Renato Moicano is favored against Drew Dober at UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov on Saturday, February 3 in Las Vegas, Nevada. This event is one of 13 fights on ESPN+. Moicano is 17-5-1 in his career, including 9-5 in the UFC, while Dober is 27-12 in his career, including 13-8 in the UFC. There are a total of 13 fights, all on ESPN+ at UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov. Let’s look at the bout between Moicano and Dober and UFC predictions.
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov takes place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada on Saturday, February 3 with 13 fights, all on ESPN+.
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov Betting
Renato Moicano (17-5-1, 9-5 UFC)
Moicano came into the UFC with a record of 8-1 and he has nine wins and five losses in the UFC. In his last six fights, he has four wins and two losses. He defeated Damir Hadžovic by rear-naked choke submission, Jai Herbert by rear-naked choke submission, Alexander Hernandez by rear-naked choke submission, and Brad Riddell by rear-naked choke submission; while losing to Rafael Fiziev by KO and Rafael dos Anjos by unanimous decision. Moicano has been a pro since 2010 and he has 10 wins by submission and seven by decision. He has four first round finishes.
Moicano said this to au.sports.yahoo.com about his upcoming fight against Dober, “The Apex is going to be different, but Moicano is business. I’m going over there with the business mind. I have to beat Drew Dober, get my double checks and look forward at who is available and make statements. Like it or not, I’m fighting at the Apex on Feb. 3. With a crowd, without a crowd, I have to make money. Feb. 3, I will make that money.”
Drew Dober (27-12, 13-8 UFC)
Dober came into the UFC with a record of 14-4 and he has 13 wins and eight losses in the UFC. In his last six fights, he has four wins and two losses. He defeated Terrance McKinney by TKO, Rafael Alves by KO, Bobby Green by KO, and Ricky Glenn by TKO; while losing to Brad Riddell by unanimous decision and Matt Frevola by TKO. Dober has been a pro since 2009 and he has 14 wins by TKO/KO and six by submission. He has 10 first round finishes.
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Moicano 4.75 /Dober 4.58
Striking Accuracy: Moicano 47% /Dober 40%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Moicano 4.07/Dober 4.46
Defense: Moicano 60% /Dober 51%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Moicano 1.66/Dober 0.68
Takedown Accuracy: Moicano 46%/Dober 17%
Takedowns defended: Moicano 74%/Dober 56%
Submission average: Moicano 0.7/Dober 0.1
UFC Picks
Moicano has a record of 17-5-1 and he lands a ton of shots, so it's surprising that he has zero TKO/KO. Instead, Moicano's preferred way of winning is by submission. Drew Dober has a record of 27-12 with 14 of those knockouts coming by way of TKO/KO.
Moicano is a slight favorite in a fight that will probably end up on the mat. Moicano is all about getting the fight to the ground, winning 10 of his 17 fights by submission, with his last five UFC wins coming by submission. You would think that if Moicano is going to win this fight it would be by submission. Dober's takedown defense is only 56%, so it would seem like Moicano should get this fight to the ground.
Dober is the better striker and he would be better served if this fight stays standing. Moicano still thinks of himself as a capable striker and he may decide to stand and trade shots with Dober. I think that would be a mistake. If Moicano shows some intelligence, he will look to get this fight to the mat and get the submission.
The odds on this fight slightly favor Moicano and if he fights intelligently, he should get this win, so I will take Moicano to win. I also think the rounds are worth taking under the total, as this fight figures to end in a finish. I also think there is value in taking Moicano to win by submission, as we should get a nice plus price on that UFC betting prop.
| DATE |
FIGHTERS |
MONEY LINE |
| 02/03 |
Roman Dolidze |
+131 |
| Nassourdine Imavov |
-165 |
| 02/03 |
Renato Moicano |
-150 |
| Drew Dober |
+120 |
| 02/03 |
Viviane Araujo |
+264 |
| Natalia Silva |
-355 |
| 02/03 |
Makhmud Muradov |
+155 |
| Aliaskhab Khizriev |
-196 |
| 02/03 |
Jamal Pogues |
+146 |
| Thomas Petersen |
-185 |
| 02/03 |
Landon Quinones |
+130 |
| Marquel Mederos |
-163 |
| 02/03 |
Diana Belbita |
+211 |
| Molly McCann |
-275 |
| 02/03 |
Charles Radtke |
+167 |
| Gilbert Urbina |
-213 |
| 02/03 |
Luana Carolina |
+100 |
| Julija Stoliarenko |
-130 |
| 02/03 |
Blake Bilder |
+105 |
| Jeong Yeong Lee |
-135 |
| 02/03 |
Charles Johnson |
+158 |
| Azat Maksum |
-200 |
| 02/03 |
Pete Rodriguez |
+190 |
| Themba Gorimbo |
-245 |
| 02/03 |
Randy Brown |
-240 |
| Muslim Salikhov |
+186 |
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