Rose Namajunas is favored against Tracy Cortez at UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez on Saturday, July 13 in Denver, Colorado. This event is one of 11 fights on ESPN and ESPN+. Namajunas is 12-6 in her career, including 10-5 in the UFC, while Cortez is 11-1 in her career, including 5-0 in the UFC. There are a total of 11 fights, all on ESPN and ESPN+ at UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez. Let’s look at the bout between Namajunas and Cortez and UFC predictions.
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez takes place at Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado on Saturday, July 13 with 11 fights, all on ESPN and ESPN+.
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez Betting
Rose Namajunas (12-6, 10-5 UFC)
Namajunas came into the UFC with a record of 2-1 and she has 10 wins and five losses in the UFC. In her last six fights, she has four wins and two losses. She defeated Jessica Andrade by split decision, Zhang Weili twice with once by KO and once by split decision, and Amanda Ribas by unanimous decision; while losing to Carla Esparza by split decision and Manon Fiorot by unanimous decision. Namajunas has been a pro since 2013 and she has two wins by TKO/KO and five by submission. She has four first round finishes.
Namajunas said this to mmajunkie.usatoday.com about her upcoming fight against Cortez, “It’s not like night and day difference. My approach is the same as far as what I’m going to do, and it pretty much is the same every time. As far as defense goes, I just have to watch out for a little bit of different things. I think that Tracy has better back control when she gets on the ground. She’s great on the top. … With Tracy, there are less dynamics and she’s kind of coming at you a little more. But she’s got great fundamentals, and I’m looking to make sure my fundamentals are better than hers and also have that extra flair, as well. I could beat her everywhere, so that’s my goal.”
Tracy Cortez (11-1, 5-0 UFC)
Cortez came into the UFC with a record of 6-1 and she has five wins and no losses in the UFC. She defeated Vanessa Melo by unanimous decision, Stephanie Egger by unanimous decision, Justine Kish by split decision, Melissa Gatto by unanimous decision, and Jasmine Jasudavicius by unanimous decision. Cortez’s only loss in her career was against Cheri Muraski by guillotine choke submission in August of 2017. Cortez has been a pro since 2017 and she has one win by TKO/KO and one by submission. She has one first round finish.
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Namajunas 3.69 /Cortez 4.11
Striking Accuracy: Namajunas 41% /Cortez 53%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Namajunas 3.51/Cortez 2.79
Defense: Namajunas 63% /Cortez 60%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Namajunas 1.38/Cortez 2.33
Takedown Accuracy: Namajunas 47%/Cortez 46%
Takedowns defended: Namajunas 59%/Cortez 75%
Submission average: Namajunas 0.5/Cortez 0.3
UFC Picks
Cortez takes this fight on short notice, as she replaces Maycee Barber. Cortez has done nothing wrong in the UFC, winning all five of her fights, but now she takes a step up in competition to take on former strawweight champion Rose Namajunas. This is a huge fight for Namajunas as she looks to get into title contention again. The obvious question is whether or not Cortez is ready for the jump up in class. The UFC betting odds have Namajunas listed as about a 2-1 favorite and the rounds are listed at 4.5 with the over at a hefty price in UFC odds.
We really don’t know if Cortez is good enough to win this fight, so taking her at plus money is a risk. I am not laying more than 2-1 on Namajunas, as I think her best days are behind her. What we do know is that neither of these fighters has much finishing power. Namajunas has seven finishes among her 12 wins, but just one since 2019. Cortez has shown almost no power, with only two finishes in her 11 wins. I don’t lay big prices that often, but taking the rounds over the total is the way to go.
| DATE | FIGHTERS | MONEY LINE |
| 07/13 | Tracy Cortez | +176 |
| Rose Namajunas | -225 |
| 07/13 | Muslim Salikhov | +161 |
| Santiago Ponzinibbio | -205 |
| 07/13 | Ange Loosa | +254 |
| Gabriel Bonfim | -340 |
| 07/13 | Christian Rodriguez | -215 |
| Julian Erosa | +168 |
| 07/13 | Cody Brundage | +127 |
| Abdul Razak Alhassan | -160 |
| 07/13 | Mariya Agapova | +292 |
| Luana Santos | -400 |
| 07/13 | Andre Petroski | -115 |
| Josh Fremd | -115 |
| 07/13 | Fatima Kline | -125 |
| Jasmine Jasudavicius | -105 |
| 07/13 | DaMon Blackshear | +126 |
| Montel Jackson | -159 |
| 07/13 | Charles Johnson | +165 |
| Joshua Van | -210 |
| 07/13 | Jean Silva | -110 |
| Drew Dober | -120 |
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