72%
Submission average: Dolidze 1.7/Imavov 1.7
UFC Picks
Dolidze's last fight in the UFC was a unanimous decision loss to Marvin Vettori. He fought well in that fight, but it wasn't enough to beat the Italian. In the first round, we saw Dolidze hit Vettori a few times, but then he couldn't stop his opponent from taking him down, and Vettori was able to dominate on the ground. The question in this fight will be if Dolidze can handle the takedown attempts of Imavov.
It hasn’t gone that well of late for Imavov, as he had a no-contest against Chris Curtis when the two clashed heads and before that fight, Imavov was beaten by Sean Strickland. The strategy for Imavov in this fight should be to get this fight against Dolidze to the ground, but I don’t know that Imavov will be smart enough to do that. I also don’t know that he has the submission skills to dominate Dolidze like Vettori did.
Imavov is listed as a -165 favorite to win this fight and that price may be a bit too high. This fight looks like more of a pick to me, so the value would be on Dolidze. When the odds are this close it is worth considering the underdog at the value price, but this fight is still a toss-up.
What sticks out to me a little bit in this one is the rounds option. This is a main event fight and I would be surprised if the fight goes the distance. These two fighters are known as finishers, as 10 of Dolidze’s 12 wins have come by finish, while nine of the 12 wins for Imavov have been by finish. I think the best choice in this fight is to take the rounds under the total. We should have multiple rounds options and I would prefer going under 3.5 but I would also consider 2.5 if we get a good price. This is a main event fight and I think there is value on playing the rounds to go under the UFC betting total.
| DATE |
FIGHTERS |
MONEY LINE |
| 02/03 |
Roman Dolidze |
+131 |
| Nassourdine Imavov |
-165 |
| 02/03 |
Renato Moicano |
-150 |
| Drew Dober |
+120 |
| 02/03 |
Viviane Araujo |
+264 |
| Natalia Silva |
-355 |
| 02/03 |
Makhmud Muradov |
+155 |
| Aliaskhab Khizriev |
-196 |
| 02/03 |
Jamal Pogues |
+146 |
| Thomas Petersen |
-185 |
| 02/03 |
Landon Quinones |
+130 |
| Marquel Mederos |
-163 |
| 02/03 |
Diana Belbita |
+211 |
| Molly McCann |
-275 |
| 02/03 |
Charles Radtke |
+167 |
| Gilbert Urbina |
-213 |
| 02/03 |
Luana Carolina |
+100 |
| Julija Stoliarenko |
-130 |
| 02/03 |
Blake Bilder |
+105 |
| Jeong Yeong Lee |
-135 |
| 02/03 |
Charles Johnson |
+158 |
| Azat Maksum |
-200 |
| 02/03 |
Pete Rodriguez |
+190 |
| Themba Gorimbo |
-245 |
| 02/03 |
Randy Brown |
-240 |
| Muslim Salikhov |
+186 |
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